Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Albuquerque
Sunday - September 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ALB-6   09/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYERN TO BE WILD Jun26 Jun05 May27 Mar22 Feb22 (graham clifford )MEDELLIN A 124 10.00    
LIMITED OFFER Aug28 Aug10 Apr30 Apr08 Mar18 (blea tony)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 12.00    
MORO APPEAL Sep04 Aug19 Jun24 May20 Apr29 (valdez-cabral)JUAREZ J 124 3.00 25% 2.90    
MO GEE Aug28 Aug13 May21 Apr04 Mar07 (lavanway dayso)VAZQUEZ JOSE 124 8.00    
SHANGHAI MIKE Aug28 Aug10 Mar15 Feb26 Feb15 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
SAMURAI JACK Sep04 Aug21 Aug13 Jul30 Jun26 (rojero c)PEREZ A 124 2.50 13% 6.50    
WILLY TELL HIM Aug28 Jul23 Jul01 Apr03 Mar15 (baldwi)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 20.00 10% 9.50    
TRIPP A MATIC         (crow kevin )SCRIVER L 124 4.50    
 
ALB-7   09/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA MAMA CHULA         (de cruz)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 15.00    
TICK TOCK Aug31 Aug20 Aug04 Jul09 Jun26 (hernan)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 6.00    
BOLD REY Aug20 Jun16 May28 Apr12 Mar27 (hernandez miguel)MEDELLIN A 124 3.00 28% 2.50    
KELL'S KISS Aug27 Aug10 Jul04 May07 Feb12 (gherardi rober)VAZQUEZ JOSE 124 3.50 9% 10.70    
SCR  HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY Jun16 Jun08 May28 Apr28 Apr07 (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 4.50 31% 2.30    
ZIVA DA'VID Aug24 Aug12 Apr24 Apr03 Mar01 (pierce thomas)LOPEZ E 124 10.00    
BOSSY BABY Aug12 May15 Apr29 Jan30 Jan07 (martinez dan)SIGALA ALFREDO 124 10.00    
MISS YOU MOM Sep05 Aug20 Aug13 Aug06 Jun17 (valerio ray)SCRIVER L 121 12.00    
CITYONTHENILE Aug31 Aug17 Jun10 May07 Mar22 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 6.00    
 
ALB-8   09/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLOR ME GONE Aug28 Aug05 May14 Mar15 Feb15 (gonzalez a)MEDELLIN A 121 3.00 29% 2.50    
PAPA JUSTICE Sep02 Aug07 Mar24 Mar02 Feb09 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50    
SCR  GREENBRIER Aug31 Aug20 Aug03 Apr03 Mar13 (summers nancy)CEBALLOS F 121 4.50    
SCR  FLAT FAST Sep03 Aug13 Aug03     (summers nan)SCRIVER L 124 2.50 20% 4.10    
JEDI WARRIOR Aug28 Jul23 Jul11 May28 May13 (blea tony)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 8.00 8% 11.20    
ME AND JACK Aug03 May13 Apr30 Mar26 Feb22 (armstrong she)JUAREZ J 121 12.00 13% 6.80    
TRUST MANDO Aug24 May21 Apr30 Mar27 Mar01 (arms)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 10.00    
STARSHIP CHEWY Aug13 May28 Apr30 Feb22   (marque)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 20.00    
 
ALB-9   09/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD CONNECTION Aug20 Jul30 Jul02     (fincher w)CEBALLOS F 115 6.00    
RESPECT THE UNION Sep01         (hernandez)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 118 6.00    
YOLANDA WHO Aug31         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 115 8.00    
OHHH DADDY Jul24 Jul10       (rust)GOMEZ PORTILLO 118 20.00 8% 11.50    
BELLAMUNDO Aug24 Jul29       (gonzalez jo)SCRIVER L 115 20.00    
CHARLIE'S MAN Aug20         (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 118 15.00    
MISFIRED Jul24 Jul10       (rust terri)SARMIENTO RIGO 117 12.00 13% 6.80    
SUPER BESLIU Sep03 Aug20       (eliott ro)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 118 30.00    
ZIA ZAPPER Sep03         (lambert case)FUENTES A 118 3.50 21% 3.70    
10  FLEET OF FLAGS Aug20         (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 118 2.50 23% 3.40    
11  DIAMONDS DANZING May07 Apr13       (hernan)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 115 8.00 13% 6.80    
 
ALB-10   09/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMET CAUSEY Sep02 Mar27 Feb26 Feb08 Jan29 (marr h)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 4.50    
SPINNING BLACK Aug10 Apr30       (chavez arturo)MEDELLIN A 121 15.00    
SCR  DANZ AT COLFAX Aug21 Aug06 May22 Apr22 Mar15 (morales danny)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
LIFE JACKET Aug07 Jun11 May22 Feb01   (rojero c)VAZQUEZ JOSE 119 12.00 8% 12.00    
GOLDEN MERGER Sep02 Aug10 Jul30 Jun19   (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 124 3.50 13% 6.40    
HALF COURT SAM Aug12 Aug06 May01 Mar27 Mar15 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 8.00    
TRUST N PRAYER Aug28         (martinez dan)SIGALA ALFREDO 121 25.00 5% 19.00    
MASTERCLASS Aug13 Jun17 Apr30 Feb27 Feb08 (armstrong she)JUAREZ J 121 20.00    
HENNESSY'S SQUIRT Aug10 May22 Feb26 Feb08 Jan18 (chadborn kenneth )PEREZ A 121 3.00 34% 2.00    
10  CANYON DEL ORO Aug10 May22 Mar27 Feb15 Jan21 (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.