Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont Park
Sunday - May 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BEL-1   05/08/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CENTAVO May05 Apr07 Mar11 Mar05   (cha)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
MR. BUCKLEY Apr15 Feb27       (handal raymo)SAMUEL L 125 3.50    
CAJUN COMMANDER Apr15 Mar18 Jan21     (barrera s)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.50    
VICTORY BUILT Mar05 Feb26 Feb03 Jan18 Jan09 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
QUICKFLASH Mar20 Mar11 Feb06     (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 35% 1.90    
 
BEL-2   05/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELEGANT LAOBAN Apr10 Mar18 Feb24 Feb04 Jan06 (o'brien keith)CARDENAS LUIS 125 6.00    
ROZ Apr21 Mar18 Jan08     (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 1.60 10% 9.10    
EMERALD BANKER Apr10 Mar18 Feb24 Feb04 Jan06 (jerkens steven)RICHARDS G 125 20.00    
KAY TEE GAL Apr24 Feb26 Jan01     (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.20 61% 0.60    
KEEN DANCER Apr21 Apr10 Mar18 Feb04 Jan14 (persaud randi)MENA E 118 12.00    
DANCE FOR BOURBON Apr03         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00    
 
BEL-3   05/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIR SHOW Apr07 Mar20 Feb20 Jan22   (morley thomas)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 1.60 41% 1.40    
PURPLE HEARTED Apr10 Jan16       (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00 7% 13.60    
O'TROUBLE         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 4.00 21% 3.80    
ROYAL TRYST Feb04 Jan13       (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
SIX PERCENT         (englehart je)CASTELLANO J 121 4.50    
FOREVER WICKED May01 Apr15 Apr07 Mar19 Feb26 (persaud randi)CARDENAS LUIS 121 8.00    
 
BEL-4   05/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET HIDEOUT Apr23         (davis d)RIDER TBA 118 12.00    
MO NIGHEAN DONN Apr02         (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 124 8.00    
SCR  SARAH'S SPLENDOR         (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 7% 12.60    
CAPITAL GAL Apr23 Mar25       (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  HIKARU         (abreu r)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.80 35% 1.90    
BOSS OF ALL         (schosberg richard)RIDER TBA 118 3.50    
SCR  MADAME ROSE May07 Apr14 Mar11 Feb27 Jan23 (jones e)RIDER TBA 124 12.00    
OAK LOVES A FIGHT Apr14         (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
VALLELUJAH Apr14         (davis ro)DAVIS A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  WINE GODDESS         (de horacio)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 5% 17.60    
 
BEL-5   05/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KID CASH         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50    
NORTH POLE         (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00    
SMART JOKER Apr10         (kimmel john)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
SCR  BOLD VICTORY Apr08         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
LORD GATLING Apr07 Feb12 Jan16     (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00    
VINNY TWO CENTS Apr29 Apr10 Mar05     (barrera )DAVIS A 118 30.00    
TURTLENECK TED Apr13         (lynch natali)SAMUEL L 118 20.00    
FLOKI'S FLIGHT Apr22         (allard edward)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 26% 2.90    
DESERT LION Apr09         (allard edward )ORTIZ L 124 12.00    
 
BEL-6   05/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREATIVE CAIRO         (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 123 4.00    
SCR  NAKED ON THE BEACH Apr15 Mar18       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
SCR  NAZUNA (IRE)         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 2.50    
SCR  ANGEL PALM (GB) Apr08         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00    
SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Apr23 Mar27 Mar11 Feb04 Jan06 (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 121 8.00    
SCR  MISS BELLA CIAO         (drysdale neil)VELAZQUEZ R 123 4.00    
SCR  READY TO VENTURE (GB) Apr09 Mar12       (stidham michael)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BABY BLYTHE         (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.00    
MAYBE LATER Mar25 Feb26       (brown bruce )CASTELLANO J 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  MORE AMMO Apr08         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  ENTWINE (IRE) Apr09 Mar02 Jan13     (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 121 30.00    
12  TONED UP Mar27 Feb12 Jan02     (hills timot)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 20.00    
13  BOSTON POST ROAD         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.60 27% 2.80    
 
BEL-7   05/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROSTY BREW Mar10         (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00    
SECRET LOVE (ARG) Apr15 Mar25 Feb27     (kimmel c)VELAZQUEZ R 125 6.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  FIGHT ON LUCY May07 Apr09 Mar18 Feb06   (kelly j)DAVIS DYLAN 125 20.00    
EQUAL PAY Mar10         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 125 1.40 23% 3.40    
DANCINGWTHDAFFODLS         (jones e)MENA E 125 20.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  SNICKET May07 Apr23 Mar18 Feb11 Jan23 (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 8.00    
SCR  BABY MAN May07 Mar27       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.50 20% 4.00    
VIENNA CODE Feb25 Feb03 Jan16     (williams andrew)CANCEL ERIC 125 20.00    
HONEY MONEY Mar26 Feb25 Feb03 Jan20   (lucas bonni)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 5.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  AWILLAWAY May07 Apr09 Mar18 Feb13 Jan02 (friedman mitc)CARDENAS LUIS 125 30.00    
 
BEL-8   05/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANK STING Mar06 Jan02       (terranova john)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of BEE IN A BONNET by PRECISE END)
LADY ROCKET Apr09         (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by TALE OF THE CAT out of ALLONS DANSER by ESKENDEREYA)
ROYAL FLAG         (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.60 27% 2.70    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of SEA GULL by MINESHAFT)
SEARCH RESULTS Apr09         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 8% 11.30    
  (by FLATTER out of CO COLA by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
ZAAJEL Apr09         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of ASIYA by DAAHER)
MAKE MISCHIEF Apr14         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SPEIGHTFUL LADY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
BEL-9   05/08/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULL MOON FEVER Apr10 Mar20 Feb13     (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 126 10.00    
ONCE A GIANT Apr08 Feb05 Jan20     (weaver g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00    
LUNI SIMA Apr08 Feb25       (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.00 33% 2.10    
AMOUNT Mar31 Feb24 Jan13     (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 126 3.50    
SON OF AN EX May01 Apr02 Mar26 Mar04 Feb24 (persaud rand)HARKIE K 126 8.00    
MISTER WINSTON Apr14 Apr02 Feb26 Feb03 Jan16 (arr)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COUSTEAU Apr07 Mar20 Feb06     (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 40% 1.50    
BRACIOLE Mar25 Feb25       (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Apr14 Mar25 Feb12     (schosberg richard)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
10  NICHOLAS JAMES Apr14         (reynolds patri)ORTIZ L 126 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.