Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - April 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   04/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOXODROME Feb23 Feb08       (maymo jor)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 17% 5.00    
2  HERE'S WALDO Feb18 Jan11       (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 120 1.60 21% 3.70    
3  MR FANTASY Mar23 Mar08 Feb09 Feb02 Jan09 (perez ruperto)RIVERA D 120 5.00 ★    
SCR  E T'S CANDY MAN Mar30 Mar08 Feb18 Feb02 Jan18 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 1.50 38% 1.60    
5  LONG TOM Apr21 Mar30 Mar23 Mar09 Feb16 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-2   04/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINGFIELD PARK Mar23 Mar15       (schoentha)CARRASCO R 121 3.00 ★    
SCR  CARPE SOGNO Mar01         (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 121 10.00    
3  UNCLE YUDI Mar23 Mar15 Feb15     (kravets bruce )CONNER TYLER 121 1.40 46% 1.20    
4  HE CAME TRUE Mar23 Mar16       (ferreira fe)INIRIO J 121 10.00 26% 2.90    
5  JUSTICEOFTHEPEACE Mar15         (lynch cat)HERNANDEZ A 121 5.00 ★    
6  SOUL STORY Apr08 Mar16       (albright )VARGAS L 124 3.50 ★    
 
PEN-3   04/29/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ECONOMIC POWER Mar30 Mar01 Jan07     (albright r)FLORES E 122 8.00    
2  AMERICAN FORCES Feb15 Jan25       (sacco gregory )CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
3  DIABLO D ORO Apr11 Mar22 Feb09 Jan12   (diaz jorge)RIVERA D 122 6.00    
4  KINSALER Mar30 Mar23 Feb16     (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 ★    
5  JERUSALEM GATES Apr02 Mar20 Feb11 Jan27   (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
6  NAZARENO Apr06 Mar15 Feb08 Feb01 Jan12 (carpio erin)INIRIO J 119 15.00    
7  MIDDLE EARTH Feb15 Feb02 Jan04     (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00 ★    
8  ORASHI Mar25 Feb25 Feb16 Jan28 Jan12 (albright r)AGUILAR M 119 8.00    
9  REBEL RULER Mar16 Feb25 Feb09     (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 119 6.00 21% 3.70    
 
PEN-4   04/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUSSIE'S NOTION Apr06 Jan28       (shea h)CORA D 124 5.00    
2  GIA'S FUEGO Apr05 Mar09 Feb21 Feb08 Jan10 (diaz jor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 2.00 11% 8.40    
3  STORMY SPELL Mar16 Jan25 Jan14     (zalalas michael)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 ★    
4  JEANETTEO Apr07 Mar11       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.50 53% 0.90    
5  QUEEN'S DREAM Apr08 Mar16 Feb18 Feb02 Jan19 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 8.00 9% 9.80    
6  ON ISLAND TIME Apr06 Feb02 Jan26     (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 ★    
 
PEN-5   04/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMIGOS TUNE Mar30 Feb09 Jan07     (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 124 2.00 15% 5.60    
2  FAIRY DUST Mar08 Feb09 Jan07     (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 54% 0.80    
3  MAGICALLYDELICIOUS Mar23 Mar08 Jan19     (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  COUNTESS SHANAKILL Mar16 Feb18 Feb02 Jan19   (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 5.00    
5  HILL VALLEY Apr08 Mar09 Feb22 Jan14   (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.50 ★    
SCR  MAJESTIC BLEND Mar21 Mar07 Feb02     (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   04/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROTECTTHEWITNESS Mar09         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 119 8.00 19% 4.30    
2  WIRETAP Apr06 Feb22 Feb02     (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 34% 1.90    
3  JUSTKISSMYGRITS Apr08 Mar22 Feb23 Feb02 Jan14 (graci kim)VARGAS L 120 8.00 ★    
4  UNION FOLLY Mar25         (houghton th)INIRIO J 119 6.00    
5  NEW HIRE Apr06 Feb11       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 117 1.60 25% 2.90    
6  SWEET MESA Apr06 Mar02 Feb02 Jan14   (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   04/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECOND LINE DAVID         (crane clovis)CORA D 122 8.00 17% 4.80    
2  GOLD FELLOW Apr02 Mar09 Feb08 Jan11   (gonzal)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 4.00 ★    
3  BERMONDSEY Apr20 Mar23 Mar01 Feb15 Jan25 (nunley randy)FLORES E 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
4  CITY GUY Apr12 Mar21 Feb28 Feb07 Jan05 (brennan re)GILARDO COURTNEY 115 2.50    
5  LOVEDISC Mar09 Feb11 Feb02     (bobadilla)VARGAS L 122 30.00 ★    
6  DOMINANT FACTOR Mar20 Mar01 Feb18 Jan14   (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 1.80 18% 4.70    
 
PEN-8   04/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY MUNNINGS Mar30 Feb01       (crook-dem)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
2  SHATTER ME Apr08         (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50    
3  GIMME'S GOLDENGIRL Apr08 Mar15 Feb19 Jan14 Jan07 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 5.00 ★    
4  SHACKABOOM Mar18 Feb24 Feb03     (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 3.50 16% 5.20    
5  TIME'S ON MY SIDE Apr07 Mar18 Feb22 Feb02   (graci kim)VARGAS L 124 8.00    
6  LITTLEBITALILY Mar30 Feb11 Jan12     (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  COURTING JENNY Jan14         (o'callahan c)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 15% 5.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.