Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Lone Star Park
Friday - July 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LS-1   07/08/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBU MIDNIGHT Jun10 May21 Apr29 Mar16 Feb25 (dupuy allen)WETHEY JR 121 4.00    
TUDELA Jun10 May21 May07 Apr30 Mar26 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00    
PRESSLY'S HOPE Jun23 May19 Apr16 Mar17 Feb20 (diodoro robert)QUINONEZ S 120 8.00    
IRISH BIZ Jun16 Apr02 Feb25 Jan28   (offolter j)ERAMIA E 123 6.00    
GLITTERARY Jun25 Jun16 May21 May12 Apr02 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 2.00 47% 1.10    
GURKHA GOLD (IRE) Jul02 May28 May21 Apr29   (broberg k)TORRES A 121 3.00 24% 3.10    
CATCH THE DEVIL Jun10 May21 Feb25     (clary rena)DIEGO V 121 12.00    
 
LS-2   07/08/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENUS ISLAND Jun18 May27 May07     (tuley rhonda)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 3.50    
FLYINGJ CUPCAKE Jun24 May12       (johnson thun)PIVARAL GERBER 123 12.00    
CONTEMPO GRAY Jun18 Jun04       (smith p)MONTALVO C 120 12.00    
SCR  ATHENIAN PRINCESS May27 May12 Mar19 Feb25 Jan29 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 4.50 10% 9.10    
MS. MORENA Jun26 Apr30 Mar31 Mar19 Mar11 (c)DE CRUZ 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
SARATOGA KAREN Jun16 May07 Mar15 Feb12   (keithan rac)HAMILTON WESTON 120 1.40 38% 1.60    
 
LS-3   07/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLING MOUNTAIN Jun23 May29 Apr01 Mar11   (willis mind)WETHEY JR 121 15.00    
RUSH THE COLORS May29 May06 Apr07 Feb17 Jan15 (calhoun w)TORRES A 124 1.60 46% 1.20    
WILL THE THRILL Jun10 May29       (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
LUCKY PROMISE Jun23 May29 May15 May07   (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 122 4.00 16% 5.30    
READY EDGE May29 May14 May07 Apr28 Jan30 (a)DE CRUZ 124 2.50    
BLING ME THE MONEY Jun18 May29 May06     (young bob)DIEGO V 121 8.00    
LEGALLY LETHAL Apr29 Mar26 Mar11 Feb19   (caldwell j)ERAMIA E 121 6.00 14% 6.30    
 
LS-4   07/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONDO LANE May01 Apr07 Mar25 Jan21   (davis sha)TORRES A 122 4.00 13% 7.00    
FEEL THE BERNING Jun10 May14 Mar15 Jan25 Jan04 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
SKYWAVE Jun16 May14 Apr28 Mar19 Feb26 (roub)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
TIME MACHINE May17 May01 Apr02 Feb23 Jan29 (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 124 4.50    
RIFT VALLEY Jun11 May16 Apr29 Mar20 Mar05 (caldwell j )HAMILTON WESTON 124 6.00    
TEXAS BAD BOY Feb26 Feb05 Jan21     (caldwell r)DIEGO V 122 8.00    
HOLLAND Jun09 May08 Apr29     (hone bart)ERAMIA E 124 10.00 10% 9.40    
 
LS-5   07/08/2022 2640ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 9:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXCAPING THE BLUES         (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 119 6.00    
WINGS OF GOLD         (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
SHACKED STATESIDE         (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 116 4.00 19% 4.20    
TAPITURE JONES Jun05 May15       (asmussen )TORRES A 119 3.50 53% 0.90    
MORO EXPRESS Jun05         (davidson sa)HAMILTON WESTON 119 30.00    
BYE         (green greg)MONTALVO C 119 15.00    
HOLIDAY RUN         (jenkins bra)INIRIO J 119 20.00    
WILDATLANTICSTORM         (ashford)GONCALVES R 119 6.00    
PANDEMIC CAT         (davidson m )MELANCON JANSEN 119 20.00    
10  STREETSTER Jun19         (dodw)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 3.00    
 
