Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - May 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   05/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTUNATA ITALIA Apr24         (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 3.00    
DEEMED ESSENTIAL May13 Apr13 Mar19 Feb26 Jan14 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00 21% 3.70    
TIMEISGOLDEN May13 Apr13 Mar18 Feb18 Jan14 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 116 4.00 20% 4.00    
KNOT ANYMORE Apr22 Mar26 Feb18 Jan20   (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 2.50    
AWESOME LAWSON Apr20 Mar18 Mar09 Jan28   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.50 18% 4.50    
MISS AMERICANA (PER) May13 Mar10 Jan28 Jan13   (runco j)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 5.00    
 
CT-2   05/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STYLISH PAINT Apr30 Apr13 Mar17 Feb24 Jan15 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00 27% 2.70    
BLUE SKY VENEZUELA Apr30 Apr14 Mar20 Feb26 Feb13 (albert l)ACOSTA D 120 5.00    
BEARAKONTIE Mar16 Feb22 Feb04     (johnston rob)RIOS-CONDE A 120 0.60 34% 2.00    
FUDGE CAKE May15 Apr30 Apr01 Mar05 Feb25 (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 12.00 13% 6.50    
UNCAPTURED RUBY May07 Apr16 Mar30 Mar05 Feb12 (malgarini ma)BATISTA A 120 15.00    
MI CLEOPATRA AND I May07 Apr15 Mar26 Feb25 Feb12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00    
 
CT-3   05/27/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALLYMENA (GB) May04 Apr27 Apr09 Apr03 Mar20 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 2.00 65% 0.50    
HURRICANE DIRECTOR May15 Apr15 Mar20 Feb27 Feb06 (mcgill sylvester)MAYHEW W 122 12.00    
SCR  GOLDEN GLOW May13 May06 Apr22 Apr09 Mar10 (boykins)NUNEZ ANAHI 119 20.00    
BLACK PANDA May12         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60 10% 8.80    
LUNAR NOTION May06 Apr15       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 3.50    
NOBLE PRESENT May19 Apr30 Apr20 Mar30 Mar16 (sandoval michael)HO WESLEY 116 20.00    
SCR  WANTA BALLERINA Apr28 Jan22 Jan09     (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 124 20.00    
PRINCESS MIA ROSE May06 Apr15       (hamlin kathleen)LIMA FELINO 117 10.00    
 
CT-4   05/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINING DANCER May06 Apr22 Apr10 Mar23 Feb25 (covello a)CECIL Y 116 30.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT SHIFT May14 May06 Apr22 Mar11 Feb24 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 2.50 16% 5.30    
JASONTAKESLONG May06 Apr09 Feb03 Jan16   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.80 22% 3.60    
RUN LEA RUN Mar18         (viands grego)BATISTA A 116 8.00    
MOSLEY NATURAL         (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00    
REMEMBERING WILBUR Apr22 Apr03 Mar18 Feb19 Jan30 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 1.60 41% 1.50    
 
CT-5   05/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEY TO THE CASTLE         (espinosa vict)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
SHENANDOAH CAT May12 Apr21       (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 1.80 35% 1.90    
WAGER WORTHY Apr29 Mar24 Mar10 Feb17 Jan14 (lucas a)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 10.00    
SCR  IHEARTRAINACOMN May12 Apr16 Mar30 Mar09 Feb24 (tobin l)CECIL Y 122 30.00    
I SHALLBE RELEASED Apr08 Feb10 Jan13     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
KOM HERE GIRL Mar17 Feb11 Jan14     (craig lew)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00    
ROO May13         (mcclure l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
TIMETOGETUP May13 Apr16 Apr08 Mar03   (casey a)LARROSA G 122 3.00    
 
CT-6   05/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($34.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNAWAY MONET Apr21 Jan27       (jenkins rod)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 4.00    
SCR  BOUNDTOBEBAD Apr23 Apr02 Mar16 Feb12 Jan28 (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 1.80 24% 3.10    
HOLLY'S PERSUASION May07 Apr16 Mar26 Jan14   (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 10.00 10% 9.00    
TOOLEGITTOQUIT May07 Apr22 Apr03     (viands grego)BATISTA A 120 15.00    
SCR  MARKETABILITY May06 Apr28 Feb27 Feb11 Jan02 (brown w)ACOSTA D 120 10.00    
MADY ROSE May07 Apr22 Apr02 Mar05   (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
UNREQUITED LOVE May01 Apr08 Mar27 Mar18 Feb04 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
CT-7   05/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONG LIL KOKORO May05 Apr20 Mar24 Feb26   (collin)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00    
AZURE FIRE May18 Jan26       (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00    
PENGUIN PARADE May05 Mar25 Feb25 Feb04   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.80 49% 1.10    
C R'S MANDATE May07 Apr16 Mar04 Feb17   (schiano-d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00    
MASTER THIS May05 Apr20 Apr02 Mar24 Feb26 (tobin l)ACOSTA D 120 5.00 8% 12.30    
STORMIN ROCKET May05 Mar24 Feb25 Feb04   (craig e)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 4.50    
JAXJAXXORJACKS Apr20 Apr02 Feb26 Feb02   (caison l)CECIL Y 120 30.00    
HAPPY YEARS Apr20 Mar19 Mar02     (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 116 3.00 18% 4.40    
 
CT-8   05/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROTHER SKYE May06 Apr15 Mar24 Mar04 Feb11 (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 122 10.00    
SCR  BRIAN'S AVENUE May06 Mar25 Feb11     (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00 16% 5.40    
HE'S NOT CURLY May06 Apr15 Apr08 Mar24 Mar04 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00    
CAYENNE CREEK Apr30 Mar02 Jan27     (couchenour )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 3.50 21% 3.90    
TIZ AUCTION TIME         (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
BUCKED TOOTH May06 Apr21 Mar31 Mar10 Jan12 (king yolond)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 20.00    
ANOTHER VICTORY Feb05 Jan15       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.40 31% 2.20    
SUNMAN May14 Apr22 Apr09 Mar25 Mar11 (pickett g)HO WESLEY 124 12.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  TWOBITSARIDE Apr15 Mar31 Feb03 Jan12   (espinos)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.