Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Monday - August 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   08/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOOPY Aug16 Aug06 Jun26 Jun01 May23 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 0.50 48% 1.10    
SEDUCTIVE (IRE) Aug16 Jul24 Jul03 Jun19 May31 (mumford robert )RAMGEET R 120 20.00    
VIVE EL MOMENTO Aug22 Jul12 Jun21     (gotera ca)JURADO EDDIE 120 50.00    
MAYAN QUEEN Aug14 Jul18 Jun19 Jun14 May31 (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  BEE WINGS Aug16 Jul18 May23     (montano wilfrido)VELEZ J 120 30.00    
LITTLE MATILDA Aug16 Aug01 Jul13 Jun12 Jun01 (bird danny)DIAZ I 120 6.00 17% 4.90    
CURT'S ANGEL Aug21 Aug14 Jul19 Jul05 Jun27 (silva pablo)CCAMAQUE M 123 6.00    
ALGODONAL Aug07 Jul25 Jun13 May30 May23 (clouston ed)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 15.00    
 
MNR-2   08/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY SUGAR TOWN Aug21 Aug06       (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 120 12.00    
LIGHT CRUISER Aug15 Jul16 Jul02 Jun08 May19 (eidsch)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
AMERICAINAED Jul27 Jul12 Jun21 Jun05 May29 (husak)MONSERRATE A 120 20.00    
SCR  SHOSHA Aug15 Jun28 Jun05     (jo)DA FAUSTO 116 6.00    
SCR  EMBRACE THE GRIND Jul31 Jul03 Jun13     (tucker jim)CCAMAQUE M 120 15.00    
SCR  DEPUTY BEN Aug15 Aug03       (daniel o)STANLEY O 120 20.00    
SCR  PAT'S FACTOR Aug17 Jul20 Jul03 Jun13 Jun07 (demczyk vir)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 15.00    
RYEGATE STONE Aug06 Jul20 Jul12 Jun07 May11 (acevedo isr)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 3.50 11% 8.50    
ALTMEISTER Jul31 Jul12 Jun14 Mar24 Jan15 (shilling josep)JURADO EDDIE 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  DESERT COWBOY Aug06 Jul20 Jun28     (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00 6% 14.70    
SCR  PRETTY LOUD Aug21 Aug15 Aug07 Jul31 Jul25 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 116 12.00    
SCR  HESITATION BLUES Feb16 Jan16       (howard will)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 30.00    
 
MNR-3   08/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURRICAIN HUNTER Aug14 Jul17 Jul02 Jun12 May28 (eidschun gre)MAYTA J 120 3.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  SMOOTH RITHMS Aug24 Aug03 Jun27 May29 May23 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 8.00    
AVENIDA MANANA Jul31 Jul23 Jun27 Jun14 Jun12 (larue steve)DIAZ I 120 10.00    
TUNSTALL May15 Apr28 Feb11     (viands gr)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 5.00    
SCR  BELLE BREZING Aug14 Jun19 May31 May23 May01 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 123 1.80 13% 6.40    
MISS FORT Aug09 Jul20 Jun20 Jun07 May07 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00    
SCR  BLARNEY GIRL Aug03 Jul11 Jun23 May13 Mar31 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.00 6% 14.40    
 
MNR-4   08/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE JOHN COLONY Aug09 Jul27 Jun20 May31 May03 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 10.00    
LEAD OFF Jul16 Jun19 Jun11 May29 Apr03 (eidschun gr)WILLIAMS AJHARI 116 3.00 13% 6.60    
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE Aug15 Jul31 Jun30 Jun11 May07 (baird mic)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 4.50    
FLAT OUT MIRACLE Aug03 Jul12 Jun28 Jun21 Jun05 (larue steve)DIAZ I 123 4.00    
E MOLINARI Aug23 Aug03       (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00    
OLD MAN MAC Aug09 Jul27 Jul10 Jun28 Jun21 (hernandez ricard)CCAMAQUE M 123 8.00    
HUNTER JUMPER Aug21 Aug04 Jul09 Jun23 Jun04 (eidschun gregor)VEGA L 116 3.50 59% 0.70    
DUNN DEAL Jul20 Jun12 May22 Apr25 Jan04 (gray )MONSERRATE A 123 8.00    
 
