Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Thursday - July 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   07/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'LL RAISE YOU Jun11 May18 May07 Apr09 Feb18 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 1.40 60% 0.70    
SCR  MASTERLY (ARG) Jul06 Jun03 Apr09 Mar05 Feb16 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 1.40    
2  WAR SONG Jun23 May19 Mar02 Jan06   (roberts kenneth)MCMAHON J 117 3.50 ★    
SCR  I'M LOOKING UP Jun09 May28 May12 Feb09   (zenon shelton)FUSILIER C 120 5.00 10% 8.60    
4  MAKATI PHIL Jun30 Jun23 Jun03 Apr28 Apr07 (zeno benjamin)MELANCON G 117 10.00 ★    
5  KNOCKALITTLELOUDER Jun25 May28 May12 Apr21 Mar02 (vance terry)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 2.00 ★    
 
EVD-2   07/14/2022 4950ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SPELLBINDING Jun29 Jun10 Mar09 Feb14 Jan23 (ducoing stur)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 2.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  MONEY WELL SPENT Jun24 Mar20 Feb14 Jan07   (ducoing stur)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 2.50 ★    
SCR  WORLD WAR Jun04 May12 Mar20 Feb11   (faucheux ro)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 1.80 29% 2.40    
3  MI LIA Jun10 May07 Mar27 Mar09 Jan27 (david b)THORNTON G 115 3.00 ★    
SCR  BURNING DESIRE Jun09 May21 May07 Apr09 Mar05 (harrison cortla)MCMAHON J 113 8.00    
5  KIND WAYS Jun24 Jun10 May27 May07 Apr21 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 10.00    
6  CRIMSON FELINE Jun24 Jun02 Apr21 Mar27 Jan23 (richards corale )FUSILIER C 115 5.00 ★    
SCR  SPECIAL CONNECTION Jun23 Jun01 Mar09 Feb17   (david b)MCMAHON J 120 1.80 17% 5.00    
 
EVD-3   07/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARGYBARGY BUCK Jun25 May28 May14 Apr09 Mar24 (alonzo howard)STOKES J 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
2  NOCOMET Jun25         (zeno benjamin)MELANCON G 120 6.00    
3  THIRTYEIGHTCALIBER Jan21         (sturro)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 20.00 26% 2.80    
4  FULL POWER Jun24 May18 Apr21 Mar02 Jan21 (derousselle pet)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 ★    
5  MARVELOUS RED Jun24 Feb24 Jan22     (alberto anto)MAGNON H 120 15.00    
6  ONE PROUD BOY Jul01 May26 May05 Apr20 Jan12 (richards corale )FUSILIER C 120 4.50 ★    
7  QUANA DUDE Jul01 Jun08 Apr15 Feb12 Jan29 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.50 ★    
 
EVD-4   07/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HENNING Jun16 May14 Apr27 Mar01 Feb06 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 10.00    
SCR  M AND M'S CUSTOM Jun30 Jun08 May14 Apr27 Feb23 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 10.00 ★    
2  YOUNG TUSCAN Jun09 May14 Apr27 Jan08   (thomas lee)BARNES JOSE 113 15.00    
3  FOOLISH DREAMS Jun09 May15 Mar27 Feb20 Jan08 (faucheux r)MARQUEZ L 118 2.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  GRAND PRADO Jun09 May14 Feb12     (landry ray)STOKES J 118 4.00    
5  G'WILDCAT Jun09         (modica oscar)MELANCON G 118 5.00 ★    
SCR  REAL CITY SPEED Jun15 Jan20       (bourgeois ke)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 113 3.00 36% 1.80    
7  ORDER UP May20 Apr16 Mar24 Mar12 Feb05 (flint steve)DEL-CID VICENTE 108 3.50 18% 4.40    
 
