Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Thursday - July 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   07/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAWGMENTALITY         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 8.00    
BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES Jun14 May31       (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 120 10.00    
SCHIFFHAUER STRONG         (lecesse mich)ALENCAR WALBER 120 3.00 15% 5.60    
I STRONG Jun14 May31       (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 3.50    
CAMINO DE SANTIAGO Jun14         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 1.40 60% 0.70    
SWELTER         (hamm timothy)ALLEN D 120 6.00    
 
PID-2   07/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY MY BOY Jun28 Jun14 May30 Apr22 Apr09 (guciardo)GALLARDO A 122 3.50    
EXTRA MEDIUM Jun18 Jun04 May20 May06 Apr01 (buckley rick)BATISTA A 122 1.80    
BALK Jun28         (radosevich shelly)FOX CHRIS 122 10.00    
GOLDEN EMPEROR Jun28 Jun14       (rogers michael)ALLEN M 122 6.00 19% 4.20    
CATHMOR Jun28 Jun16       (pappada michael)STANLEY O 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
DONALD Jun28 Jun16 May30     (morrell justin)ALLEN D 122 8.00 9% 10.00    
 
PID-3   07/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORAZIO Jun15 May24 Apr01 Mar17 Feb18 (walsh d)ALLEN D 122 8.00    
DRIFTWOOD Jun21 Mar04 Feb04 Jan15   (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 1.40 35% 1.90    
JEN'S SONG Jun27 Jun21 Jun06 May30 May18 (depasquale ki)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50    
HARD COUNT Jun27 May24 May16 Mar30 Feb19 (hoffman )GALLARDO A 124 1.80 30% 2.30    
CHIC N WILBUR Jun27 Jun15 Jun02 May23 Apr09 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 4.00    
 
PID-4   07/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINGS OF LOVE Jun30 Jun09       (rice kevin)AYALA J 119 6.00 26% 2.80    
BLUEBERRY DUDETTE Jul05 Jun20 Jun07     (antus lawrence)ALLEN M 124 6.00    
NOT SHY Jun29 Jun06       (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 12% 7.40    
CAROLINA SAND Jun28 Jun14       (wismer glenn )WALKER M 124 12.00 10% 8.80    
ARTUME Jun06 Mar31 Mar08     (west m)MARTINEZ W 119 2.00    
DUPLICATED Jul05 Jun21 Jun14     (buhrow d)STANLEY O 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
GO G G GO Jul05 Jun06       (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 124 10.00    
 
PID-5   07/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMAZON LIZZIE Jul04 Jun20 May31 May18   (radosevich sh)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
DATA PRINCESS Jun16 May17       (ruberto loui)AYALA J 124 2.50    
CONQUESTHARDCHERRY Jun30 Jun16 May31 May18   (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 12.00    
AT LEAST         (grace john)KNOTT L 122 4.50    
LITTLE CHRISTY Jul06 Jun19 May22 May08 Apr24 (sipp burton )BURGOS ALBERTO 122 6.00 10% 8.90    
LETS RACE LADYS Jun30 Jun20 Jun02 Jan29   (russell randall)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
ODD GAL Jun06 May31       (depasquale ki)DELGADO DAVID 122 4.00 37% 1.70    
WILD LOOKER Jun27 Jun16 May31 May18   (skawinski carol )MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 6% 14.50    
 
PID-6   07/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONOR COLLECTION Jun23 Jun08 May25 Apr22 Mar23 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 121 6.00    
TAKE CHARGE D'ORO Jun22 May20 Mar02     (sherman j)BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 8.00    
CLAW Jul06 Jun23 Jun14 Jun08 May30 (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 121 5.00    
GAGE HAS A GRAY Jun23 Jun01 Apr25 Apr07 Mar15 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 4.00 10% 8.90    
AULT Jul06 Jun23 Jun08     (radosevich shelly )SPIETH S 124 1.80 66% 0.50    
ST. PADDY'S DADDY Jun23 Jun15 Jun08 May25 May18 (girten t)GALLARDO A 121 4.50    
OUR DOMINATOR Jun23 Jun07 May23     (rogers mic)AYALA J 121 8.00    
 
PID-7   07/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELIA May24         (stokes lance)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
MS TEMPTATION Jun09 May24 Apr02 Mar18 Feb25 (brownfield claud)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
CHARLIV Jun27 Jun13 May24 May14 Mar26 (potts g)SPIETH S 122 8.00    
IDEAL BREEZE Jun27 Jun09 May24 Apr24 Mar30 (guciardo)GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
BROOKLYNS SURPRISE Jun20 May17       (ruberto loui)AYALA J 122 4.00 13% 6.90    
RUNAWAY BREEZE Jul07 Jun23 Jun14 May31 Mar02 (rice kevin)BECKMAN ALICE 111 4.50    
 
PID-8   07/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZAMAN Jun30 Jun08 May18     (ruberto loui)AYALA J 122 15.00    
SILVER TOKEN Jun30 Jun20 Jun07 May17 Apr20 (markgraf davi)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
TITHED Jun30 Jun16 Apr03 Mar26 Feb27 (russell rand)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 6.00    
SNOW JOB Jul05 Jun15 Jun08 May26 Apr30 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
KICK IT CHARLIE Jun22 Jun02 May25     (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00    
FIGHTIN PHIL Jun30 Jun16 Jun08 May25   (antus lawrence)ALLEN M 122 8.00    
LEBASI Jul07         (hogue l)ALLEN D 122 2.50 5% 19.00    
HOUSE LIGHTS Jul05 Jun22 Jun16 May16   (buhrow d)STANLEY O 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.