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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Tuesday - May 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   05/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCARF Apr04 Mar02 Feb02     (christman kimbe)BOWMAN ADAM 121 10.00    
FANCY SCEPTER         (shaw j)OCASIO JONATHAN 121 8.00    
SCR  GUNS UP Apr04 Mar14       (ashton patr)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 15.00 5% 17.30    
FRIEDER FANATIC Apr11 Mar16 Feb22 Jan18   (linder louis )OCASIO M 121 3.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  RUBY DOOBY DOO Apr25 Apr04 Mar30 Mar09 Mar01 (ashton patri)BURKE JERMAINE 121 15.00    
BITTERSWT SYMPHONY Mar31 Mar16       (pearce penny)ADORNO ABNER 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
ANGELOFTHEGALAXY Apr18 Mar16 Mar02 Feb01   (hogan willi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 114 4.00    
ORB'S PARTY GIRL Apr11         (lake a)MILAN GERARDO 121 3.50 15% 5.60    
 
PRX-2   05/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRUE UPGRADE Apr20 Mar07 Jan31 Jan12   (carango ant)OCASIO JONATHAN 123 20.00    
HOLA PRINCESS Apr20 Apr12 Mar21 Feb28   (gallimore )RICHARDSON JASON 123 15.00    
SOUTHERN CENTS Apr13 Apr05 Mar21 Feb09 Jan25 (moore mi)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 1.60 21% 3.80    
ROCHELA Apr20 Mar23 Jan31 Jan12   (wilhelm je)MELENDEZ Y 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
SALLY O'PRADO Apr13 Mar23       (wilson brenda)BOWMAN ADAM 123 20.00    
CREEDIBILITY Apr13 Mar23       (brown r)CORREA JULIO 123 8.00    
MORISSETTE Apr21 Mar14 Mar07 Feb22 Feb08 (betancourt e)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 3.50 13% 6.80    
SCR  BRIGHT VENEZUELAN Feb18         (klesaris)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.80 39% 1.60    
 
PRX-3   05/03/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET WILLEMINA Apr27 Apr16 Feb24 Jan26   (lake a)PENNINGTON F 123 1.20    
TOMARIE Apr06 Mar28 Mar02 Feb23 Feb09 (bouchard leslye)BOWMAN ADAM 123 6.00 9% 10.10    
BLUE PAYNT Mar30 Mar01 Jan23     (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 3.50 42% 1.40    
MADAME ROUGE Mar09         (whylie herold)MILAN GERARDO 123 8.00    
JADE DELTA Apr19 Apr04 Mar23 Mar09 Feb22 (hogan william)RIVERA D 123 8.00    
LIKE A PRO Jan26         (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 8.00 7% 14.20    
LEAN ON E Apr06 Mar09 Jan26     (linder louis )SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 10% 8.60    
 
PRX-4   05/03/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARIANNA QUEEN Apr13 Mar21 Feb28 Feb08 Jan04 (dunn john)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 5.00    
MAGNETIQUE Apr07 Mar06 Feb04     (morey e)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.60 34% 2.00    
SHIRLEY GREENE Apr25 Mar30 Mar01     (diaz jorge)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 116 4.00 31% 2.20    
GINGERS WISH Mar30 Mar02 Feb21 Jan25 Jan03 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 123 8.00    
CONNOISSEUR Apr13 Feb28 Feb07 Jan25 Jan03 (polachek j)GILARDO COURTNEY 116 12.00    
HOLIDAY RAID Apr26 Apr06 Mar30 Mar07 Feb28 (perez rupert)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 8.00    
SAME MOON Apr13 Mar30 Mar21 Feb21 Feb07 (perez rupe)CABALLERO HECTOR 123 10.00 9% 9.60    
MIKEY'S JEWEL Apr13 Mar30 Mar02 Feb21 Feb07 (diaz jo)GONZALEZ LUIS 126 4.50    
 
PRX-5   05/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BAD BUD Apr12 Apr04 Mar15 Mar02 Feb02 (wilhelm jen)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 116 20.00    
STAR LUCK Mar22 Jan31 Jan05     (guerrero ca)RIVERA D 123 1.80 57% 0.80    
IMPACTFUL Apr20 Mar28 Mar15 Feb23 Feb02 (lee r)RANGEL JOEZER 123 2.50    
SCR  MOON PISTOL Apr04 Feb22 Jan31     (wilhelm je)MELENDEZ Y 113 15.00    
CLASSIFIED INFO Apr19 Apr12 Apr04 Mar16 Feb21 (taylor joseph)ADORNO ABNER 126 4.00 19% 4.30    
FAST NEGOTIATIONS Mar29 Mar22 Feb22     (linder )GONZALEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
SILVER FURY Apr11 Mar15 Jan03     (riviezzo ral)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 5.00    
 
PRX-6   05/03/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BROTHER NEIL Apr07 Mar07 Feb15 Jan18   (linder louis )SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00    
CATTY'S UNCLE Apr11 Mar28       (pattershall m)OCASIO M 118 12.00    
DREAMING OF GERRY Apr15 Mar04 Feb04     (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 1.60 15% 5.90    
MY COUSIN RICH Apr11 Mar22 Feb09 Jan20   (vazquez jua)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 8.00 11% 7.80    
JUDICIAL RESTRAINT Apr12 Mar21 Feb28 Feb07   (wilhelm jen)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 116 20.00    
SCOOP DAWG Apr13 Mar22 Mar14 Feb02 Jan10 (taylor josep)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 8.00 14% 6.10    
BOARD CERTIFIED Mar04 Jan22 Jan01     (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
 
