Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fanduel Racing
Tuesday - August 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FAN-1   08/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUTURE VISION Jul16 Jun25 Jun11 May24 Apr26 (juarez bla)MOLINA F 124 6.00    
SEMINOLE BEACH Jul29 Jul01 Jun17 May17 Mar09 (randazzo frank)DIEGO JAVIER 124 3.00 43% 1.30    
SHANGHAI SILVER Jul29 Jul16 Jul05 Jun14 Feb18 (butler ge)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 116 3.50    
RODEO MAN Jul29 Jul12 Jun28 May28 Apr30 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 116 5.00    
READTHETRANSCRIPT Jul23 Jul08 May10 Feb06 Jan21 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 4.50    
WILDWOODS DREAM Aug05 Jul08 May24     (becker)BAILON JADHIR 126 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
FAN-2   08/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALACE KITTEN Jul30 Jul02 May28 Apr26   (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 3.00    
CAN MAN DO Jul21 Jul14 Jun11 May19 Apr07 (kirby fran)MOLINA F 116 3.50 15% 5.80    
THAT KHENNY Jul29 Jul16 Jul05 Jun04 May10 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 126 2.00 51% 1.00    
STORMIN EL PRADO Jul30 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May20 (appleton josh)ORM CORY 124 6.00    
VIOLENZA D'ORO Jul02 Jun14 May24 May10 Apr26 (randazzo ted)HUGHES CARLY 119 4.50    
MY LITTLE TIPSY Aug05 Jul15 Jun11 May08 Apr09 (butler ge)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 6.00 10% 9.50    
 
FAN-3   08/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RETURN OF PREMIUM Aug05         (hernandez javier)ORM CORY 126 12.00    
KINGSBURRY ATTACK         (childers vance)LOPEZ A 126 3.50 8% 11.10    
SMOOTH ATTACK Aug05         (childers vance)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 5.00    
STORM BORN Jul08         (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
READY MADE         (lynch e)HUGHES CARLY 111 4.50 31% 2.30    
MILLARD'S SMILE Jun24 Apr07 Feb26 Jan16   (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 4.00    
MEMPHIS THEPROPHET Aug05         (hernandez javi)DIEGO JAVIER 126 6.00    
 
FAN-4   08/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELEN MAE'S SONG Aug02 Jul05 Jun04 May14 May01 (watkins ja)MOLINA F 124 5.00    
ALMAFUERTE Aug02 Jul19 Jun04 May17 May03 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 126 2.50    
MY MORNING GAL Jul19 Jun21 May31 May17   (coontz arth)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 4.00 19% 4.20    
DUSTY MILLER Jul12 Jun21 Jun11 May17 May03 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 124 6.00    
FOOT RUB LOVE Aug02 Jul12 Jun04 May20 May01 (hernandez javier)ORM CORY 126 3.00 20% 4.10    
PLAY TWENTY Jul19 Jul05 Jun21 May21 May07 (watkins j)ULLOA JOAN 124 4.50 20% 3.90    
 
FAN-5   08/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PONCHO ATTACK Jul29         (childers vance)LOPEZ A 118 20.00    
I'M YOUR VALENTINE Jul29         (kirby j)ORM CORY 118 5.00    
HELA         (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 4.50 31% 2.30    
U S HONOUR NAP Jul29 Jul15 Jun28     (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 1.80 41% 1.40    
SWISHAWISH Jan16         (coontz arth)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 3.50 5% 19.00    
LUKE ATTACK Jul15 Jun28 Jun10 Jun03 May07 (childers vance)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 15.00    
DARREN'S LEGACY Jul29 Jul15 Jun28 Jun17 Jun04 (pompel)BAILON JADHIR 126 4.00    
 
FAN-6   08/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JULIAISON Jul22 Jun24 Jun14 May17   (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 126 2.00    
THINK BLUE Aug02 Jul15 Jun24 May31 Apr30 (mullins d)ORM CORY 118 1.60 57% 0.80    
NEXT TIME YOU WIN Aug02 Jul15 Jun14 May10 Apr23 (nesbitt a)ULLOA JOAN 126 3.50    
DARING DAMSEL Aug02 Jul12 Jun17 May21 May08 (hernandez j)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 10.00    
ROCK THE BIRDHOUSE Jul19 Jul05 Jun11 May17 May03 (bentler don)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 8.00 17% 5.00    
MIKE'S LADY Aug05 Jul22 Jun17 May21 May07 (lynch e)HUGHES CARLY 117 8.00    
 
FAN-7   08/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
W W SCOUT'S HONOR Jul29 May24       (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 2.50 38% 1.70    
W W CRAZY Jul23 Jul09 Jun18 May27 May06 (becker)BAILON JADHIR 126 3.50 8% 11.80    
NAUGHTY ALFRED Jul29 Jul09 Jun14 May31 Apr27 (manley steve)HUGHES CARLY 119 3.00 18% 4.50    
IWILLPERSEVERE Jun18 May28 May07 Apr17 Mar10 (slager mike)ORM CORY 124 12.00    
DIAMOND MAXIMUS Jul29 Jul16 Jun28 Jun17 May24 (wilborn kevin)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 5.00    
STALLONE Jul16 Jun17 May24 May07 Apr19 (retana ga)ULLOA JOAN 124 20.00    
MEDAL OF FACT Jul19 Jun11 May08 Apr10 Feb11 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 4.00 11% 8.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.