Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Sunday - May 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   05/01/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DASHING HERO Apr02 Mar05 Feb18 Feb10   (stanoszek sara)JURADO EDDIE 116 20.00    
SCR  I TE AMO Apr18         (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 20.00    
WILLYMAR Apr22 Mar31 Mar10 Feb16 Jan15 (rangel arn)CARPIO J 123 4.00 14% 5.90    
SPEIGHTY SHIRL         (ackerman kel)COLON H 123 3.00 65% 0.50    
NURSE KATIE Apr18         (logston christo)LEON A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WICKED INTENT Mar06 Feb13       (caramori caio)DIAZ I 123 4.50    
MOTHER'S PRIDE Apr18         (poole c)ROLDAN FELISHA 106 20.00    
LA LIMA Apr25 Apr15 Feb02     (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 116 8.00    
SCR  AMERICAN HUNTER Apr18 Feb28       (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 6.00    
SCR  DRAMADORA         (gomez alejandro)CCAMAQUE M 123 5.00    
SCR  STORMY CUT Apr08 Mar24       (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 6.00    
SCR  CAPITAL ALLOCATION (GB) Mar24         (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.00    
 
MNR-2   05/01/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AIR FORCE PINK         (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 12.00    
PERFECT PEACH Apr18         (logston christo)LEON A 120 15.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  LETSGOANDGETTHEDO Mar24 Feb24       (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 4.50    
SCR  T. WALTZ Mar18 Mar06 Jan30 Jan07   (brooks e)RIVERA R 120 3.50    
MS BOOMBASTIC         (hendriks ri)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
MY WYNTER ECHO Apr13 Mar24 Mar08 Feb22 Jan25 (bayley ra)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
CARMEN O'ELECTRA Apr09 Mar10 Feb23 Feb16 Jan25 (sullivan elli)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00    
HIGH HEAVEN Apr13 Mar26 Mar08 Feb22 Feb16 (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 116 10.00    
MILLIE (CHI)         (snatch)BATISTA ALBERTO null      
SCR  COTIA Mar17 Mar03       (caramori c)CARPIO J 120 5.00    
SCR  TAILADIOS         (sipp k)CCAMAQUE M 120 12.00    
 
MNR-3   05/01/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALGODONAL         (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.00    
COOLER SCHEDULE         (ewell devan)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 15.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  THIRSTY GAL Apr24 Jan21       (smith osborne)YARANGA Y 120 3.00    
DONA CAMILE         (logston christo)LEON A 120 15.00    
SCR  DESERT DOTTY         (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 120 6.00    
SWEET BELEN Mar10 Mar02 Jan24     (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 12.00 32% 2.10    
BEND THE KNEE Mar31 Mar02 Jan14     (cain crys)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 15.00    
AVENIDA MANANA Apr06 Mar03 Feb24 Feb12 Jan08 (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 1.60    
SCR  FOR MY MOM         (bisse)MONSERRATE A 120 20.00    
 
MNR-4   05/01/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANTANKEROUS BOBBY Jan19 Jan12       (alamo migu)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 10.00 8% 11.80    
SO COURAGEOUS Mar02 Feb17       (figgins ollie )RIOS-CONDE A 120 1.60 64% 0.60    
SCR  CROSSTHEBAY Mar10         (shanley mark)YARANGA Y 120 2.50    
ISLAND CADGER Mar24 Mar03 Feb18 Feb11   (cain crystal)CCAMAQUE M 120 20.00    
EASTBOUND N DOWN Apr06         (meehan )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.00    
OMEGA GOLD Mar24 Mar03 Feb10     (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 8.00    
 
MNR-5   05/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER MAN Apr04         (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 6.00    
C F V WICKED RED Mar23 Feb21 Jan29 Jan14   (mcgaffic )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 4.00 5% 18.20    
SCR  OSMI SLEW Apr15 Apr05 Mar19 Mar07 Mar01 (lopez carlos)ROLDAN FELISHA 110 12.00    
HUNTER SCOTT Apr11 Mar10 Feb18 Jan21   (acevedo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 1.80 64% 0.60    
SKY ENERGY         (flores chri)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.50    
MR. HALFTIME Mar23 Feb23       (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 116 3.00    
 
MNR-6   05/01/2022 2970ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY VALENTINA Apr18 Mar08 Feb19 Jan31   (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00 25% 3.00    
KITTEN BY THE SEA         (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 3.50 44% 1.30    
ACCOLADES GALORE         (walker ch)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 8.00    
BELLE BREZING         (blankenship )ROLDAN FELISHA 110 20.00    
DANCING DESTINY         (crago t)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00    
QUEEN OF SHADES Mar04         (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 1.80 9% 10.00    
SCR  TANTARA         (sipp k)LEON A 120 12.00    
 
MNR-7   05/01/2022 2970ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADOW SURPRISE Apr05 Mar22 Jan19     (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 6.00    
ESCAPE VELOCITY Apr19 Mar31 Mar22 Mar07 Feb21 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.00 23% 3.40    
JAMMING CAMERON         (crago terry)LEON A 120 2.50 27% 2.60    
STRONG YEN Feb18 Jan23       (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 3.00    
SCARED WARIOR Apr11 Mar21       (sp)SALAZAR FERNANDO 120 6.00    
RESCUE FIVE Apr24 Apr05 Jan14     (kocijan marcus)DIAZ I 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
 
MNR-8   05/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATE BREAKING NEWS Apr15 Mar25 Mar04 Feb05   (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 120 8.00 13% 6.80    
DECEITFUL ANTHONY Mar19 Feb22 Jan19     (west m)BARBARAN ERIK 120 1.60 22% 3.60    
TRIBULATION         (bell brenda)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 15.00    
SLICK AS ICE Mar19 Mar08 Feb15 Jan26 Jan14 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 3.00 43% 1.40    
SKYCRAFT Apr12 Feb24 Jan30 Jan15 Jan06 (husak)MONSERRATE A 120 4.50    
SCR  CAROLINA ISLAND Mar19 Feb15 Jan25     (van meter)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 8.00    
WILL DANCER         (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.