Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Saturday - May 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   05/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHOPPER May08 Apr26       (cook brian)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 3.00 ★    
2  GOLDENPENCE May08 Apr24 Apr16 Apr03 Feb11 (cook brian)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 8.00 8% 12.00    
3  RENEGADE BOB May08 Apr30 Apr23 Apr09 Apr02 (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 121 2.50 19% 4.20    
4  MAGIC MAN'S TOUCH Apr19         (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 121 3.50 35% 1.90    
5  LASTFORTINOFAMILY May10         (manley st)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 4.00 ★    
6  HIGH HERO May08 Apr23 Apr16 Apr02   (perez manny)RIVERA BRYAN 111 4.50    
 
HAW-2   05/21/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRINA'S HERO May13 Apr02       (perez manny)ORTEGA O 119 20.00    
2  KING ZION May06 Apr24 Apr17 Apr03   (perez manny)MOJICA O 124 4.50 ★    
3  ROUSING SIREN May06 Apr16 Mar25 Mar09 Jan29 (meraz anto)URDANETA J 124 1.40 54% 0.90    
4  TEA AFTER BALLET May06 Apr24 Apr03     (zawitz joel)TAVARES JAVIER 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  SWEET TONIC May07 Apr24 Apr17     (cook brian)RIVERA BRYAN 114 20.00    
6  TEQUILA REVOLUTION May06 Feb21 Jan22 Jan01   (mason ingrid)FELIX E 117 2.50 12% 7.00    
SCR  OFF TO THE BEACH May06 Apr24 Apr16 Apr03   (hughes w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 124 8.00 9% 9.70    
 
HAW-3   05/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND PRIZE May01 Apr23 Jan13     (brooks ger)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 ★    
2  LEA RO Mar04 Jan28 Jan09     (cox e)EMIGH A 121 5.00 15% 5.50    
3  LAUNCH AWAY May01         (quinonez max)FELIX E 121 2.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  ROMANTIC ATTACK Apr19         (childers vance)BAIRD T 121 8.00    
SCR  KINGSBURY DREAM May06         (childers vance)MOJICA O 121 1.60 17% 4.80    
6  SILVERA May01 Apr10 Feb24 Feb12   (candelas b)URDANETA J 121 15.00 7% 13.60    
7  SWEET BLINDNESS Apr23 Mar03 Jan07     (reavis michael)RIVERA BRYAN 111 4.00    
 
HAW-4   05/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALPINE GHOST Apr30 Apr10 Apr01 Mar18 Feb12 (haran john)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.80 42% 1.40    
2  CAPTAIN CARNEGIE Apr23         (ryan a)TAVARES JAVIER 121 8.00 ★    
3  DARE GOES DA DEVIL May06 Apr30 Apr16 Apr10 Jan14 (perez manny)MOJICA O 115 3.00 19% 4.30    
4  TALKTOEACHOTHER May14 Apr23       (candelas blanca)FELIX E 121 6.00 10% 9.00    
5  MAC PANDOWDY Apr30         (watkins m)EMIGH A 121 3.50 ★    
6  IRISH TUFF May15 May01       (perez manny)RIVERA BRYAN 111 6.00    
 
HAW-5   05/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLY NIGHTLY May12 Mar19 Feb26 Feb13 Jan16 (vanden ber)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.50 30% 2.30    
2  GAGOOTS Mar17 Feb20 Jan22     (cox e)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 10.00 ★    
SCR  CAVE HILL Apr21 Feb26 Jan29 Jan08   (rodriguez hugo)LOPEZ E 121 4.00 ★    
4  ON A SPREE May01 Mar19 Feb26     (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 1.80 36% 1.80    
5  JOLTING JOE May01 Apr10 Mar03 Feb10 Jan29 (cook brian)MOJICA O 121 6.00 10% 8.80    
6  JUST GUN IT Apr30 Apr16 Feb24 Jan30 Jan09 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 121 5.00    
 
