Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Friday - July 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   07/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYF Jul15 Jun24 Jun05 Feb09 Jan25 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 3.50 ★    
2  WINE AT NINE Jul09 Jun24 Jun04     (gibson vince)MAWING A 121 2.50 ★    
3  IRISH TERRIER Jul03 Jun12       (soranno jill)GUTIERREZ M 121 5.00    
4  PULPITS POWER Jul03 Jun20 May21     (mcdevitt tiffa)SAMUELS JAKE 121 3.00 61% 0.60    
5  COMMAND SGT MAJOR Jul15 Jun19 Jun05 May21   (martinez b)RADKE K 121 4.50 ★    
6  CANDIED LUTE Jul15 Jun24 Jun10 May21   (simkins rosi)OROZCO E 121 8.00 10% 8.80    
 
EMD-2   07/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAT SEEKING LETA May29 Feb18 Jan30     (dronen sam)RADKE K 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
2  LE TUB Jul16 Jun26 Jun10 Apr20 Apr06 (toye joe)GUTIERREZ M 123 4.00 ★    
3  BLOWING BAYOU Jul16         (abrahamson m)OROZCO E 121 4.50 ★    
4  SLEEPY SUE Jul10 Jun25 Jun10 May15   (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 8.00    
5  JUDICIAL Jul10 Jun25 May29 Mar07 Feb21 (gi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 6.00 33% 2.00    
6  QUEEN BREEZY Jul16 Jun25 Jan19     (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 123 1.60 ★    
 
EMD-3   07/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DEMERARA Jun26 Jun05 Apr12 Mar20 Feb27 (pierce michae)VELASCO EDGAR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  DENNARD Jul02 Jun19 Jun03 May22 Apr04 (bi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 4.50    
3  MIKE MAN'S GOLD Jul10         (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 5.00    
4  TRIBAL IMPACT Jul15 Jul03 Jun24     (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 4.00 ★    
5  STREET MOXIE Jul03 Jun27 Jun20 Feb18 Jan28 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 124 10.00 11% 8.00    
6  PROUDTOBESICILIAN Jul15 Jul01 Jun11 May15 Jan23 (bean a)RADKE K 124 3.00 15% 5.80    
7  SHOCKAZULU Jul15 Jun05 May15     (harris john)SAMUELS JAKE 124 15.00    
8  LICORICE DROP POPS Jul03 Jun12       (lowe nick)GUTIERREZ M 124 3.50 34% 1.90    
 
EMD-4   07/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-11:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANIEL THE DREAMER Jul16 Jun25 Jun04     (person kenne)OROZCO E 120 4.00 39% 1.60    
2  LAKER JET Jun25 Feb06 Jan22     (bean a)SAMUELS JAKE 120 15.00 ★    
3  MEAN SHARON Jul16 Jun18 Jun04 May21   (person a)RADKE K 120 3.00 15% 5.90    
4  JUSTA POPPIN Jul10 Jun04 Mar26 Feb05 Jan02 (velasquez rigobe)MAWING A 120 8.00    
5  MISS KITNESS Jul16 Jun17 Jun03 May22 Apr06 (markle dan)CRUZ M 123 1.80 14% 5.90    
6  TEASPOON OF PEPPER Jul16 Jun25 Jun04     (raudales)MURO ISIDRO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  RED NOON RISING Jul10 Jun25 Jun10 May29 Apr12 (toye joe)GUTIERREZ M 120 4.50    
 
EMD-5   07/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT-11:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUTES LIL GIFT Jun19 May29       (simkins rosie)RADKE K 121 3.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  LAFONDA Jul10 Jun18 Jan17 Jan03   (harwood )MURO ISIDRO 120 15.00    
3  IT'S CURLIN TIME Jul03 Jun11 May29     (toye joe)GUTIERREZ M 123 5.00 ★    
SCR  LA POPIS Jul16 Jun25 Jun03 May06 Apr23 (troiani niccol)SAMUELS JAKE 120 15.00    
5  FEATHER INTHE WIND Jun25 Jun11 May29     (navarro jose)CRUZ M 120 8.00    
6  SHARP CURVE Jul17 Jun25 Jun10 May28 Apr02 (baze robert)ANAYA V 121 12.00    
7  TAM TRICKY Jul01 May22 Apr17 Feb12 Jan22 (wright blain)OROZCO E 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
8  N P FORTY Mar11         (cooper kay)MAWING A 120 4.50 7% 13.90    
9  SACAGEWEA Jul03 Jun19       (we)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 6.00 ★    
 
EMD-6   07/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREVER GOLD Jul02 Jun19 Jun05     (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 6.00    
2  FRISCO FRILLS Jul03 Jun12 May22     (balcom cliff)OROZCO E 119 3.50 21% 3.70    
3  TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY Jul10 Jun17 Jun03 May22 Apr03 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 1.80 ★    
SCR  LA WAUN Jul10 Jun17 Jun05 May22 Apr06 (cryderman can)GUTIERREZ M 121 5.00 36% 1.80    
5  MUNCEY Jul02 Jun18 Jun05 May22   (belvoir howard)MAWING A 121 10.00 ★    
6  MIXO Jul01 Jun17 May21     (crowe shelly)RADKE K 121 2.50 11% 8.00    
 
EMD-7   07/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENOR FABULOSO Jul15         (perez sergio)OROZCO E 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
2  SALTY DAN Jul23 Jun10 Jun03     (thompson)MURO ISIDRO 124 15.00    
SCR  R N' R ATTHE BEACH Jul15 Jul01 Jun17     (hamshar roger)ANAYA V 124 10.00    
4  TAP THE BANK Jul15 Jul01 Jun12 Jun05 May21 (navarro jose)MAWING A 124 2.50 16% 5.40    
5  INDIAN RULE Jul09 Jun25       (gilmour j)JENSEN P 121 8.00 7% 14.20    
6  COWBOY CAUSEWAY Jul09 Jun25 May15     (pe)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 4.50 ★    
7  BET THE HOUSE Jul15 Jun25 Jun17 Jun05 May15 (bullock steve)GUTIERREZ M 121 3.00 9% 10.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.