Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - July 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   07/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARARENDA Jul11 Jul03 Jun04     (newland georg)CHERNETZ SKYE 120 5.00 ★    
2  SHOW SOME SKIN Jul12 Jun28 Jun07     (capi m)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 ★    
3  DREAMINOFPASSION Jul11 Jun28 May26 May12 Apr23 (albu ken)HEIN NICOLE 113 1.60 37% 1.70    
SCR  EXPRESS BANKING May31         (jennings alison)CRAWFORD J 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
5  LOUEMMA Jul12 Jun28 Jun07 May13 Apr29 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 ★    
 
FE-2   07/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHANGHAI KIMMY Jun14 May07 Feb26 Jan14   (siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 118 3.00 22% 3.60    
2  J M R BOLD VISION Jul17 Jun27 Jun07 May07   (albu ken)HEIN NICOLE 115 12.00    
3  WORDS OF GOLD Jul05 Jun14       (humber j)BUCHANAN Z 118 12.00 5% 17.30    
4  LOADED ONCE MORE Jul12 Jun27 Jun07     (humber joseph)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 ★    
5  JUNGLE GODDESS Jul12 Jun27 Jun14 Jun07 Apr19 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 118 4.00 ★    
6  MS. P'S BELLA Jul12 Jun27 Jun13 May31 May15 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
 
FE-3   07/25/2022 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMUEL H Jul04 Jun19       (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
2  BOCELLI (IRE) Jun19 May22       (keen howard)JOHNSON DEVON 120 15.00 ★    
3  PARTY OF NO Jul19 Jul04 Jun13     (bail)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 6.00 ★    
4  WILLIAM BOY May21 Apr23 Apr03 Feb12 Jan02 (cathcart steven)MORENO OMAR 118 8.00    
5  SYNCHROMESH Jul04 Jun13       (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 4.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  EXECUTIVE HOLIDAY Jul04 Jun21       (albu ken)MAILHOT P 120 10.00    
7  SALT MINE TEDDY Jul12 Jun13 May31 Jan22 Jan04 (loescher paula)HEIN NICOLE 115 8.00    
8  ARTIE MY BOY Jul05         (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 118 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
FE-4   07/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL BIZ Jul04 Jan15 Jan07     (siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 118 10.00 ★    
2  JMR AWESOM SILENCE Jul05 Jun13       (albu ken)HEIN NICOLE 115 15.00    
3  NOT A GAME Jul11 Jun30 Jun17 May22   (raghunath )FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 118 1.80 ★    
4  JOCULARITY Jul05 Mar16 Feb15 Feb02   (mileni nic)KING MARIE 120 2.50 10% 9.30    
5  THY KINGDOM Jul12 Jun19 Jun07     (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.50 53% 0.90    
6  TRINITY THUNDAH Jul12 Jul04 Jun13 Jun07   (powell a)CRAWFORD J 120 15.00 10% 9.40    
7  SKILLS TEST Jul05 Jun21 May31 May07 Apr24 (agostino roy )DAVID MICHAEL 113 5.00    
 
FE-5   07/25/2022 4620ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUFORT Jun28         (buttigieg kev)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00    
2  GOGO GABRIEL Jul11 Jun21 May26     (chudob)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00 17% 4.80    
3  MISS D'S PRIDE Jul12         (albu ken)HEIN NICOLE 113 4.00 ★    
4  WAR DOCTOR Jul11 Jun24 Jun07 May20 Apr04 (cohen michael)CRAWFORD J 120 3.00 50% 1.00    
5  NO MORE Jul11 Jun14       (humber joseph)MAILHOT P 116 8.00    
6  SENSIBLE PORTIONS Jun28 Jun11       (siddo barringt)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 ★    
7  BIG BOY BENNY Jun07         (keen howard)DAVID MICHAEL 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  INNUENDO (IRE) Jul11 Jun28 Jun03 May19 May01 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 118 6.00    
 
FE-6   07/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIZMO FLASH Jul11 Jun27       (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  NAITAKA Apr28 Feb22 Jan25 Jan08   (rombis e)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00    
3  HASN'T HIT ME YET Jul12 Jun28 May31 May08   (maynar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 ★    
4  MISS SURPRISE Jun28 Jun14 May16 Apr09 Mar24 (sull)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.00 33% 2.10    
5  CASSIE'S RAINBOW Jul05 Jun28 Jun14 May31   (davies ronald)MAILHOT P 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
6  BLONDE ATTITUDE Jul05 Jun27 Jun14 May31   (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00 ★    
 
FE-7   07/25/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INVISIBLE FRIEND Jul15 Jun28 May31 May20 May07 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 118 4.50 ★    
2  GUNZIG STINGER Jul12 Jun16 May07     (rabstein clau)HERNANDEZ K 120 4.00 15% 5.70    
3  JAMAICAN JIMMY Jun28 Jun14       (four)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 118 2.50 48% 1.10    
4  VOYANT Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 Apr08 Feb16 (alders)ALDERSON IAN 120 3.00 15% 5.80    
5  BAHAMIAN DUDE Jun21 May20 Apr06 Mar04 Feb13 (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 6.00    
6  J M R GEMMA Jul16 Jun30 Jun11 May26 May12 (newland george)HEIN NICOLE 108 5.00 ★    
 
FE-8   07/25/2022 4620ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE AINT NO JOKE Jun13 May31       (rabstein claudia )MAILHOT P 118 12.00    
2  REGAL BILLEE Jul11 May31 May15     (loesch)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 110 20.00    
3  BURMESE Jun27         (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00    
4  LITTLE FIRE Jul16 May21 Apr23     (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 118 8.00 15% 5.60    
5  BLACK TAFFY Jul05 Jun07 May19 Apr23 Apr16 (wieczorek kendr)MORENO OMAR 118 3.00    
SCR  CHROMA         (raghunath )FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 118 10.00 41% 1.50    
7  PICTUREDAY JESSICA Jul05 Jun23 May15 May06   (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 118 4.00 6% 16.00    
SCR  MIZZ GEMMA Jul19 Jun17 May26     (albu ken)HEIN NICOLE 113 10.00 ★    
9  DREAM NOW Jun27 Jun17 May08     (newland george)SINGH S 118 12.00    
10  SEAQUELLE Jul11 Jun27 Jun13 May31   (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 11% 8.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.