Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Friday - July 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   07/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY KINGDOM Jun24 Jun04 May21 Apr11 Mar19 (foglia )GONZALEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
AMERICAN FORCES Jul02 Jun10 Apr29 Feb15 Jan25 (sacco gre)RODRIGUEZ A 124 4.50    
KING RAMOS Jun24 Jun05 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 (rodriguez ange)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 9% 9.80    
MYSTERY MO Jun18 May29 Jan21 Jan09   (bennett gera)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 1.60 42% 1.40    
BELLAMY DOLCE Jun10 May30 May16 Mar26 Mar11 (simmonds mic)BATISTA A 120 15.00    
LORD MIO May29 Apr09 Mar25 Feb27 Feb06 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 115 6.00    
TURNPIKE BOB Jun15 Apr18 Mar29 Jan25   (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 115 3.50 18% 4.70    
 
MTH-2   07/08/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADOW CHASER         (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00    
RUN HAPPY PAPPY Jun18 Jun04       (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 118 4.00    
LEO AND LUCA         (breen j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 3.50 15% 5.70    
GIRL AFRAID May13         (ward wesley )LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 1.20 63% 0.60    
LITTLE BANKER MAN         (ortega leopol)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 10.00    
RECUSED         (huston ro)RODRIGUEZ A 118 5.00    
 
MTH-3   07/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POINTER Jun18 May29 May14 Mar20 Jan05 (gomez pom)RODRIGUEZ A 120 12.00    
SCR  MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI) Jun19 May29 May14 Mar26 Feb18 (englehart je)BATISTA A 124 2.00 44% 1.30    
GET THE W Jun25 Jun14 May24 May02 Apr18 (lee hale)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 1.60 18% 4.40    
AEQUOR Jun19 May29 Apr16 Mar10 Mar03 (russo fra)VARGAS A 124 5.00    
HARD WEST Jun19 May29 May14 Apr18 Mar23 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 8.00 6% 17.10    
EASY SHOT May06 Mar27 Feb25 Jan14   (engle)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50    
 
MTH-4   07/08/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABY CAKES Jun24         (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 117 8.00    
SCR  ODINA         (figgins o)VARGAS A 117 5.00    
MADELINE'S GROGU Jun17 Jun04       (spina charle)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 6.00    
WILDCAT GIRL         (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 117 12.00 6% 16.30    
SUE B DOOO         (delgado j)RODRIGUEZ A 117 3.50 22% 3.60    
HONEST APPROACH         (spina charles)MARIN SAMUEL 117 10.00 6% 16.30    
RECINTO ROMPERE         (delac)DIAZ RAFAEL 117 2.50 36% 1.80    
ONE OF THE ONES         (servis c)PENNINGTON F 117 4.50    
 
MTH-5   07/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIEF ENGINEER Jun26 Jun04 May21     (cash russell )PANAIJO JORGE 118 5.00 10% 8.60    
CANTANKEROUS CAT Jun24 May29 Feb11     (dini mike)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.00 39% 1.60    
JONNY QUIST Jun12 May21       (engle)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 4.00    
HI MILLIE Jun05         (frangella jame)TORRES JOMAR 116 30.00    
DADASHEV Jun25 Jun11 May29 May14 Apr27 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 20.00    
CRACK THE CODE May21         (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
JUST GOT STARTED Jun04         (spina charles)JUAREZ NIK 118 6.00    
 
MTH-6   07/08/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT A TRACE Jun19 May30 May15 Apr12 Mar28 (crowell susan )MARIN SAMUEL 120 20.00    
SCR  CENTSLESS DRAMA May28 May06 Apr01 Feb17 Jan28 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 122 3.00    
SIP'N DIP May21 Mar27 Feb20 Jan30 Jan16 (mc joh)BATISTA A 120 8.00    
KITTEN WITH A WHIP Jun19 May30 Apr22 Mar18 Feb20 (david carlos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
STRONG GEM Jun19 Feb20 Jan05     (nunn doug)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50 8% 12.00    
MUSETTA (ARG) Jun19 Jun04 May05 Mar06 Feb16 (delgado jose )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 5.00 12% 7.60    
SEEDS OF TIME Jun24         (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 12.00 8% 12.10    
ISLA BONITA May28 May07 Apr09 Mar17 Feb17 (sweezey kent)FERRER C 120 6.00    
SCR  VIRADIA Jun24 May23 Apr22 Feb20 Feb10 (englehart je)BATISTA A 120 4.00 12% 7.30    
 
MTH-7   07/08/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RELISHMENT Jul02 Jun19 Jun10 May29 May14 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 12.00    
FRIENDLY FELLA Jun10 May14 Mar31 Mar05 Feb10 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 124 4.50 24% 3.20    
BLOOD MOON Jun04 May12 Apr30 Apr21 Apr01 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 3.50    
CANDY CANE LANE Jun17 May21 Mar31 Mar10 Feb19 (popovich james)MORENO ANGEL 124 8.00    
GO POKE THE BEAR Jun19 Jun04 May22 Apr24 Jan28 (juarez calixto)JUAREZ NIK 124 3.00 13% 6.50    
TAPSOLUTE Jun18 May29 Apr08 Mar09 Feb18 (lucas)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 6.00 13% 6.70    
UNCLE NED Jun17 Jun10 May08 Mar16 Feb04 (farro pat)RODRIGUEZ A 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
MTH-8   07/08/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE UNLIMITED Jun10 Apr14       (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 8.00    
TIME GOES FAST Jun18 May28       (trombetta)VARGAS A 118 2.50 27% 2.80    
GRACE IN MOTION Jun18         (sweezey j)RODRIGUEZ A 123 4.00    
TRACKER JACKER Jun18 May30 Apr24 Feb23   (dini mike)WALES GARY 118 10.00    
R GIRL FAITH         (thompson m)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 8.00    
POP POP'S BABY BOO Jun18 May28       (ryan dere)MEZZATESTA ANDREA 123 15.00    
SCR  DIANE'S COMET Jun13 May25       (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  SPRING INTO ACTION Jun12         (schis)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 6.00    
NO MO DANCING May28 Apr23       (cruz jesus)BATISTA A 118 8.00    
SCR  MONDEUSE Jun17 May21 Feb19 Feb04   (englehart je)BATISTA A 123 10.00 14% 6.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.