Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Sunday - September 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-4   09/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.015K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CENTERFOLD Sep09 Aug14 Jun05 May20   (mcshane d)TOHILL S 120 2.00 21% 3.80    
ADD IT ALL UP Sep09 Aug05 Jul22 Jun26 Jun12 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00    
RAISIN RAISIN Sep09 Aug29 Aug05 Jul15 Jun27 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 122 2.50 15% 5.50    
BUG A BOO Sep12 Aug26 Aug07 Jul31 Jul16 (jacquot gene)BIRZER E 124 4.00    
KASA Sep09 Aug14 Jul31 Jul08 Jun10 (chleborad lyn)CANCHARI ALEX 120 3.00    
GAME TO PLAY Sep09 Aug07 Jun27 Jun10 May21 (clark r)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 8.00 15% 5.80    
 
PRM-5   09/25/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOOTH SCAT         (smith kenny )JORDAN R 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
EL MONGO         (smith p)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 3.50    
AFRAIDOFTHEBUNNY Aug29 Aug14 Jul29     (villafranco m)CANCHARI ALEX 119 1.20 53% 0.90    
HALO MOON         (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 5.00    
GUCCI BLING         (caldwell )DE CRUZ 119 8.00    
BLINGO         (caldwell r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 6.00    
 
PRM-6   09/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24.111K) 2 ALL PT- 6:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARK WHISKEY Sep03 Aug06 Jun20     (mcshane david )ZIEGLER ZACK 119 12.00    
SANGRIA SKY Aug22 Aug06 Jul23 Jul11 Jun20 (tibbitts dave)CORBETT W 119 8.00 20% 4.10    
SULLY'S BARRON Aug27 Jul29       (tracy tanner)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 3.00 9% 10.50    
COUNTY JAIL Aug27 Jul23 Jul02     (mcshane david)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 4.00    
LETS ROCK N STROLL Aug27         (dieter dalton)TOHILL S 119 6.00    
BABYS TIME TO SING Aug06 Jul23 Jul02     (murphy tr)DE CRUZ 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
JUSTASTROLLIN         (compton shel)JORDAN R 119 4.50 10% 8.70    
 
PRM-7   09/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15.856K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAMCORDIA Sep11 Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 Jul22 (martin e)BIRZER E 119 2.50    
REMITTANCE SENT Sep11 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jun26 (clark r)CANCHARI ALEX 118 6.00 6% 15.30    
RAINBOW SUREBET Sep02 Aug14 Jul08 Jun17 Jun03 (anderson dou)JORDAN R 118 3.00 28% 2.60    
BIGMONEYHUNNY Sep11 Jul15 Jun26 May27   (eikleberry ke)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 10.00    
LET'S GO LACEY Aug29 Aug20 Aug06 Jul16 Jun24 (roe w)TOHILL S 120 8.00 8% 12.20    
SHELBY TO Sep11 Aug28 Aug14 Aug06 Jul22 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 3.50 35% 1.90    
DIAMOND OF EKATI Sep19 Sep03 Aug20 Jul31 Jul10 (clark dic)DE CRUZ 123 4.00    
 
PRM-8   09/25/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.918K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARBED WIRE Sep09 Aug14 Jun26 Jun04   (mcshane d)TOHILL S 123 3.50 30% 2.30    
GOTTA HAVE FAITH Sep05 Aug13 Jul22 Jun05 May20 (clark dic)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
AMERICAN SUE Sep09 Aug26 Jul22 Jul08 Jun18 (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.00 9% 9.70    
WHAT NOW MY LOVE Sep09 Jun15 May26 May19 Apr07 (pearson m)ZIEGLER ZACK 123 10.00    
IVY ABAD GIRL Sep11 Aug20 Aug05 Jul10 Jun24 (wellington to)CANCHARI ALEX 120 8.00    
CONFETTI BETTY Sep02 Aug13 Jul22     (hargens bob)BIRZER E 120 4.00    
RISKY WHISKY Sep09 Aug28 Aug06 Jul22   (mcshane david)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 6.00    
DELUSION Aug20 Aug12 Jul22 Jun26 Jun05 (broberg karl)JORDAN R 120 5.00 26% 2.90    
 
PRM-9   09/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUBIGINOUS Sep05 Aug12 Jul23 Jul03 Jun11 (arceo salvado)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 3.50    
SCR  TOO LATE Sep11 Aug26 Jul29 May29 Apr03 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
MR FROST Aug19 Jul22 Jul11 Jun06 May22 (martin timot)JORDAN R 120 10.00    
APOLLO BAY Sep12 Sep05 Aug22 Aug05 Jul30 (clark r)TOHILL S 120 4.00    
MUCHO BLING Sep03 Jul19 Jul04 Jun24 May19 (villafranco m)CANCHARI ALEX 121 6.00    
GOD'S PICK Aug29 Aug12 Jul31 Jul22 Jul04 (young scott )GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 5.00 21% 3.80    
SHUT UP MAN Sep12 Aug29 Aug01 Jul18 Jun04 (murphy tr)DE CRUZ 115 8.00 9% 10.20    
BOO BE RIGHT Aug15 Jul15 Jun27 May28 May13 (martin will)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 12.00 11% 7.80    
 
