Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prineville Turf Club
Thursday - July 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRV-1   07/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSY PARKER Jun28 Jun20       (crystal dustie)WOOTEN W 121 2.00    
JHAWK FLYER Jun28 Jun21 Jun10     (stewar)GONZALEZ FLORES 126 3.00 24% 3.10    
COASTAL SWEETIE Jun28 Jun20       (harshman l)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 121 3.50    
LIGHT OF FAITH         (rodriguez )PRECIADO A 124 4.00    
NEATAPAR Jul04 Jun21       (braden darle)SMITH E 126 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
PRV-2   07/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2K) Purse ($4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUPITER S. Jun28 Jun21 Jun11     (stewar)GONZALEZ FLORES 126 2.50 34% 2.00    
MERITOCRACY Jul04 Jun28       (williams gabriel)WOOTEN W 126 2.00 12% 7.00    
HYPHY Jul03 Jun21       (maelfeyt bru)SMITH E 126 3.50    
ASTOUNDING ABBY Jul04 Jun27 Jun21     (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 4.50    
COSMIC TRIPSTER Jul04 Jun28 Mar06 Feb18 Jan28 (crystal du)PRECIADO A 126 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
PRV-4   07/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($4.4K) 3UP ALL PT-11:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PREACHINATDINNER Jul03 Jun11 Apr03 Mar06   (morris mic)HENRY JR 126 3.50 18% 4.40    
E Z LARRY Jun10         (harshman l)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 126 4.00 14% 6.20    
FORT YORK Jul03 Jun20 Jan31 Jan12   (abraham tim)SMITH E 126 2.00    
ZOE'S PAPA CEE Jul04 Jun28 Jun20     (bumgardner)PRECIADO A 126 4.00 29% 2.50    
LONO Jul03 Jun28 Jun21     (williams ga)GUERRERO C 126 2.50    
 
PRV-6   07/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($5.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAL'S GIRL Jun21         (bumgardner)PRECIADO A 126 4.00 21% 3.80    
AT U LOVER Jul03 Jun21       (lewis roberta)WOOTEN W 126 3.50    
MADAME JEANETTE Jun28         (hurley denn)GUERRERO C 126 4.50    
GREAT CURVES Jun21         (harshman loe)SMITH E 126 2.50 21% 3.70    
EMMA'S A BEAST Jul03 Jun21 Feb11 Jan17   (magallanes)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 126 1.80 35% 1.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.