Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Sunday - July 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   07/24/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD WATCH Jul02 Jun11 May21 Mar27 Feb12 (einhorn kim)HERNANDEZ ANDY 113 5.00    
FAITH IN HUMANITY (FR)         (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 2.50 34% 1.90    
CONSISTENTLY Jan22         (brown c)RENDON JAIRO 118 4.00 9% 10.20    
JUDGEMENT TIME Jul15 Jun10       (thompson glenn)MOYA F 123 12.00    
YARBOROUGH         (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00    
QUARTERFLASH Jun25 May28       (hills a)JUAREZ NIK 123 6.00 26% 2.90    
OLD SCHOOL (GB) Jun11         (pletcher todd)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 4.50    
 
MTH-2   07/24/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALONG THE WAY Jul09 Jun17 May28 May15   (gonzalez cla)HERNANDEZ ANDY 116 1.80 12% 7.40    
IMAGINE THE MOJO Jun17 May28 Apr02 Mar11 Feb13 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 8.00    
CRYSTAL ORB Jul04 May30 May15 Mar26 Mar09 (pringle edmun)KAY R 121 6.00    
SMART RED Jun25 Jun05 Jan07     (captan bassam)PARISH R 121 15.00    
STILL DOING TIME Jul04 Jun04       (tessore bruno)MARIN SAMUEL 115 4.00 7% 13.10    
LAP OF LUXURY Jun25 Jun04 Apr08 Mar09 Jan19 (mcburne)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 1.60 48% 1.10    
 
MTH-3   07/24/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIGGLING GHOST Jul04 Jun17 Apr29 Mar19 Jan28 (quick patrick)CARDENAS LUIS 118 5.00    
ATLANTIC FRONT Jul02 Jun19       (pantaleo j)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 20.00    
MIKES MAJESTY Apr15         (mccarthy bren)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 12.00    
MOON PARTY Jun19 May07 Mar30 Feb20   (zerpa gilberto)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 32% 2.20    
BAYOU MELODY Jul02 Jun12 May30 Apr29 Mar30 (o'connell ka)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 5.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  N Y FANCY Jun25         (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00    
DAHGO Jun19 May28       (pimental john )TORRES JOMAR 118 15.00    
LEGEND'S SONG Jun30 May15       (weave)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 3.00 9% 9.80    
CANDIA Apr24         (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 116 15.00    
10  DESIGNED TO DAZZLE Jul05         (d'angelo jose)JIMENEZ ALBIN 116 6.00 26% 2.80    
 
MTH-4   07/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 2 F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PASSIONATE DREAM         (pletcher todd )CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.00 35% 1.80    
ONE OF THE ONES Jul08         (servis c)PENNINGTON F 117 5.00    
CRYPTO MAMA         (breen j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 3.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  STONE IN LOVE         (crook-demasi k)RENDON JAIRO 117 6.00    
SHINY SLAM         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 117 8.00    
ALWAYS ANGELS         (hollendorfer)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 4.00 6% 15.10    
ALWAYS ELLE         (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 117 15.00    
GUN OF GOLD         (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 117 6.00    
 
MTH-5   07/24/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($78.125K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIT ME I'M LUCKY Jul10 Jun18 May29 May08   (huston ro)VARGAS A 122 6.00    
IRISH MEADOW Jun12 May28 May15 Apr22 Mar31 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
LIB'S CONTENTO Jul03 Jun19 May29     (huston k)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
LEMON CREEK LOUIE Jul10 Jun04 May08 Apr06 Mar20 (nunn doug)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00    
SMITHWICK'S SPICE Jul03 Jun19 Jun04 May15   (nunn douglas)RENDON JAIRO 120 3.00 9% 9.70    
OPTIC WAY Jul10 Jun12 May15     (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00    
 
MTH-6   07/24/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANASSAS         (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 118 5.00    
EQUALJUSTICEFORALL Jul03 Jun12       (milne joan)MARIN SAMUEL 123 8.00    
TARAASHOQ Jul01 Jan07       (escobar alison)CEDENO CAROL 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
STAFF SERGEANT Jul03 Jun19 May27     (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 12.00    
SUNSET PROVISION Jun26 May01 Apr14 Mar09 Feb02 (orseno f)FERRER C 118 4.50 51% 1.00    
PRINCE OF TROY Jul03 May22       (cash j)TORRES JOMAR 118 6.00    
DESTINY JOY Jul15 Jun25 Jun17 Jun04   (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 118 30.00    
HOOKY PLAYER Jun18 May15       (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 2.50    
IMPENETRABLE Jun24         (pletcher tod)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 22% 3.50    
 