MNR-5   08/29/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED ROCKET GIRL Aug09 Jul19 Jun22     (meeks karl)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 1.40 33% 2.00    
BIPARTISAN BROOKE Jul19 Jun29 Apr18     (larue steve)VEGA L 116 5.00 7% 12.70    
MY BRIDGET VERDOT Aug16 Aug01 Jul19 Jul06 Jun22 (ewell devan )MAYTA J 119 8.00    
BAY OF ANGELS Jun22 Jun06 May17 May08   (husak)MONSERRATE A 120 6.00    
FRESH MORNING Aug03 Jul21 Jul05 Jun13 May21 (hernandez ricard)CCAMAQUE M 116 30.00    
DONTLOSETHATNUMBER Aug10 Jul27 Jul12 Jun28 Jun09 (gonzalez aldana)STANLEY O 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
AWESOME EVIL Jul25 Jul12 Jun13 May15   (gilber)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 20.00    
 
MNR-6   08/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP DOG Aug13 Jul30 Jul13 Jun25 Jun05 (ei)DA FAUSTO 120 5.00 30% 2.30    
JACK'S DREAM Jul14 Jun27 Jun07 Apr28 Mar24 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 4.50 19% 4.30    
FROSTED WHITE FACE Aug17 Jul20 Jul05 Jun26 May29 (ewell devan )MAYTA J 120 8.00    
K P SILVER BULLET Aug15 Jul20 Jul12 Jul03 Jun20 (denny travi)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 4.00 8% 11.50    
JOHN MILTON Jul25 Jul13 Jul05 Jun09 May26 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00    
OPUS EQUUS Aug17 Aug03 Jul08 Jun23 Feb20 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
RED LIAISON Jul27 Jul19 May25 May04   (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 3.00 16% 5.30    
POWER (BRZ) Jul29 Jul02 Jun10 May29   (morzan e)STANLEY O 120 10.00    
CAPTAIN D Jul27 Jul06 Jun26 Jun08 May22 (sipp k)VEGA L 120 12.00    
 
MNR-7   08/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN G Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 Jun09 May04 (gillespie ryan)JURADO EDDIE 120 6.00    
GOLD SHARK Aug18 May23 Apr25     (treharne )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 4.00 56% 0.80    
SKYSCANNER Jul26 Jun25 May27 Apr29 Apr09 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 6.00 8% 10.90    
U. S. STEEL Jul31 Jul14 Jun02 Feb13 Jan16 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 2.50    
COWBOY AT HEART Jul29 Jun30 Jun18 Apr28 Apr01 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00    
WELD Jul18 Jul03 Apr29 Apr01 Mar11 (montano wil)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00    
QUALIFLY Jun27 Jun06 May25 May03   (meyers shane)RIVERA R 120 3.50    
 
MNR-8   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOPE TAKES OVER Aug03 Jul10 Jun20 Jun01 May17 (ba)DA FAUSTO 120 12.00    
LOVE'S TAVITO Aug14 Jul31 Jul19 Jul12 Jun29 (mcgaffic )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 6.00    
EGG NOG Aug09 Jun26 Jun13 May24 May03 (langley s)YARANGA Y 120 4.00 53% 0.90    
QT BLIEGH Aug10 Jun29       (bryant)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00    
NURSE KATIE Jul31 Jul13 Jun29 May30 May17 (gilbert timothy)VEGA L 120 20.00    
FREE TO RUN Aug16 Aug09 Jul31 Jul13 Jun29 (silva juan )BARRIOS RICARDO 120 4.50 14% 6.10    
ANGELS CASTLE Aug05 Jul22 Jun23 May19 Apr30 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00    
MILLIE (CHI) Aug14 Jul25 Jun26 Jun13 May24 (snatchko pa)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 10.00 6% 16.00    
ECLIPSE GLOW Aug14 Aug01 Jul26 Jul13 Jul03 (smith osbor)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 12.00    
10  MISS HATTIE Aug09 Jul28 Jul08 Jun17 Jun08 (thompson daniel)CCAMAQUE M 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.