Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Monday - May 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   05/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC SKY May02 Apr06 Mar14 Feb23 Feb08 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 124 8.00 14% 6.30    
DEVIOUS BANKER May02 Apr01 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 (grusmark)DAVIS A 117 2.50 44% 1.30    
BELLAMY DOLCE Mar26 Mar11 Feb20 Jan27   (simmonds mic)BERRIOS C 124 8.00    
OLIVER'S FORTUNE May02 Mar18 Feb06 Jan22   (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 2.00 15% 5.50    
CUT THE CORD Mar31 Mar19 Feb12 Jan09   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 117 1.40    
 
FL-2   05/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUCK POND ROAD Apr26         (breed a)ALVARADO R 120 6.00    
SCR  LOVER'S LEAP May02         (babcock kathleen)BAEZ JOSE 124 3.50    
HIGHWAYTWENTYSEVEN         (clarke dylan)COA J 120 4.00 19% 4.20    
PREFERRED OUTCOME Apr01 Mar11 Feb16 Jan21   (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 1.20 47% 1.10    
LE GROS BILL         (chamberl)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 8.00    
TWISTED SUNSET Apr25         (morales )DAVIS A 120 8.00 9% 10.20    
 
FL-3   05/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POOKIELICIOUS         (rohena rafa)CAMILO D 117 5.00    
ANCHOR LADY May02 Apr14 Mar27 Feb27   (henry ortis )BERRIOS C 124 12.00    
SHE'S SMOKIN HOT         (breed a)ALVARADO R 117 8.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  SARATOGA PRINCESS         (acquilano james)PEREZ E 117 2.00 49% 1.00    
STRONG ALPHA Mar19 Jan28 Jan14     (englehart chr)DAVILA R 117 1.50    
SCR  SAVING SOULS         (dixon li)DAVIS A 117 5.00    
 
FL-4   05/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOWER MOON Apr03 Feb18 Jan23 Jan09 Jan02 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 5.00 7% 13.90    
SCR  NO MORE MISCHIEF Jan27         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 117 5.00    
INOUAINTALKINTOME May02 Mar11 Feb24 Feb04 Jan08 (ficarella bro)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 10.00    
BOCA Apr13 Mar18 Feb12 Jan23   (falk jacqueline)FRATES D 124 6.00    
APRIL ANTICS Apr01 Mar06       (simmonds mic)BERRIOS C 124 4.00    
PURPLE MALINDA         (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 8.00    
STARSHIP PRECIOUS May02 Apr08 Mar23 Feb25 Feb02 (ferraro anth)COA J 117 3.00    
GET YOUR GOLD May02 Mar25       (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 117 2.50 69% 0.50    
 
FL-5   05/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROTHER JEREMIAH         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 4.00 18% 4.70    
SPORTINI Mar26 Feb21       (ferraro anth)COA J 124 3.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  WILLIE MAYS HAYS May09 Mar30 Mar08 Feb23 Jan12 (progno c)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 124 8.00    
SCR  ZIRCON May09         (progno christophe)PEREZ E 124 8.00 10% 8.70    
ACALTEQUE May09 Apr16 Mar31 Mar19 Mar05 (henry n)FRET STEVEN 117 5.00    
DANCING WITH RICO Apr28 Apr02 Mar11 Jan28   (englehart chr)DAVILA R 117 3.00 28% 2.60    
KADEN         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 5.00    
GONNA BE DANCING         (breed ro)DAVIS A 124 10.00    
 
FL-6   05/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WRITER'S REGRET May02 Mar19 Feb20 Jan27   (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 1.60 33% 2.00    
1A  DOUBLE VISION Apr26 Mar31 Jan01     (d'alessandro ra)FRET STEVEN 124 1.60    
ISAIAH ISAIAH         (bartlett)DAVIS A 124 10.00    
DR. MARBOOZ         (mastin kath)IGNACIO RODOLFO 124 6.00    
HONOR AMONG MEN May02 Mar13 Feb26     (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 1.80 21% 3.90    
YOUR AWESOME BOSS Apr26 Mar19       (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
FL-7   05/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEYITSNRICOPALAZO         (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 122 12.00    
ALMENDRO Apr26 Mar04 Feb11     (ubbink ste)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00    
SCR  TOMMY THE TORCH         (tebbutt joh)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.50 18% 4.40    
MISSALPHA Feb19 Jan27 Jan01     (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 6.00 16% 5.30    
MACHO BOY Apr26 Apr02 Mar20 Feb25 Feb03 (englehar)DAVIS A 124 1.60    
DISCO DEANO         (ferraro ant)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
TRUE GOLD Mar04 Feb19 Jan28     (ficarell)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 122 15.00    
 
FL-8   05/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANOTHER IMAGE May02         (miller-sau)DE EMANUEL 124 10.00    
PRAIRIE TALES         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.00 7% 13.80    
SCR  KILLOEAN ROSE         (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 15.00 5% 17.30    
LADYSHANGHITREVOR Apr28 Mar19       (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 117 15.00    
FLIRTACIOUS KISS May02         (d'alessandro )NAVARRO KEVIN 124 6.00    
SOARING MIST May02 Mar25 Feb19     (d'alessandro ra)FRET STEVEN 124 20.00    
FLURRY OF ROSES         (buckley jonathan )BAEZ JOSE 124 5.00 19% 4.30    
WINTER SIREN Apr28 Mar11       (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 117 4.00    
LIVE IN FIVE Mar18 Feb24 Jan08     (baker ch)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 124 3.50 45% 1.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.