Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Thursday - July 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   07/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I KNOW         (perri gina)ROSADO JOHAN 120 15.00 16% 5.40    
2  RASCALLY REBEL Jul01         (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 15.00    
3  NORTHERN WEIGELIA         (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 6.00 ★    
4  CAVALRY COMMAND         (salzman timothy)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
5  SMART AND FAST Jul01 Jun03       (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 120 1.00 22% 3.50    
6  FREDDYNESS Jul20 Jun24       (ness jamie)AVILES YAN 109 3.00 ★    
 
LRL-2   07/28/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALIFEROUS Jun12 May21 May01 Mar20   (keil steve)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 15.00    
2  H R H JELLYBEAN Jun26 Jun04 May13     (rawlings amanda)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 6.00    
3  GREAT IDEA Jul04 Jun07 May20 Apr28   (merryman mich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 3.00 34% 1.90    
4  STIMULUS MAKER Jul02 Jun05 May15 Apr24 Apr07 (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 126 8.00 ★    
5  TATE Jun25 Jun11 May13 Apr23 Apr03 (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 6.00 8% 11.00    
6  NEVER SILENCED Jul03 May28 May05     (demario c)HERNANDEZ A 120 20.00    
7  COSMICALITY Jul08 Jun04 May13 Apr28 Feb13 (allen ferris)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 ★    
8  CONSULTANT Jun26 Jun04 Apr30     (trombetta)CARRASCO R 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
LRL-3   07/28/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWELVEO'CLOCKROCK Jul04 Jun11 May05 Mar11 Feb26 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 126 2.50 ★    
2  SHINELIKEADIAMOND Jul01 Jun11 May20 Apr21 Mar25 (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
3  CAMELIA ROD Jul01 Jun05 May14 May01 Feb26 (mcmahon t)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 4.00    
4  EARLEY ROSE Jun24 May22 May03 Mar09 Feb03 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 3.50 21% 3.90    
5  TIZITA Jul08         (rodrig)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00 10% 8.70    
6  SENSON Jul17 Jul02 Jun12 May05 Apr22 (salzman j)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 38% 1.70    
SCR  HOT LOOKIN ROYAL May14 Apr28       (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 120 10.00 9% 10.50    
 
LRL-4   07/28/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MET IN MIAMI Jul10 May26 Apr27 Mar25 Feb20 (motion g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 2.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  ESPERANNNA Jul13 Jun17       (gonzalez cla)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 3.50 26% 2.90    
3  FOXTROT SEVILLE Jul03 Jun18 May30 Feb04 Jan12 (trombetta mich)BOYCE FOREST 126 6.00    
4  GIRL'S ON FIRE Jul12 Jun22 Jun08 May19 Mar27 (rubley kelly)CRUZ ANGEL 126 6.00    
5  ROMANTIC COMEDY Jul13 Jun24 Jun09 May16 Apr24 (ness jamie)AVILES YAN 113 12.00    
6  POUNDING MUSIC Jul15 Jun11 May19 Apr30   (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  MUSICAL CAT Jun11 Jun05 May19 Apr28 Apr13 (allen ferris)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 ★    
8  EVANGELINE ALLONS Jun19 Jun11 May01 Apr14   (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 120 4.00 ★    
9  TORRE BRANCA Jul09 Jun05 May15 Apr10   (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 12.00    
10  EXTRA CRUNCHY Jun23 Jun02 May12 Jan19   (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 120 20.00    
 
LRL-5   07/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELIEVE IN FREEDOM Jul02 May25       (bentley fen)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 20.00 ★    
2  DIVINE FASHION Jul03 Jun17       (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 124 8.00 ★    
3  TILTED TIARA Jul08 May29       (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 124 15.00    
4  NICE QUIST Jun04         (corrales jose)KARAMANOS A 124 20.00    
5  M'LADY THATCHER Jul09 Jun26 Jun04 May06   (gaudet lac)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 3.50 25% 2.90    
6  LADRO DI FICHI Jun26 Jun04 May13     (gonzalez cla)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 3.00 ★    
7  HOODOOLAND Jul01 Apr14       (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 124 1.00 49% 1.00    
 
LRL-6   07/28/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY BABE Jul02 Jan12       (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 20.00    
SCR  SWEET TALIA Jul02 Jun19 May27 May05 Apr24 (smith hami)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 113 3.50    
3  CHARGINA Jun21 Jun05       (beattie t)CARRASCO R 126 2.00 16% 5.10    
4  ICY REPLY Jul02 Jun25 Jun12 May27 May14 (sanchez-salomon)GARCIA LUIS 120 6.00 5% 18.60    
SCR  MAGIC IN ME Jul01 Apr02 Mar05 Feb24 Feb18 (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 20.00    
6  MAMBA QUEEN May19 Apr30 Apr09 Jan23   (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 126 2.50 44% 1.30    
7  SIDNEY SUE Jun27 May14 Apr24 Mar23 Jan16 (fernandez a)BISONO J 126 8.00 ★    
8  DEEMED ESSENTIAL Jul02 Jun12 May27 May13 Apr13 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 5.00 12% 7.30    
9  LA FAMILIA Jul02 Jun23 Jun05 May14   (pradenas sergio)MONTERREY R 122 15.00    
10  IF THEN Jul02 Apr30 Apr08 Mar13 Feb18 (smith hami)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 113 15.00    
11  YIRA Jul02         (salazar marco)AVILES YAN 115 20.00    
SCR  WILLOW DRIVE Jun25 Jun04       (strauss beverly)ACOSTA D 126 15.00    
 
LRL-7   07/28/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIT BOSS Jul16 Jan08 Jan01     (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 12.00    
2  WALK AWAY JOE         (capuano dale)AVILES YAN 116 3.50 22% 3.60    
3  THE STIFF Jun30 May21 Apr01 Feb10   (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 12% 7.10    
4  FORTUNE'S FOOL Jul02 Jun05 Apr27 Mar05 Feb12 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 119 6.00 ★    
5  CARIBBEAN (AUS) Jun26 Jun12 Apr22 Apr02 Mar06 (gonzalez cla)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 2.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  CLOSER LOOK Jul04 Mar06 Feb20 Jan30   (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 123 4.50 ★    
 
LRL-8   07/28/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 35 M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUMINIST Jul04 Jun12 May25     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 2.50 43% 1.40    
2  EMPIRE MISS         (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 122 10.00 ★    
3  FLIMSY (GB) Jul03 May05       (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 2.00 28% 2.60    
4  MORETHANASTORM Jun15 May26       (bentley fen)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 116 15.00    
SCR  BOURBON GYPSY Jun18 Apr30 Mar20 Feb10   (buckley rick)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 8.00    
SCR  SELF ASSURED (IRE)         (jenkins r)CARRASCO R 126 6.00 8% 11.20    
7  BOURBON SWING Jun18 Jun02       (merryman w)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
8  NIBBLES Jul09 May14 Apr27 Feb17   (farrior antho)KARAMANOS A 120 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.