PRM-10   09/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JERRYS PRIDENJOY Sep18 Aug19 Aug08 Jul30 Jul17 (roe rober)DE CRUZ 124 6.00    
SCR  PROMISING SHOES Sep18 Aug19 Jul03 Jun13 May15 (tracy tanner)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 4.00 11% 8.30    
TOUGH COMPANY Sep18 Aug19 Jul30 Jul15 May23 (gonzalez v)CORBETT W 124 3.50 38% 1.70    
SCR  KILLEEN Sep18 Aug19 Aug06 Jul24 Jul03 (young e)CANCHARI ALEX 120 8.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  GOTTA LOVE IKE Sep18 Aug19 Jul03 Jun13 May15 (gonzalez v)BIRZER E 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
HUNK OF A HIT Sep18 Jun13 May30 May15 Apr01 (quezada zachar)ZIEGLER ZACK 122 15.00    
SCR  PRICE TO PAY Aug19 Jul02 Jun12 May29 May06 (condon schuyl)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 12.00    
STAGE DOOR Aug29 Aug22 Jul30 Jun26 Jun03 (arnett jon )QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 3.00    
 
PRM-11   09/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXAS LONG BOW Aug21 Aug11 Jun26 Jun04 May18 (arceo salvad)JORDAN R 123 3.00 15% 5.70    
MATCHLOCK Aug29 Aug22 Jul30 Jul15 Jul03 (clark )FLETCHER D 120 20.00 7% 12.90    
SACRED KIKI BIRD Sep02 Jul25 Jun27 Jun13 Mar13 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 4.50    
HOLDING FAST Jul31 Jul15 Jun24 May13 Apr09 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 10.00    
HIDDEN RULER Sep03 Aug13 Jul24     (martin wi)DE CRUZ 123 4.00 54% 0.90    
SAILOR CHOW Sep02 Aug15 Jul25 Jun27 Jun13 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 123 8.00    
CONATIVE Aug06 Jul23 Jun18 May29 May12 (gonzalez isa)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 3.50    
MURDO Aug08 May13 Feb28 Feb06 Jan15 (dieter dalton)CANCHARI ALEX 123 10.00    
SEMI CHARMED DAY Aug27 Aug20 Aug08 Jul16 Jul04 (martinez ke)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 12.00    
 
PRM-12   09/25/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARK HEDGES Sep09 Aug26 Aug13 Jul15 Jun25 (caldwell )DE CRUZ 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
FIRECRACKER STAND Sep04 Aug12 Jul23 Jun17   (jacquot gene)CANCHARI ALEX 123 8.00    
GONE WITH THE FINN Sep03 Aug22 Jul24 Jul01 Jun18 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 120 6.00    
ROCK CITY ROADHOG Aug19 Jul24 Jul03 May30 May13 (condon)FLETCHER D 121 20.00    
OLD TRAFFORD Aug27 Aug08 Jul15 Jun27 Apr01 (caldwell j )QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 15.00 10% 9.40    
LION HEART LEGEND Aug15 Jul15 May20 Mar20 Feb24 (gonzalez v)CORBETT W 121 3.50 29% 2.50    
LARCH Sep04 Aug15 Jul11 Jun05 May22 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 118 5.00    
RED WHITE AND LOUD Sep02 Aug21 Aug06 Jul18 Jul08 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 4.00    
SUN SQUALL Sep11 Aug26 Jul29 Jul15 Jun04 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 3.00 14% 6.30    
10  MORO WOLF Aug27 Aug13 Jul24 Jun16 May29 (clark r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 20.00    
SCR  COLD SNACK THIRTY Sep04 Aug12 Jul25 Jul15 Jun27 (gonzalez isai)CANCHARI ALEX 121 5.00 17% 4.80    
 
PRM-13   09/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.511K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCREET INVASION Aug29 Aug22 Jul31 Jul18 Jun04 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 119 3.50 45% 1.20    
SWEET WHEAT Aug29 Aug14 Jul25 Jun25 Jun04 (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 4.00    
GINGER RULES Sep12 Sep05 Aug21 Aug05 Jul16 (clark r)TOHILL S 123 4.50 13% 7.00    
LANCELOT N ELAINE Sep12 Aug14 Jul24 Jul15 Jun11 (tibbitts dave)ZIEGLER ZACK 123 6.00    
SCR  STORMIN' J. J. Aug29 Aug14 Aug01 Jul24 Jul10 (villafranco m)CANCHARI ALEX 119 15.00    
MAFIA DON Aug29 Aug14 Jul24 Jul10 Jul01 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 20.00    
TAP THE BRAKES Sep05 Aug22 Jul24 Jul10 Jun25 (gleason tyrone)CORBETT W 121 12.00    
WOKE UP WILD Sep05 Jun18 May29 May21 May07 (dieter da)DE CRUZ 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
COBYMEISTER Sep05 Aug15 Jul15     (jacquot gene)JORDAN R 123 8.00    
10  NASTY EXAGGERATOR Aug29 Jul31 Jun26 Jun03 May21 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 121 3.00 16% 5.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.