LS-6   07/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLING ON THE LIGHT Jul03 Jun10 Apr30 Apr08 Mar24 (scholl kevi)MELANCON JANSEN 121 3.50 31% 2.30    
SCR  MRS. KRINKLES Jun10 May07 Mar24 Mar18 Mar04 (echeverria hecto)MONTALVO C 121 10.00    
SCR  SHER'S TEXAS BLING Jun19 May15 Apr30 Apr08 Mar02 (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 6.00 38% 1.60    
ADELE'S BLING Jun05 May12 Apr15 Mar24   (durham da)TORRES A 123 20.00    
CASTING PEARLS May21 May07 Apr28 Mar31   (hurle)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 8.00    
HEAD OVER BOOTS Jun19 May28 Apr30 Mar31 Mar17 (echeverria hector)DIEGO V 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
KATHYS CUP OF JOE Jun24 May21 May12 Apr29   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 4.50    
ABIGAIL ALDEN Jun10 Apr30 Mar18 Feb25 Jan20 (lucarelli fran)MORA GERARDO 121 12.00    
PUT A BLING ON IT Jun19 May15 Apr30 Apr07 Feb24 (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 3.00    
10  DAVID'S DREAM GIRL Jun19 Jun05 May15 Apr08 Mar26 (uriegas hen)HAMILTON WESTON 121 8.00    
 
LS-7   07/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT-10:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLURT Jun10 May28 May15 Apr09 Mar19 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN FLASH Jun26 May01 Apr09 Feb26 Jan28 (bryant george)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 1.40 17% 4.90    
SAINT PIO Jun21         (asmussen )TORRES A 121 1.80 43% 1.30    
RYE RUNNER Jun18 May28 Feb18 Jan28   (keithan ra)ERAMIA E 124 15.00    
BENISSIMO Jun10 May06 Apr19 Apr06 Mar13 (keithan rac)MELANCON JANSEN 121 8.00    
RUNNIN THE RED May28 May14 Apr09 Mar09 Feb11 (fullerton)STEINBERG GARRETT 124 12.00    
SCR  TENTH OF GOLD Jul02 Jun04 May01 Apr09 Mar26 (durham danele)CABRERA DAVID 124 5.00 10% 8.60    
 
LS-8   07/08/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-10:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE LIKE IT Jun25 May22 May01 Mar26 Mar17 (caldwell j)ERAMIA E 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
GEORGIA DEPUTY Jun25 Mar17 Jan16 Jan02   (petalino joe)DIEGO V 122 20.00    
LAB RAT Jun25 May29 May08 Apr28 Mar31 (davidson m )MELANCON JANSEN 121 4.50    
NOT NECESSARILY Jun25 Jun09 May22 Apr26 Mar21 (johnson t)STEINBERG GARRETT 122 30.00    
NANAS BOY Jun25 Apr28 Apr07 Feb05   (willis mind)WETHEY JR 122 12.00    
TRULY DANZIG Jun04 May13 Apr07 Feb11   (willis mindy)MORA GERARDO 124 6.00    
RESOLVE NOW Jun19 May14 Mar09 Feb10   (eoff terry)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 10.00    
OLD SOT Jun04 May13 Apr07 Feb17 Jan30 (g)DE CRUZ 122 15.00    
FLEXATI Jun24 May14       (bravo franc)HAMILTON WESTON 122 8.00    
10  EASTER SNAP Jun19 May22 May01 Mar26 Jan20 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 5.00 58% 0.70    
11  ELUSIVE D'ORO Jun10 May21 Apr28 Mar25 Feb16 (pish danny)QUINONEZ S 122 20.00    
12  JOHN DOUGH Jun19 May29 May08     (asmussen )TORRES A 124 6.00 14% 6.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.