Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sacramento
Saturday - July 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SAC-1   07/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARTY SPIRIT (GB) Jul03 Jun05       (badilla manue)OROZCO IRVING 125 2.00    
QUEEN OF LOVE Jun19 May27 Jan28 Jan09   (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 1.20 35% 1.80    
CYCLONE SLEW Jul02 Jun19 May30 May14 May01 (hansen roge)TERRERO M 125 3.00 29% 2.50    
HARBOR ABBEY Jun24 Jun05 May13 Apr02 Feb21 (franko d)AMADOR RUIZ 125 4.50    
 
SAC-2   07/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($27K) 3 ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIP TO SPAIN Jun24 May29 Apr24 Mar18 Jan28 (thomas jamey)OROZCO IRVING 124 2.50 38% 1.70    
NORTHVALE ROAD May28 May01 Apr08 Mar18 Feb11 (moger ed)AMADOR RUIZ 122 4.00    
STANFORD BAY Jul01 May28 May06 Feb25 Jan28 (ramos jesus)RIVERA SANTOS 122 2.00 17% 4.70    
SCR  MIKE DAD Jun26 Jun05 May14 Apr23   (thomas jam)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 8.00    
HEAVEN SHINES Jun24 May15 Apr17 Mar27 Mar07 (wong jonathan)PENA BRYAN 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
 
SAC-3   07/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEGURO Jun03 Apr22 Apr01 Feb27 Feb06 (moger ed)AMADOR RUIZ 125 6.00    
A DIME FOR ME Jun26 May28 Apr19 Mar23 Mar14 (wong jonathan)PENA BRYAN 125 1.60 31% 2.30    
PHANTOM INDIAN Jun19 May01 Apr02 Mar04 Jan28 (tamayo isidro)OROZCO IRVING 125 2.00 34% 1.90    
PERSUASIVE LIPS Jun24 Jun03 May13 Apr22   (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 4.00    
LOUD FUSAICHI Jun24 Jun04 May15 Apr29 Apr02 (trujillo vi)TERRERO M 122 5.00    
 
SAC-4   07/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SLUMBERING BEAUTY Jun10 May27 May08     (rivera leob)TERRERO M 125 3.00    
JAYCEE Jul01 Jan08       (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
CIRCLE OF ROYALTY Jul09 Jun17 Jun03 May20 May07 (france reid)PENA BRYAN 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
COUSIN NIECEY Jul02 Jun17 May29 Apr30   (ledezm)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 115 8.00    
DEAREST BARBARA Jul01 Jun03 May27 May07 Mar27 (ramirez mi)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 6.00    
JEANIE'S SWAN Jun17 May20       (offield duane)RIVERA SANTOS 122 5.00    
 
SAC-5   07/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 2 ALL PT- 7:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEN THOUSAND STEPS Jun10         (ledezm)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 113 10.00    
HOT JOURNEY May28         (maravilla )MONROY FRANCISCO 120 8.00    
PIPER'S CAUSEWAY Jun17         (trujillo vi)TERRERO M 120 2.00 39% 1.50    
GOOD DANNY Jun17 May28       (rondan felix)RIVERA SANTOS 120 5.00    
EL CAPRICHO Jun10         (mara)ANTONGEORGI JR 120 3.50    
GALLIVANTER Jul01 May28       (wong jonathan)PENA BRYAN 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
 
SAC-6   07/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'LL DO IT FOR YOU Jun26 Apr24 Mar12 Feb22   (miller que)ORANTES R 117 8.00    
OPTIMAS Jun25 May02 Apr07 Feb25 Jan21 (scolamie)AMADOR RUIZ 125 5.00 24% 3.20    
EMMA'S DANCE Jun24 May07 Apr01 Mar11 Feb19 (moger ed )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 4.00 17% 5.00    
LA AGUILILLA Jun26 May20 May07 Apr17 Apr01 (ramo)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 3.00    
MISCHIEVOUS CURLIN Jun26 May29 May13 Apr22   (taylor fait)TERRERO M 127 2.00 27% 2.70    
DAMN THE TORPEDOES Jun26 May29 May07 Apr24 Apr10 (trujillo vict)OROZCO IRVING 125 5.00    
 
SAC-7   07/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STALKING SHADOW Jun11 May01 Apr09 Mar04   (wong jonathan)PENA BRYAN 121 1.80 27% 2.70    
ALVAARO May27 May01       (trujillo vict)OROZCO IRVING 121 4.00 15% 5.60    
ENGRAM Jul01 Jan08       (miller quenti)COUTON JULIEN 119 6.00    
ROCKTILLYOUDROP Jun11 May21 Apr30 Apr09 Mar20 (moger ed)AMADOR RUIZ 121 5.00    
UNION DANCE Jun18 May20       (tamayo isi)MONROY FRANCISCO 121 3.00 21% 3.80    
POUR ON THE COLE Jun19 Jun03 Apr30     (trujillo vi)TERRERO M 121 8.00    
 
SAC-8   07/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTO BOURBON Mar07 Jan17       (thomas jam)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 4.00 21% 3.90    
OLYMPIC SILVER Jun26 Jun12 May21 Apr17 Mar19 (ramos jesus)MARTINEZ ADRIAN 118 4.50 15% 5.50    
BUEN CHICO Jul10         (preciado )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 10.00    
SHE THINKS IM CUTE Jul02 Jun05 May14     (ramos jesus)RIVERA SANTOS 122 6.00    
OMAHA RUTSCH Jun05 May14 Apr23 Apr01   (de pablo)FLORES P 125 8.00    
RIVERSKY         (maravilla jorg)ALVARADO T 125 2.00 42% 1.40    
MEDAL ICE Jun26 May29 May08 Apr24   (lenzini mic)TERRERO M 122 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.