Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Monday - May 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   05/02/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVER'S LEAP         (babcock kathleen)BAEZ JOSE 124 6.00 15% 5.60    
STONE HEART         (lecesse )DAVIS A 124 1.50 33% 2.10    
SMOKIN' ALONE         (sab)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00    
WINNING WITHHONOUR         (tasso mark)COA J 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
MARGARITA SUNRISE         (wright t)ALVARADO R 124 2.00    
 
FL-2   05/02/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($26.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMAY (PER) Mar30 Mar02 Feb11 Jan23   (lecesse michael)PEREZ E 120 10.00    
DREAM BIGGER Apr02 Feb10 Jan27 Jan01   (englehart jef)DAVILA R 122 4.00    
LADY'S GOLDEN GUY         (breed a)ALVARADO R 120 1.80 48% 1.10    
WRITER'S REGRET Mar19 Feb20 Jan27     (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 120 6.00    
WINSTON'S CHANCE         (breed de)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 2.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  RUNNINGWSCISSORS Apr16 Mar19 Feb19 Jan28 Jan16 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 5.00    
 
FL-3   05/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET YOUR GOLD Mar25         (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 117 1.00 40% 1.50    
DARE TO BE GREAT Apr01 Mar18 Feb26 Feb11   (grusmark)DAVIS A 117 10.00    
DAREDEVIL BULL Apr03 Feb01 Jan04     (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 117 2.00 35% 1.90    
IOVA Apr11 Mar14 Feb22 Jan18 Jan03 (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 124 6.00    
INOUAINTALKINTOME Mar11 Feb24 Feb04 Jan08   (ficarella bro)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 4.50    
 
FL-4   05/02/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOVELEE HONOR         (sells rachel)DAVILA A 124 6.00    
ONE TICKED LADY         (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 4.50 32% 2.10    
RENNINAS ROSE Jan19         (falk jacqu)DE EMANUEL 124 10.00    
SAVANNA GAL         (grusmark)DAVIS A 117 6.00 41% 1.40    
HERE COMES MEG         (progno christo)COA J 124 2.50    
KEEN ON ME Mar25 Mar11 Jan11     (sells rache)CAMILO D 117 1.40    
 
FL-5   05/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THATS PRETTY NICE Apr13 Mar19 Feb18     (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 117 3.00 13% 6.90    
STARSHIP PRECIOUS Apr08 Mar23 Feb25 Feb02 Jan22 (ferraro anth)COA J 117 2.00 18% 4.50    
NO CHALK Mar25         (iorio jr)PEREZ E 117 1.20 45% 1.20    
AZOGAR         (morales samuel)CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00    
PAZZION Mar06 Feb21 Feb12 Jan22   (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 8.00    
 
FL-6   05/02/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKIE'S A FOX         (englehart jeffrey)CRUZ JOEL 117 4.00    
ANCHOR LADY Apr14 Mar27 Feb27     (henry ortis )BERRIOS C 124 15.00    
TORREN'S TALE Apr03 Feb19 Jan08     (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.00 33% 2.10    
SOARING MIST Mar25 Feb19       (d'alessandro ra)FRET STEVEN 124 12.00    
ANOTHER IMAGE         (miller-sau)DE EMANUEL 124 5.00    
QUEENS DANCER         (dixon li)DAVIS A 117 2.50 38% 1.70    
FLIRTACIOUS KISS         (d'alessa)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 124 10.00 6% 15.60    
SINLESS         (gutierrez l)ROHENA WILFREDO 124 15.00    
 
FL-7   05/02/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC SKY Apr06 Mar14 Feb23 Feb08 Jan18 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 124 15.00    
HANGAR ONE Feb26 Feb05 Jan02     (ficarell)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 124 6.00    
GANONDAGAN         (sells rachel)DAVILA A 124 8.00    
RUN CASPER RUN Apr01 Mar05 Feb19 Jan02   (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
NIGHTSPOT         (sparling wa)IGNACIO RODOLFO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
DEVIOUS BANKER Apr01 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 Jan09 (grusmark)DAVIS A 117 4.00    
OLIVER'S FORTUNE Mar18 Feb06 Jan22     (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 11% 7.90    
FATHER WALSH Apr10 Mar02 Jan18     (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 117 3.00 16% 5.10    
 
FL-8   05/02/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RICHIE'S B L Mar03 Feb10 Jan26     (wright t)BAEZ JOSE 124 20.00    
WAHEEL Feb10 Jan01       (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 117 3.50 20% 4.00    
MO CRAZY BLUES Apr08 Mar16 Feb18 Jan11   (sells rachel)COA J 124 6.00    
BUSTIN PIETRE Apr10 Feb21 Jan27     (barrow p)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 117 5.00    
COURAGEOOUS OH LA         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 117 8.00    
HONOR AMONG MEN Mar13 Feb26       (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
SEIZER         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 10.00    
PRODUCTION CREDIT         (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 8.00    
I FOUND IT Apr04         (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 117 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.