Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - May 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   05/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAVARIA Mar22 Feb16 Feb02 Jan25   (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 113 5.00    
SCR  ROCKET BLAST Apr21 Mar29 Feb11 Feb01   (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  ESPRESSO CALIENTE Apr06 Mar16 Mar04 Jan28 Jan12 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 ★    
4  SPRING EMPEROR Apr20 Mar21 Mar08 Mar01 Feb16 (riviezzo ralp)RIVERA D 120 6.00 ★    
5  MR. WALSH Feb18 Jan19       (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 51% 0.90    
6  LADDIE LIAM Mar25 Mar01 Jan16     (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 22% 3.50    
 
PEN-2   05/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAGE DOWN Apr21 Feb23 Feb01 Jan12   (agnew naoise)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  GATOR FIFTY TWO Mar29 Mar11 Feb23 Feb10   (graci kim)VARGAS L 122 2.50 ★    
3  CLASSY SOLUTION Apr10         (cuprill maria)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 6.00    
4  THE BEST CANDY Apr08 Mar25 Mar04 Feb18 Jan25 (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50 ★    
5  THE REIGN MAN Mar15 Feb23 Jan25 Jan17   (carpio erin)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 8.00 9% 9.80    
6  COLOUR GUARD Apr08 Mar18 Feb15 Feb02 Jan17 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.80 64% 0.60    
 
PEN-3   05/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONE SCULPTOR Mar30 Mar01 Feb15 Jan25 Jan12 (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00    
2  AFLEET TRAXX Apr22 Mar25 Mar15 Mar01 Feb11 (miller a)LLOYD W 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SCREEN STAR Apr20 Apr08 Mar11 Feb23 Jan25 (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 3.50 16% 5.40    
4  LEAVE 'EM LOADED Apr22 Mar23 Mar09 Feb15 Jan04 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 8.00    
5  GEM JUAN Apr22 Apr01 Mar25 Mar11 Feb23 (bobadilla)VARGAS L 120 6.00    
6  DREAMING OF LOVE Apr22 Mar25 Mar11 Feb23 Feb08 (wolfe bob)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  EXPENSIVE (CHI) Apr22 Mar22 Feb08 Jan25   (krebs steven)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 11% 8.40    
8  AMERICAN CHESTNUT         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
9  EYES OF ZEUS Apr22 Mar25 Mar11 Feb11 Jan25 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 50.00    
 
PEN-4   05/06/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHNNY ICE Apr20 Feb08       (stowers michelle)BAKER J 124 5.00 ★    
2  TASTY'S BULLSEYE Apr20 Feb08 Jan25     (mick r)FLORES E 124 4.00 ★    
3  LIGHTNING ROUND Mar23 Mar08 Mar02 Feb09   (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 2.50 ★    
4  SUPER REIGN Apr20 Mar23 Mar16 Jan28   (albright ge)INIRIO J 121 2.00 28% 2.60    
5  MARC WELLS         (kravets m)LLOYD W 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
PEN-5   05/06/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELOSTHISMARBLES Mar08 Feb02       (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 120 3.50 ★    
2  COPPERHEAD CREEK Apr07 Mar15 Feb22 Feb01   (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  MIDNIGHT HAULER         (houghton th)INIRIO J 120 4.50 37% 1.70    
4  PARSIMONY Feb07 Jan05       (gargan danny)SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.00 ★    
5  TRIPLE A. PLUS Apr07 Mar23 Feb22 Feb01 Jan19 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
6  SPARTAK Apr20 Apr12 Mar22 Mar08 Feb28 (riviezzo ral)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 8.00    
 
PEN-6   05/06/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZERTZ Apr01 Mar15 Feb11 Jan26 Jan04 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 ★    
2  P JS SILVER DUKE         (wolfe bob)VARGAS L 120 10.00 ★    
3  DAVIDIC LINE Feb20 Jan30       (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.50 16% 5.20    
4  YES SIR COLONEL Mar23 Feb02       (velez irv)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00    
5  DOLLARIZATION Apr07 Mar15 Feb18 Feb01 Jan11 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  MY MAN POTS N PANS Mar15 Feb11 Jan23     (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
7  PRIME TIME PLAYER Apr07 Mar15 Feb02 Jan26   (synnefias dimitri)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00    
 
PEN-7   05/06/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANI PEDI Apr05 Mar15 Feb01 Jan03   (penaloza mig)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 6.00    
2  LIL MISS HOTSHOT Apr12 Mar28 Mar21 Feb28 Jan25 (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  NOT IN THE MOOD Mar21 Jan12       (pattershall m)REQUENA PEDRO 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  PARANOIA Mar22 Feb22       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 1.60 32% 2.10    
5  JUSTIN TIME Mar29 Feb22 Jan14 Jan04   (ramirez r)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 ★    
SCR  MAGALIE Apr21 Mar18 Feb22 Feb09 Jan04 (ferreira fer)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 20.00 15% 5.90    
 
PEN-8   05/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY LADY'S AUNT MA         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 2.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  GREAT BARONESS Apr10         (cuprill maria)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 2.50 ★    
SCR  RIPPA         (martin jr)AGUILAR M 121 8.00 11% 7.90    
4  TAK E LADY Mar23         (stites p)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
5  ET'S PREMONITION Apr18 Apr04 Mar23 Mar02 Feb07 (chacon gu)HERNANDEZ A 119 15.00    
6  FUELED UP Apr22 Mar25 Mar04 Feb11   (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.