Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Monday - July 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   07/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASPER JOE Jun10         (gutterson ka)BATISTA A 120 8.00 17% 4.80    
CLIFFY Jun17 May28 May14 Mar20 Feb25 (schistl r)MEZZATESTA ANDREA 120 8.00    
SCR  COX'S LEDGE Jun19 Jun03 May22 Mar30 Mar06 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.00    
FLIPPING FISH May28 Apr21 Apr08 Feb25 Jan27 (david carlos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50    
AWESUMMER Jun11 May14 Apr01 Feb25 Jan28 (king b)PARISH R 120 12.00    
LOVE NEST Jun18 May28 Apr10 Mar25 Mar04 (hollendorfer )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  RUNABOUT May14 Apr01 Mar25 Feb05 Jan01 (gutte)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
 
MTH-2   07/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT-12:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMPIRE G         (forde jaso)LUCIA ALEXANDRIA 111 6.00 43% 1.40    
TWIN BRIDGES Jun05 May15 Apr10 Mar18   (einhorn kim)RIVERA JR 121 8.00    
TRUE PROSPERITY Jun17 Jun05       (harris holly)PANAIJO JORGE 119 6.00    
BLIND SIGHT Jun18 May28 Apr29 Apr03 Mar11 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00    
NONNA PATRIZIA Jun18 Jun04 May15 Apr15 Mar16 (ryan dere)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.00    
QUEEN OF KANTHAROS Jun18 Apr09 Feb26 Jan14   (cipria)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
CRYSTAL ORB May30 May15 Mar26 Mar09 Feb06 (pringle edmun)KAY R 121 5.00 9% 9.70    
EVIL OF COURSE Jun11 Apr16 Mar09 Feb05   (delgado h)FERRER C 117 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
MTH-3   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIELD OF FAITH Jun04         (cruz jesus)BATISTA A 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
CRAFTY DON         (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 120 5.00    
SUNSHINE CHARLIE Jun11 May08 Mar19 Feb20 Jan12 (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
POGI Jun19 May30 May08     (einhorn kim)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
SALTIN' THE RIM Jun18 May29       (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
HERE COMES BILLY         (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ ALBIN 115 4.00    
ON THE COME UP Jun19 Jun04 May08     (farro patric)CASTILLO ISAAC 115 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
MTH-4   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER J T Jun11 Apr29 Apr07 Mar19 Feb18 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 10.00    
EXALTED CHARM Jun19 May20 Apr23 Apr10 Mar20 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
WE READY Jun17 Apr29 Apr07 Mar19 Feb18 (lucas bonnie)RENDON JAIRO 121 5.00 12% 7.60    
JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Jun19 May29       (foglia anthon)PANAIJO JORGE 119 8.00    
NEIGH DUDE Jun01 Apr22 Mar25 Feb26   (pecoraro )RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00 10% 9.20    
RIDICULOUS Jun10 May29 Apr29 Apr07 Mar26 (d'ange)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 4.50    
CAJUN MANDATE Jun17 Mar09 Feb25 Feb04   (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00 14% 6.40    
SHANGHAI WARRIOR Jun10 May30 May08 Apr07 Mar16 (ryan dere)MEZZATESTA ANDREA 117 20.00    
RISK VS REWARD Jun25 Jun10 May22 May14 Mar04 (skelton dawn)PARISH R 117 15.00    
10  ONE LUCKY DAY May28 Apr24 Apr03 Mar04 Jan30 (o'connell ka)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 10.00    
 
MTH-5   07/04/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIABLO DADDY Jun25 Jun05 May29 Mar10   (foglia m)JUAREZ NIK 118 15.00    
JUST JEREMY Jun24 May21 Apr26 Apr13   (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
RECKLESS PLACE May29 May08 Mar26 Feb24   (mcburney pat)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 1.80 37% 1.70    
SCR  TOTALLY PSYCHED         (rodriguez dar)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 10.00    
SCR  DADASHEV Jun25 Jun11 May29 May14 Apr27 (hogan willia)BATISTA A 116 15.00    
SUIT OF ARMOR Jun23 May29 May13 Apr25   (lucas bonnie)RENDON JAIRO 123 6.00 25% 3.00    
TAPPED OFF         (saville n)VARGAS A 118 15.00    
RULER OF BRABANT Jun05         (stephens john)TORRES JOMAR 118 20.00    
U KANT WHIP IT         (breen j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 4.00 7% 13.20    
10  NINTH OF APRIL Jun26 May29 Apr21 Apr10 Mar19 (mc john)PANAIJO JORGE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  BAYOU SHACK Jun26 Jun11 Apr20 Mar25 Feb23 (foglia )GONZALEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
 