PRX-7   05/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDIRECTLY Apr05 Mar22       (dominguez ma)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 4.00 17% 4.80    
YEI YEI Apr27 Apr12 Apr05 Mar16 Mar07 (bouchard leslye)BOWMAN ADAM 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
ALPHA'S CANDY MAN Apr18 Apr06 Mar30 Mar08 Feb15 (kirby timoth)LOPEZ PASCACIO 126 6.00    
SCR  ELITE MISSION Apr20 Mar22 Feb28 Feb09 Jan25 (whylie h)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 15.00    
CATCH MY VIBE Apr20 Mar30 Feb28 Feb07 Jan25 (thompson mar)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 8.00    
RUN FAST Apr20 Mar07 Feb18 Jan25   (penaloza mig)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 5.00 5% 17.90    
I SAW IT ALL Apr05 Mar07 Feb09 Feb02 Jan17 (mccaslin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
EXTREME FORCE Apr18 Mar30 Mar14 Jan17 Jan04 (guerrero ca)RIVERA D 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
KIKKERLAND Apr05 Mar22 Mar07 Feb16 Feb02 (polachek janet)ADORNO ABNER 123 6.00    
 
PRX-8   05/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIRCHMOUNT RD Apr11 Mar14 Feb21 Jan03   (linder louis )SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00    
SKY TEMPLE Apr11 Mar14 Feb15 Jan10   (solis jacinto)RIVERA D 123 6.00    
JEBOLOGIST Apr09 Mar25 Feb12     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50 42% 1.40    
DISTRACTANDATTACK Apr11 Mar22 Mar08 Jan10   (kantarmaci ilk)ADORNO ABNER 123 4.00 27% 2.70    
NINE TOE JOHNNY Apr18 Apr05 Mar15 Feb21 Jan03 (rodriguez m)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 8.00    
OUCH OUCH OUCH Apr19 Mar07 Feb15 Feb07 Jan09 (maymo alejan)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 8.00    
CHARLIES SAFARI Apr11 Mar15 Jan17     (hawthorn)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 8.00    
PASSAGE OF LINES Apr20         (reid e)PENNINGTON F 123 2.00    
 
PRX-9   05/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AEGEAN SEA Apr06 Mar21 Feb23 Jan17   (brown ho)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 4.00 52% 0.90    
MIDNIGHT OBSESSION Mar20         (servis c)PENNINGTON F 123 0.80    
SCR  LA LA LUCY Mar29 Mar16 Jan26 Jan18   (mann farrel)RIVERA EDWIN 123 20.00    
SCR  GET HER READYEDDIE Mar23 Feb28 Jan31     (solis jacinto)BOWMAN ADAM 123 10.00    
AKNA Mar21 Feb21 Jan31     (soto c)FELIX M 123 12.00    
ARGENTINA GIRL Mar29 Mar01 Feb07 Jan12   (vazquez juan )SILVERA RUBEN 118 5.00 16% 5.40    
HAY BUCK Mar29 Mar09 Jan31 Jan03   (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-10   05/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($45K) 3 F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAZY SERENA Apr11 Mar15 Jan28     (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 121 6.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  PERFECT DIRECTION Mar08 Feb01       (whylie o)BOWMAN ADAM 118 8.00    
SKERRETT Apr05 Mar08 Feb08     (reid e)PENNINGTON F 121 5.00    
MIA TOSCA Apr05 Mar08 Feb07 Jan03   (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 3.50    
YOU LOOK COLD Mar19         (o'connor rob)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00 14% 6.20    
BELLA LINO Mar28 Jan12       (allen randy)RIVERA EDWIN 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
PRX-11   05/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HEY DEWZPOTS Apr11 Mar02 Feb08 Jan12   (catalano l)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 5.00 17% 4.70    
INTERVENTION Apr19 Apr11 Mar30 Mar14 Mar02 (whylie o)BOWMAN ADAM 123 15.00    
STARSHIP BLANCA Apr13 Mar30 Mar02 Feb21 Feb07 (ashton patr)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 12.00 13% 6.60    
AMERICAN MONEY (FR) Apr13 Mar23 Mar07 Feb21 Jan25 (guerrero m)CABALLERO HECTOR 123 15.00    
LIAM'S LADY Apr13 Mar23 Mar14 Feb21 Jan25 (hogan willi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 116 6.00    
HEY IT'S TATI Apr06 Mar15 Feb11 Jan20   (dominguez ma)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 1.80 20% 4.10    
RISEN CHANGE Apr26 Apr11 Apr04 Mar23 Mar14 (hogan william)RIVERA D 123 4.50    
STONEHARBOR BLONDE Apr11 Mar23       (vazquez juan )MILAN GERARDO 123 2.50 25% 3.00    
ALMOST EVIL Apr11 Mar14 Feb01     (soto c)OCASIO M 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.