MTH-7   07/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHNNY OIL Jun26 Jun18 Jun04 May21 May08 (sweezey j)VARGAS A 121 12.00    
CAJUN MANDATE Jul04 Jun17 Mar09 Feb25 Feb04 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 117 8.00 12% 7.60    
POP POP SUSI Jul01 Jun24 May19 Apr23   (brown howard)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.50    
JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Jul04 Jun19 May29     (foglia antho)HERNANDEZ ANDY 116 8.00    
WE READY Jul17 Jul04 Jun17 Apr29 Apr07 (tessore bruno)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.00 40% 1.50    
TIZ HANDSOME Jun10 May21 Apr06 Feb25 Jan21 (lucas bonnie)FERRER C 121 2.50 25% 3.00    
MR. EXTENSION Jun19 Jun04 May08 Mar26 Mar13 (avila )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 4.00    
 
MTH-8   07/24/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THERE ARE NO WORDS Jul10 Jun18 May29 May08   (spina charles)JIMENEZ ALBIN 115 1.20 51% 1.00    
WOLFE 'N HAWKE Jun18         (milne joan)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.50    
SCR  SALTIN' THE RIM Jul04 Jun18 May29     (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 20.00    
OHANA EMPIRE Jul10 Jun18 May30 Apr29 Apr16 (pimenta)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 5.00    
SCR  PAL Jul03 Jun18 May29     (frangella james )FERRER C 120 12.00    
SCR  CASH KID Jul03 Jun10 May22 May08 Apr08 (sacco gre)RODRIGUEZ A 120 12.00    
DUQUESNE Jun29 Jun18 May29     (marquez cesa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 4.00 14% 6.40    
NEXT COWBOY UP Jun05 May22       (marquez cesa)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 12.00    
SCR  ROYAL COUP Jul03 May29 Apr18 Mar29   (pearce penny)ADORNO ABNER 120 4.00    
 
MTH-9   07/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXALTED CHARM Jul04 Jun19 May20 Apr23 Apr10 (russo victor)TORRES JOMAR 124 8.00    
COMMANDING GENERAL Jun25 Jun09 May27 May13 Apr16 (david car)RODRIGUEZ A 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  FREE DANCER Jul23 Jun24 Jun01 Apr08 Mar18 (maymo j)FERRER C 122 4.50    
SCR  ARCADIA CALLS Jun26 Jun04 Apr29 Mar16 Feb11 (delgado jose )SANTOS ADEMAR 120 10.00    
GLORIOUS MOMENT (PER)         (hemingway mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 5.00 22% 3.60    
RAISE THE RENT May28 Mar09 Feb06 Jan08   (breen kel)VARGAS A 120 8.00 8% 11.30    
ZAP MOTION Jul03 Mar11 Jan23 Jan01   (thomas jonath)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
RIDICULOUS Jul04 Jun10 May29 Apr29 Apr07 (skelto)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 8.00    
BAZOO Jun25         (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 120 15.00    
10  RISK VS REWARD Jul04 Jun25 Jun10 May22 May14 (skelton dawn)PANAIJO JORGE 115 30.00    
 
MTH-10   07/24/2022 3300ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIDING PRETTY Jun24         (owens jr)RENDON JAIRO 117 6.00 32% 2.10    
MARGARET BURBIDGE         (ward a)JIMENEZ ALBIN 115 4.00    
ALTERNATE ROCK Jun24 May19       (d'ang)DIAZ RAFAEL 117 6.00    
MOTOWN MISCHIEF May31         (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ A 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
FAST KIMMIE Jun24 May26       (gonzalez javie)TORRES JOMAR 117 12.00    
KERRY Jun05 May12       (clement chri)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50    
SWEET HARMONY (IRE) Jun04         (terranova john)CAMACHO SAMY null      
SANSA ARIEL Jun01         (lynch cathal)RUIZ JORGE 117 3.00 43% 1.40    
 
MTH-11   07/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEARLS AND HEELS Jun25 Jun03       (hollendorfer)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.50 42% 1.40    
CLERY'S FANTASY         (wilson faith)CARDENAS LUIS 118 10.00 24% 3.10    
ROWDY CACKALACKY Jun25 Jun12       (berrios)GONZALEZ LUIS 123 20.00    
SCR  NOBODY'S SECRET Jun25 May01 Mar31 Mar12 Mar06 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 118 4.00    
SCR  I'M A CUTIE Feb04 Jan05       (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.50    
ANOTHER SAUCY SIX Jun25 Feb16 Feb05 Jan22 Jan05 (carvajal luis )CAMACHO SAMY 123 5.00    
NO MO DANCING Jul08 May28 Apr23     (cruz jesu)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.