MTH-6   07/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUSCIOUS Jun18 Apr30 Apr10 Mar23 Feb19 (bennett geral)PANAIJO JORGE 121 5.00 6% 17.00    
STILL DOING TIME Jun04         (tessore bruno)TORRES JOMAR 117 6.00    
FOLK HERO Jun05 May15 Apr06 Mar23 Feb25 (delgado j)RODRIGUEZ A 117 6.00    
MISSION TRAIL Mar06 Feb21 Feb12 Jan22 Jan02 (mc joh)BATISTA A 121 20.00    
SCR  KYMMIES CHARDONNAY Jun11 Apr24 Apr14 Mar05 Feb21 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 115 4.50 18% 4.60    
SASSY CHARLEE Jun18 Jun03 Apr22 Mar30 Feb04 (schistl rafael)FERRER C 120 6.00    
SCR  WELL SHES HANDSOME         (mccarthy bren)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 4.00    
ALARM CLOCK Jun05 Mar06 Jan08     (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 2.50 48% 1.10    
 
MTH-7   07/04/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUNNY JOKE Jun05 Mar13       (rodriguez r)BRAVO J 116 2.50 30% 2.40    
BE BETTER Jun05         (pletcher tod)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.50 15% 5.80    
CYBERVIKING Jun18 Apr30 Mar26 Mar04 Feb11 (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 116 3.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  CONSTITUTIONLAWYER Jun03 Apr02 Feb05 Jan02   (handal raymo)SAMUEL L 116 6.00    
R BOY CHEEKUM Jun10 May28 May14 Apr29 Apr10 (thompson marcus )JUAREZ NIK 116 30.00    
ITS OVER Jun10 May08 Mar30 Mar09 Feb27 (cruz jesu)RODRIGUEZ A 116 20.00    
PASS AND STOW Jun04         (hollendorfer)CASTILLO ISAAC 116 3.00    
GOOD SKATE May21 Apr08 Feb25 Jan27   (rodriguez rudy)RENDON JAIRO 116 8.00 5% 18.60    
 
MTH-8   07/04/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREAKTHROUGH May22 Mar09 Feb12     (avila )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 6.00    
GROOMS ALL BIZNESS Jun11         (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 115 3.50 5% 19.00    
CALL ME HARRY Jun03         (hemingway michel)JUAREZ NIK 120 4.50 11% 8.10    
SOUPER ENERGIZER Jun17 Jun03       (pantaleo josep)TORRES JOMAR 120 12.00    
BAM BAM BLU Jun05 Mar16 Jan30     (mcburney pat)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00 47% 1.10    
CRACK SHOT Jun17 Apr29 Apr17 Mar24 Mar09 (russo frank )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00    
PATRIARCH ARTIE Jun04 May13       (krebs ste)RODRIGUEZ A 122 3.00 13% 6.60    
YEI YEI Jun20 Jun06 May03 Apr27 Apr12 (jones )JONES NICOLAS 120 30.00    
PENNSYLVANIA STEEL Jun17 Jun05 May17 Apr04 Feb28 (sanchez-p)VARGAS A 120 20.00    
10  R BOY BODE Jun17 Jun03 May05 Apr24 Apr07 (thompso)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 30.00    
SCR  ROLL DEM BONES Jun01 May13 Apr06 Mar04 Feb17 (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 117 30.00    
12  CONSTANT KNIGHT         (black)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 20.00    
SCR  RANGER FOX         (terranova john)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-9   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEEP FAITH May29         (spina cha)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00 43% 1.30    
DREAM ASTRAY Jun17         (d'amodio char)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 12.00    
AMITY ROAD Jun26 Jun04 Apr09 Feb20 Jan16 (martin f)FERRER C 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JET SPEED         (hemin)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 8.00    
STRATEGIC (AUS) Jun04         (hollendorfer )JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 5.00    
LORD JAXSTON Apr14 Feb19 Jan23     (hills timothy )CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00    
NECROMANCER May22 Apr21 Feb25 Jan16   (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.00 9% 9.90    
SIR CUPID Jun11         (hogan willia)BATISTA A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HI MILLIE Jun05         (frangella jame)TORRES JOMAR 118 30.00    
SCR  WHERESTHEPASSION Jun15 Jun07 May21 May02 Mar16 (mosco robert)JUAREZ NIK 118 4.50 17% 5.00    
11  I'M OVER U May29         (margotta antho)MOYA F 118 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.