EVD-5   07/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAKE RUNNER Jun11 May26 May12 Apr16 Mar04 (richards co)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 4.50 ★    
2  MISS MIRACLE GIRL Jun29 Jun11 May13 Apr27 Apr13 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 4.00    
3  ABIGAIL G Jun22 May27 May07 Apr27 Apr06 (castille ricke)THORNTON G 123 3.00 38% 1.70    
4  LA JAZZ Jun29 Jun17 May27 May13 Apr06 (zenon shelton)MCMAHON J 123 6.00 12% 7.30    
5  CUSTOM MADE Jun11 Jun01 May05 Apr09 Feb24 (landry ray)STOKES J 123 2.50    
6  CORBIN'S WILD ACES Jun17 May20 Apr14 Mar05 Feb17 (huval brian)FUSILIER C 118 10.00 19% 4.30    
7  CONSERVATVE VALUES Jun12 May16 Apr13 Mar25 Feb18 (jeansonne justi)TORRES HUGO 113 8.00 ★    
 
EVD-6   07/14/2022 4950ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYLIES STAR Jun18 May20 Apr14 Feb19 Jan22 (courville rick)THORNTON G 118 12.00 7% 13.50    
2  BARRANCA Jun18 May20 Apr14 Mar04 Feb12 (brinkman brett)BARNES JOSE 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
3  THE CALLING STONE Jun18         (woodley j)STOKES A 118 8.00    
SCR  SHE'S WAYNE'S Jun03 Apr16       (devereux pa)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 5.00    
5  STARSHIP NOLA May20 Apr14 Feb03     (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 10.00    
SCR  STELLAR FANTASY May28 May05       (harrison cor)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  MISS BARETA Apr14 Mar12 Feb03     (delany sarah)STOKES J 118 15.00    
8  LADY CHURCHILL Jun10 May14 May06 Feb05   (ducoing sturges)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 29% 2.40    
9  WORLD OF HURT Jun10 May14 Mar09 Jan16   (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 118 4.00 10% 9.40    
 
EVD-7   07/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALIGNED INTEREST Jun18 Jun01 May18 May06 Apr22 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 20.00    
2  MAGAWILDTIME May22 Apr22 Feb05 Jan12 Jan01 (cormier winston)BARNES JOSE 118 15.00    
3  STANDING MAN Jun01 Apr21 Mar06 Feb05   (richards corale )FUSILIER C 118 10.00    
4  DREWHUSTLE May22 May07 Mar27 Feb24   (briley lon)MARQUEZ L 118 12.00    
5  FORESTDUNGONE Jun04 May18 Apr22 Mar27 Feb16 (bourgeois )ALBERT S 113 8.00    
6  EVERLOVINGHAND Jun22 May20 Apr08 Mar23 Mar01 (faucheux ro)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 3.50 19% 4.20    
7  GET THEM JUSTIN Jun01 May18 Apr22 Feb12 Jan27 (segura kearney)STOKES J 118 5.00 33% 2.10    
8  PINCH ASSAULT Jun19 May12 Apr09 Mar16 Feb24 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 3.00 ★    
9  VENN Jun01 May07 Apr22 Feb24 Feb05 (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 10.00 7% 13.10    
10  SPEAKTOMEOFLOVE Jun22 Mar27 Feb05     (chatters benard)MCMAHON J 118 4.50 17% 4.90    
 
EVD-8   07/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEPPER POINT Jun29 May28 Apr20     (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 3.00    
SCR  LATER LATERTIFFANY May19 Feb10       (turner dennis)MECHE CODY 120 3.50 16% 5.30    
3  GOODBYE ROSIE Jun29 May13 May04 Apr13   (zenon shelton)FUSILIER C 115 6.00 22% 3.60    
4  D'LADY FIRED UP Jun23         (flint stev)ALBERT S 115 8.00 12% 7.50    
5  BISTINEAU BELLE Jun29         (brinkman brett)BARNES JOSE 115 5.00 ★    
6  GRACE'S VISION Jun29 Jun16 May28 May13 Apr20 (derousselle pet)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 15% 5.60    
7  COURT IN SESSION Jun04 Feb19       (guillo)RUIZ GARCIA 115 20.00    
8  FLYING I May20 Apr30 Apr08 Feb24   (west henry)ATEMPA LIANDRO 123 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.