Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Wednesday - May 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   05/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARINTHEMAKING Apr25 Apr04 Mar08 Feb21 Feb02 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  SKYWRITING         (iorio jr)GOMEZ O 122 8.00 10% 9.20    
THIS CAT CAN FLY         (englehart jef)DAVILA R 122 1.80    
HIGH COMMAND Apr25 Apr02 Feb21 Feb05 Jan28 (grusmark)DAVIS A 122 1.60    
RINGGOOD Apr25         (bond brent)PEREZ E 122 4.50 11% 8.00    
 
FL-2   05/18/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHERE YA GOIN OWEN Jan12         (maver eduard)BERRIOS C 122 20.00    
MASSEY HALL         (babcock ed)DE EMANUEL 122 5.00 10% 9.40    
HAMPTONS HOLIDAY         (breed ronal)IGNACIO RODOLFO 122 8.00    
NO LIME         (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 3.50    
OLD MAN WINTER         (acquilano james)PEREZ E 122 6.00    
STONE HEART May02         (lecesse )DAVIS A 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
WINNING WITHHONOUR May02         (tasso mark)COA J 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
 
FL-3   05/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARSHIP OREO Apr08 Mar05 Feb16 Jan29 Jan15 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 1.20 40% 1.50    
PASCAL         (dix)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.00 21% 3.90    
RENNINAS ROSE May02 Jan19       (falk jacqu)DE EMANUEL 119 8.00    
BLACK IRISH May10 Apr26 Mar30 Mar05 Feb19 (sells ra)DAVIS A 124 5.00 18% 4.60    
VIBE SETTER Apr10 Feb12 Jan28     (baker charlton)COA J 117 4.50    
 
FL-4   05/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLIVER WITHA TWIST         (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 8.00    
HANGAR ONE May02 Feb26 Feb05 Jan02   (ficarell)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
BLAME IT ON BRUTUS Apr01 Feb19 Jan27     (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 4.00    
K. K. ICHIKAWA Apr06 Mar16 Jan02     (lec)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
SMART STORM Apr25 Mar13 Jan16     (baker charlton)PEREZ E 117 3.00 24% 3.20    
GANONDAGAN May02         (sells rachel)DAVILA A 124 8.00    
BEDAZZLING Mar26         (simmonds michae)FRET STEVEN 124 10.00    
 
FL-5   05/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROOSKI Apr21 Feb24 Jan28     (englehart jer)DAVILA R 115 1.40 65% 0.50    
1A  BIG TIME LADY Apr14 Jan01       (englehart chris)CRUZ JOEL 122 1.40    
ISLE STORM         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 6.00    
STIMULUS CHECK         (iorio sa)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 122 4.00    
U GUYS ARE NO FUN         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.00    
SAVANNA GAL May02         (gutterson )DE EMANUEL 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
LA CAFETERA Apr15 Mar01 Feb23 Jan21   (maver eduardo)GOMEZ O 122 12.00    
 
FL-6   05/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3 F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MRS. BANKS Apr21 Mar19 Feb19 Jan08   (d'alessandro )NAVARRO KEVIN 122 12.00    
MY LITTLE ONE         (babcock edwa)BERRIOS C 122 20.00    
SILENT INVASION         (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
CHARGE NURSE Apr26         (englehart jer)DAVILA R 122 3.50 8% 11.80    
WORK IT OUT Apr22 Apr03       (miller-s)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 122 6.00    
STARTED WITH STARS Apr21         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 1.50 27% 2.80    
SCR  ROAD TO ROYALTY         (breed a)ALVARADO R 122 10.00    
 
FL-7   05/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONS THE LIMIT Mar31 Mar13 Feb21     (breed ro)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 117 6.00    
LUCKY MANNY May09         (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 117 3.50    
QUAD PARTY         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 117 3.00 63% 0.60    
MARCH MADNEZ PARTY May09         (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 122 8.00    
COURT BANKER May09 Mar31       (lugovich)DAVIS A 117 5.00    
MAGIC PRO Apr25 Apr09 Mar12 Jan27   (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 117 2.00    
 
FL-8   05/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANDATORY PAYOUT Feb20 Feb06 Jan20     (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 4.00 21% 3.70    
JACOBA Apr26 Feb26 Feb04 Jan08   (ficarella bro)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 10.00    
WHAT'S MY CATEGORY Feb06         (grusmark karl)GOMEZ O 122 2.50 15% 5.70    
EIGHT WEEKS LONG Apr10 Mar16 Feb20 Jan28   (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 2.00 25% 2.90    
MAKE IT IN NY Mar11 Feb18 Jan27     (grabowski john)COA J 122 5.00    
QUINTARELLI May05 Jan09       (henry n)FRET STEVEN 122 10.00    
A HUGE CHECKPOINT May10         (sells ra)DAVIS A 122 12.00 7% 12.60    
 
FL-9   05/18/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIXTEEN TONS Mar30         (rice linda)GOMEZ O 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
HONOR THY SECRET         (babcock kathleen)BAEZ JOSE 122 20.00    
GREY INVASION         (lec)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 8.00    
DEVIOUS MO May07 Mar25 Mar04 Feb13 Jan22 (chichakly ami)DAVILA R 122 5.00 21% 3.80    
RESPECT FOR ALL Apr26 Mar25 Feb26 Jan08   (simmonds michae)FRET STEVEN 122 8.00    
UHAVETOBEKITTENME May09 Apr26 Apr01 Mar18 Mar11 (sells rachel)COA J 122 5.00 10% 9.50    
DREAM OF WARRIOR Apr01 Mar11 Feb26 Jan25   (huertas nirk)BERRIOS C 118 6.00 10% 9.30    
OUT OF TUNE Apr26         (grusmark)DAVIS A 122 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.