Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - April 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   04/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOIRAINE Apr08 Mar03       (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 2.00 34% 2.00    
TAPTAP Apr16 Apr08       (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00 9% 10.50    
FIRED UP         (murphy jef)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.50    
TUESDAY TOO Mar10 Jan27 Jan12     (kopecki e)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00    
NINETY PROOF Mar31 Mar10 Feb17     (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 124 8.00    
MIDNIGHT BRASS         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.80 34% 1.90    
 
CT-2   04/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPLOITATION Apr02         (straughn willia)LIMA FELINO 115 20.00    
LOULOVESTHERIVER Apr16 Mar21 Feb28 Jan26 Jan18 (keller chr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
ROCK FILE Apr15 Apr02 Mar17 Feb25 Feb03 (o'neill)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 2.00 37% 1.70    
CHILLING SECRET Mar23 Feb18 Feb02 Jan13   (reynolds )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 16% 5.40    
JUST NOD AND SMILE Apr14         (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 122 4.00    
HACKER MAN Apr02 Mar19 Feb19 Feb05 Jan15 (campbell mar)ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 6.00    
 
CT-3   04/29/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YESSIROFFICER Mar24         (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00    
WAGER WORTHY Mar24 Mar10 Feb17 Jan14   (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 122 8.00    
ALLI BOBBY         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 1.80 25% 3.00    
IT'S A REAL HONOR         (laster b)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 9% 10.60    
ICE CRUSHER Mar17         (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 122 1.60 45% 1.20    
OFFICER CALLY Apr16 Mar17       (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50    
 
CT-4   04/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE N GOLD Feb25 Feb04       (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 2.00 27% 2.70    
LATE IN THE GAME Apr16 Mar23 Mar02 Feb10 Jan15 (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 1.60 36% 1.80    
WEAVINTHEBLOCKS Apr15 Mar24 Mar03 Feb25 Feb03 (lucas a)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 12.00    
LET'S GET PHYSICAL Apr20 Mar24 Feb02     (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 5.00    
LIL TOUGHMAN Apr14 Mar24 Mar18 Feb02   (johnson j)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00    
CHARITABLE VISIT Apr20 Mar31 Mar18 Mar02 Jan12 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.50 13% 6.80    
 
CT-5   04/29/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORM TRAPPE         (figgins ollie )RIOS-CONDE A 116 10.00    
SECRET CAMELOT         (reynol)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 6.00    
BOTTOM DECK Apr08         (scott lloyd )ROCHA WLADIMIR 124 1.60 37% 1.70    
GABBYS BIG NOTION         (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00    
PAPA DON         (rideout anth)TROTMAN KEIMAR 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
TOLLER         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 1.40 31% 2.20    
 
CT-6   04/29/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MATH MAN MARCO Apr06 Feb04 Jan15     (velez irv)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 2.50 26% 2.80    
JUST GETS BETTER Mar24 Mar03 Feb03 Jan13   (butts mik)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
TALKING TEDDY Apr16 Mar25 Mar02 Feb17   (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 116 5.00    
BURR HILL BULLET Apr06         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.80 43% 1.30    
ROCKET SOUND Mar26 Mar04 Feb11     (mangual man)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 20.00    
JEFFERSON NATIVE Apr06 Mar02 Feb12     (dollinger-s)RAMGEET R 116 3.50    
ZEP Apr06 Mar23       (figgins ollie )RIOS-CONDE A 120 6.00    
 
CT-7   04/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($37.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOBE SOUND (IRE) Mar19 Mar02 Feb03 Jan15   (reggetts stephe)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00 9% 10.10    
RRACE DAY WARRIOR Apr13 Mar10 Mar02 Feb17   (boggs joanna)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
ISHIHARA Apr08 Mar11 Feb17 Jan27   (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 3.50 18% 4.70    
SCR  AWESOME D J Apr24 Apr03 Mar13 Mar04   (cash norm)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 10.00    
MIDNIGHT ACT Apr18 Apr07 Mar29 Mar15 Feb02 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 120 4.00 22% 3.40    
OUTLIER Apr21 Apr10 Mar17 Feb13 Jan21 (cash l)ACOSTA D 124 1.80 26% 2.90    
DIXIE DRAWL Apr21 Mar26 Mar04     (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00    
 
CT-8   04/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARSON AND I Apr15         (calhoun ama)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 15.00    
SKIP THE BULL Apr15         (figgins ollie )RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
HEROIC DEED Apr07 Mar18 Feb24 Feb04 Jan14 (pickett g)CULLUM W 124 8.00 21% 3.80    
CLEVER BOB Apr15 Feb11 Jan30     (worton)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 15.00    
FLASH OF DAY Apr08 Apr02 Mar11 Feb19 Feb02 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 10.00    
FLAT CAT Apr08 Mar19 Feb26     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.20 52% 0.90    
PALACE KING Apr22         (tobin edwin )TROTMAN KEIMAR 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
REGHITTO Apr07 Mar18 Feb24 Feb03   (runco c)MARRERO CARLOS 118 6.00    
SCR  NO ME DIGAS Apr24 Apr03       (worton )NUNEZ ANAHI 113 10.00    
SCR  KAZU Apr15 Mar27 Mar05 Feb13 Jan22 (milosevic milan)ACOSTA D 116 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.