HAW-6   05/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARING DAMSEL May08 Apr24 Apr10 Mar03 Jan23 (hernandez ja)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 6.00    
2  FIRST SQUADRON May08 Apr23 Apr02 Mar11 Jan14 (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 4.00 ★    
3  A FAST BROAD         (watkins m)EMIGH A 121 3.50 22% 3.50    
4  I LOVE TO RACE May13 May07 Apr23 Apr03 Mar23 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 5.00 15% 5.70    
5  GO STORMIN GIRL May01 Apr10 Apr02 Mar11   (cook brian)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.50 33% 2.10    
6  FOGGY KITTEN         (watkins m)FELIX E 121 4.50 ★    
 
HAW-7   05/21/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALE OF EVESHAM         (plasters lori)FELIX E 124 6.00 7% 13.00    
2  MIDDIE Apr24 Apr01       (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 32% 2.20    
3  BUGSY'S WAVE RYDER         (pompell robert)REYES ANGEL 124 20.00    
4  UNLEASH THE QUICHE         (block chris)LOPEZ E 118 3.00 30% 2.30    
5  STRAWBERRYLEMONADE         (casti)ULLOA PATRICIO 118 4.50 ★    
6  TANGO CITY         (miller r)BAIRD T 124 4.00 7% 12.90    
7  HEAVENLY SCENT         (pompell robe)TAVARES JAVIER 124 8.00    
 
HAW-8   05/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEEKERS Apr26         (scalcione pe)TAVARES JAVIER 115 15.00    
2  VALLEY VISTA May08 Apr16 Apr03 Mar03 Feb11 (campbell joel)MOJICA O 124 10.00 ★    
3  GOLDEN TONE Mar18 Feb02       (granitz)DE CRUZ 121 3.50 32% 2.20    
4  WILD FOX Apr17 Apr03       (dizeo dino)LOPEZ A 121 5.00 ★    
5  AMERICAN SANCTUARY May07 Apr09 Mar19     (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 115 2.00 37% 1.70    
6  LATIN CASINO Mar11 Feb27 Feb11 Jan08   (becker scott)EMIGH A 121 1.80 ★    
 
HAW-9   05/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AGAVE KID May08 Apr16 Mar27 Mar04 Feb19 (manley steve)EMIGH A 121 4.50 ★    
2  DEVIL'S RULE May08 May01 Apr16 Apr02 Feb11 (cook bria)ULLOA JOAN 121 15.00    
3  JACK'S ADVANTAGE Apr03 Mar05 Feb26 Jan08   (haran john)MOJICA O 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  YOU SPLIT TENS         (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 8% 11.90    
5  Z U SOON May08 Apr24       (cook brian)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 12.00    
SCR  COLONEL KLINK         (rainwater bradlee)BAIRD T 121 2.00 17% 5.00    
7  BOOM FIVE THOUSAND Mar04 Jan23 Jan08     (reavis l)FELIX E 121 2.50 51% 1.00    
 
HAW-10   05/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIGGER HAPPY May01 Apr16 Jan07     (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 114 5.00    
2  DUCHOSSOIS May13 Mar19 Feb26     (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 4.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  TUFF ATTACK May01 Apr16       (childers )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 15.00 ★    
4  CLARESTOWN         (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 3.50 ★    
5  FIRST MASAMUNE Apr30 Apr10       (slager leona)TAVARES JAVIER 121 8.00 12% 7.60    
6  NIGHT THINGS May07 Apr24       (bahena fernando)MOJICA O 121 12.00    
7  THIRSTY OWL Apr28 Mar24 Jan16     (wittek karyn)BOWEN ROCCO 121 15.00    
SCR  LAND MARK DEAL         (block chris)LOPEZ E 121 2.50 12% 7.50    
9  PATH TO SUCCESS May07 Apr23 Apr03 Mar03 Feb14 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 117 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.