Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Moosomin Downs
Saturday - August 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MMD-1   08/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($4K) 3UP C/G PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK SHADOW Jun22 Apr23 Apr14 Mar10   (zawislak dale)AUSTIN NIRONE 126 2.50 ★    
SCR  LORD STANLEY         (cameron dean)BELLE SHAVON 126 4.00 39% 1.60    
3  TOLUI Aug05 Jul23 Jul15 Jun10 May07 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00 28% 2.50    
4  RUNAWAY GLACKEN         (camero)LEWIS ANTHONY 126 4.50 ★    
 
MMD-2   08/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP C/G PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUL OBSESSION Aug08 Jul26 Jul13 Jul04 Jun20 (keshane h)CHADEE JR 126 3.00 62% 0.60    
2  PRAISE LOUDLY Aug08 Jul19 Jun29     (tourangeau mik)CHICKENESS S 126 4.00 ★    
3  TOP OF THE ROCK Aug17 Aug03 Jun28 Jun07   (tourangeau rus)BELLE SHAVON 126 6.00 12% 7.10    
 
MMD-3   08/27/2022 2640ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance Purse ($4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL INCLUSION Aug13 Jul30 Jul17 Jun20 Jan28 (gregoi)LEWIS ANTHONY 121 2.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  ARTILLERY Aug23 Mar18 Feb24 Feb06 Jan21 (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 126 4.00 ★    
3  ROGER THAT B Aug09 Jul26 Feb11     (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 126 5.00 29% 2.50    
 
MMD-4   08/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNBRIDLED POSSE Aug02 Jul24 Jul17 Jun23 May30 (tourangeau jen)CHICKENESS S 126 2.50 24% 3.20    
2  TAKE ME TO BATTLE Aug14 Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 (dieno arl)CHADEE JR 119 4.00 47% 1.10    
3  THE TRUTH PROJECT Jun22 Jun14       (cameron dean)BELLE SHAVON 126 3.00 ★    
 
MMD-5   08/27/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2K) Purse ($4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WYNN DIRECTION         (pilon hubert)AUSTIN NIRONE 124 2.50 ★    
2  SHE'S FOR REAL         (constant )CHADEE JR 124 4.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  ELLIE BEAR Jul19 Jun20 Apr01 Feb12   (camero)LEWIS ANTHONY 124 5.00 ★    
4  CATALINA DREAMIN Aug22 Aug09 Jul27     (tourangeau jen)CHICKENESS S 124 3.00 16% 5.20    
5  HOME EARLY SHIRLEY Jul26 Jul20 Jun29     (tourangeau mik)BELLE SHAVON 124 4.50 31% 2.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.