Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Saturday - July 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   07/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELAIRE Jun21 May29 May14 Mar27 Mar05 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 1.60 59% 0.70    
2  COUYONS CAUSE Jun27 Jun04       (austin a)CULP BRIANNE 115 6.00 ★    
3  HEZA SEXY ZONG Jul12 Jun27 Jun04 May14 Mar17 (dison phill)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.00 14% 6.10    
4  THEO D'OR Jun21 Jun04       (dunn ra)VARGAS P 120 4.50 ★    
5  SALUTE NOW Jun27 Jun04 May14     (cascio a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 ★    
6  DEMON HUNTER Jul03 Jun12       (johnson b)TORRES HUGO 115 10.00    
7  LUCKY MOON DOG         (taylor larry)BACA L 120 12.00    
 
LAD-2   07/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VEGAS GUY Jul09 Jun16       (diodoro robertino)SINGH R 124 1.60 25% 3.00    
2  BOATING PARTY Mar16 Feb23 Feb05     (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 122 4.00 19% 4.20    
3  CRAFTY HEAT Jul05 Jun13 May25 May10 Apr19 (hatcher nathan)COTTO L 122 10.00    
4  AUTOCRATIC Jul04 Jun09 May21 May06 Mar31 (milligan allen)GUZMAN JORGE 118 6.00 ★    
5  CAPE TOWN WILLY Jun26 Jan15       (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00 ★    
6  REAL BRAVE Jul04 Jun21 Jun06 Mar02 Feb18 (morris rowdy)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 2.00 25% 2.90    
 
LAD-3   07/23/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN QUALITY Jul10 Jun10 May19 Apr28   (diodoro robert)BACA L 120 2.00 20% 3.90    
2  LOU'S ARROW Jul11 Jun04 May23 May08 Apr16 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 115 4.50 14% 6.20    
3  THUNDER JAM         (meaux jason )NIEVES EMANUEL 117 8.00 12% 7.40    
4  BELLA'S GATSBY         (gomez ra)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 116 15.00 12% 7.40    
5  WHITE TAIL DEER Mar25 Feb24       (guzman adan)GUZMAN JORGE 120 6.00    
6  LOOKIT         (romero gera)FLORES S 121 5.00    
7  LONG WARRIOR         (garcia luis)VARGAS P 120 6.00 ★    
8  C. F. CONGRESS Jul09 Jun18 May29 May15 Apr09 (coats t)LOZADA CARLOS 113 6.00    
 
LAD-4   07/23/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE GRAY BLUR Jul09 Jun28 Jun04 May23 May10 (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 117 4.00 9% 9.90    
2  REDIVIVUS Jun14 Feb25       (snodderl)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00 ★    
3  GRAB THE MUNNY Jun25 May30 May14 Apr28 Mar10 (uballe adam)GUZMAN JORGE 122 5.00 ★    
4  TIZ SHOWBIZ Jun23 May22 Apr23 Feb19 Jan08 (broberg karl)LOZADA CARLOS 122 4.50 48% 1.10    
5  FORT RIDGE Jul05 Jun27 Jun06 May23 Apr10 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 117 12.00    
6  SMART TIME Jun18 May30 Apr03 Mar17 Jan30 (hornsby tammy)VARGAS P 122 20.00    
7  TWO DOT Jun18 May30 May09 Mar13 Feb19 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 1.80    
SCR  KASILOF Jul12 Jun13       (wilson shan)FLORES S 122 6.00 15% 5.50    
 
LAD-5   07/23/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 2 ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLINDEDBYTHEGEES Jun26         (pish danny)MORALES ROBERTO 119 3.00 33% 2.00    
2  RAP ARTIST         (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 119 3.00 9% 10.70    
3  RUN CARLOS         (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 119 12.00 ★    
4  A MILLION STARS Jul10 Jun26       (johnson b)BOREL H 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
5  HABANERO TOM         (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 10.00    
6  ROCKET DOCTOR         (pish danny)GUZMAN JORGE 119 4.50 ★    
7  KING CHROME         (dandridge cour)BACA L 119 15.00    
8  MYGLORYBEE         (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 10.00    
 
LAD-6   07/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  I'M A SPECIAL STAR Jun23 Apr16 Feb10 Jan29 Jan14 (ramirez eduard)CULP BRIANNE 117 5.00 ★    
2  WISE ANCHOR Jun08 May25 Mar26 Mar05 Feb16 (ramirez )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 1.80 32% 2.20    
3  FORTY THREE Jul05 Jun18 May08 Mar27 Mar13 (balderas alfo)VARGAS P 118 8.00 7% 13.80    
SCR  WICKED ALEX Jun21 May31 May10     (foster joseph )COTTO L 122 15.00    
5  CRYPTOZONIC Jun28 Jun05 May10 Mar13 Feb20 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
6  GRIEF Jun26 May17 Mar13 Feb20 Feb04 (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.50 ★    
 
LAD-7   07/23/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOUCH OF GOLD Jul10 Jun27 Jun11     (melancon donald)TORRES HUGO 115 20.00    
2  SHADY GRADY Jul03 Jun11 May28 May14 Mar05 (romero gera)FLORES S 122 4.00 8% 10.80    
3  JOEBOY Jul02 Jun18 May31 May15 May07 (beavin judy)GUZMAN JORGE 124 6.00    
4  VISION OF ANGELS Jun27 Jun05 May15 Mar27 Mar06 (jeansonne justin)BOREL H 122 8.00    
5  NOW YOU RULES Jun27 Jun11 May18 Apr22   (broberg karl)LOZADA CARLOS 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
6  CALLINGINTHENIGHT Jun20 Jun05 May10 Feb24   (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 122 2.50 5% 19.00    
7  JUSTA SWINGING Jul12 Jun27 Jun05 Feb03   (turner patti)BACA L 122 15.00    
8  LILRASCALMAN Jun26 May17 Feb04 Jan09   (meaux h)COTTO L 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  CH BERN Jun27 May15 Feb23     (lara jorge)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00    
SCR  PLEASANT VISION Jun05 May15 Apr28 Apr14 Feb11 (hirdes john)CULP BRIANNE 117 12.00    
SCR  CHARLI MICHAEL Jun05 May15 Apr22 Apr07 Mar11 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  MY LITTLE FLACO Jul08 Jun01 May05 Apr20 Feb25 (bruno l)CULP BRIANNE 117 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.