Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - May 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   05/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEVER FOR SPEIGHT May04         (bourne j)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
STEAL THE CASH May04 Mar23       (covello a)CECIL Y 122 5.00    
I WAS RUN NAN May04         (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
STREET LAMP May08 Apr01 Mar18 Mar12 Feb18 (sillaman richard )HO WESLEY 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
ROCKIN THE PALACE Apr22 Apr07       (stites flint)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 10.00    
OVERLY CRITICAL Apr09 Mar17 Feb23 Jan22   (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 3.00    
GORUN May04 Apr08 Mar10     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
 
CT-2   05/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST A BIT SASSY Apr30 Apr02 Mar16 Feb26 Jan14 (johnson r)HO WESLEY 122 12.00    
LIFE IN FLASH May12 Apr02 Mar26 Feb19 Feb06 (harting chri)BATISTA A 122 15.00    
IMAGOODCHATTERBUG Apr30 Apr14 Apr06 Mar25 Mar10 (pennella rh)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 20.00 17% 4.80    
URKILLINGMEBETH Apr30 Apr06 Mar17 Feb25 Jan13 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 2.00    
LADY KAZA Apr28 Apr06 Feb26 Feb05 Jan14 (joy j)RAMGEET R 122 1.60 27% 2.80    
COURAGEOUS GRACE Apr28 Apr01 Mar19 Feb26 Feb05 (pennell)NUNEZ ANAHI 119 1.80 21% 3.90    
 
CT-3   05/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURR HILL BULLET Apr29 Apr06       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 5.00 11% 7.80    
HARDLY EVER BETTER Apr02         (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 118 6.00    
THUNDERINREADYRICK         (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
SETTLEMENT DATE May07 Mar17       (larrosa r)LARROSA G 116 8.00    
SCR  SPIRIT OF WINDSOR May14 Apr06       (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 118 12.00    
MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE Apr23 Apr02       (jones michae)BATISTA A 124 2.50 34% 2.00    
RYAN'S SWORD         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
CT-4   05/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DING DING Apr06 Mar23 Mar05 Feb19   (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 116 1.20 43% 1.30    
WINDSOR'S CHAMPION Apr27 Mar26 Mar11 Feb10   (covello a)CECIL Y 120 15.00    
THELADYISTRUE Apr09 Mar17       (mckee d)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 2.50    
UNCANNY Apr30 Apr08 Mar19 Feb25 Feb04 (viands sta)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 10.00    
MINNETONKA Apr30 Apr09 Mar26 Feb19 Jan29 (robb j)OLMO J 120 5.00 10% 8.70    
MY PRETTY EYES Apr30 Apr09 Mar19 Feb26 Jan26 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 18% 4.60    
 
CT-5   05/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELEVATED FOREVER Mar25 Feb11       (garrido)NUNEZ ANAHI 119 5.00    
JUNGLE WARRIOR Apr16 Mar30 Mar11 Feb24 Jan29 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.60 34% 1.90    
MINE TO HOLD Apr20 Mar25 Feb11     (rafter carl)MARRERO R 124 15.00    
PAINT MUSIC FOR ME May13 Apr08 Mar13 Feb27 Feb11 (carson lau)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 8.00    
LUNAR IMAGE Apr23 Apr02 Mar17 Feb19 Jan28 (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 122 30.00    
JACK THE RIPPER (FR) Apr15 Mar10 Feb28 Feb06 Jan15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 34% 2.00    
AWESOME BUZZ May12 Mar31 Mar11 Jan14   (scott lloyd )ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 15.00 6% 16.70    
 
CT-6   05/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN TO DAYLIGHT Apr27 Jan26       (runco j)NUNEZ ANAHI 111 3.50 11% 8.30    
MINISTRY OF MAGIC May12 Mar31 Mar05 Feb05   (rideout anthony)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00    
HUMPTY GRUMPTY May05 Apr16       (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 5.00    
SPANGLISH Apr16 Mar24 Mar04     (meehan elizab)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00    
NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES Apr20 Mar25 Feb25 Feb04 Jan15 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.50 18% 4.70    
SHAMELESS RISK Apr30 Apr16 Apr01 Mar11 Feb26 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.60 45% 1.20    
 
CT-7   05/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OFFICER CALLY Apr29 Apr16 Mar17     (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
CHANGE THE WORLD Apr23         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 14% 6.20    
LUCYLOU WHO Apr27 Apr01 Mar17 Feb11   (velez )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 7% 14.20    
WHALE OF A TIME Apr15 Mar17 Feb03     (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
FANCY HER UP May05 Apr09       (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
SENECA ROCKS Apr23         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
GHOSTLY SQUALL Apr27 Mar17       (mckee d)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 15.00    
SILKY SERENA Apr23 Mar24       (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00    
 
CT-8   05/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANNEL SCENT Apr30 Apr22 Mar23 Mar05   (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 5.00 11% 8.00    
PARTY MONSTER May07 Apr10 Mar05 Feb13 Jan20 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 118 2.50 50% 1.00    
MARY BROWN Apr13 Mar18 Mar09     (valvo zoe)ARAUJO DENIS 118 10.00    
MY BRIDGET VERDOT Apr30 Mar30 Mar04 Feb16 Jan25 (viands st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 8.00    
BANTAM ROOSTER Mar16 Mar03 Feb04 Jan23 Jan01 (butts mik)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 10.00    
SHESAHUMBLEHUSTLER Apr09 Mar09 Feb17     (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 116 10.00    
SCR  EL MILAGRA Apr22 Apr07 Mar10 Feb13 Feb06 (allen fe)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SUPERSTASIA Apr30 Apr09 Mar23 Mar10 Feb17 (rangel rica)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 12.00    
CHOSEN MISS         (stahlin)NUNEZ ANAHI 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  BOTTLE COURAGE         (jones yat)CECIL Y 122 10.00    
SCR  MAEVE O'FLAHERTY Feb12         (hamlin kathleen)LIMA FELINO 115 10.00 9% 9.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.