Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Thursday - April 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   04/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME BREAK Apr13 Mar21 Mar07 Feb21   (bird da)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 12.00    
SCR  GALLIPOLIS Mar07 Feb21       (sullivan mi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.00 8% 12.20    
IN SEARCH OF Apr13 Mar21 Mar07 Feb21   (spiess m)LEON SONNY 123 3.00 27% 2.60    
CAPTAIN BERNARDO Apr13 Apr05 Mar23     (poole jami )FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 8.00    
AMES MISTER Apr04 Mar24 Feb25 Jan29 Jan14 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 32% 2.10    
NIGHT TIME RULER Apr16 Mar23 Mar05     (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 8% 11.10    
STORMY PROSPECTOR Apr05 Mar09       (vazquez iv)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 15.00    
 
TDN-2   04/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DIAMONDS ENJOY Mar24 Mar08 Feb21 Jan22   (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
CUTLER         (jackson jame)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 8.00 9% 10.40    
FREE SPEECH Mar31 Mar16 Feb22 Jan26   (dubie kathy)TAPARA BRANDON 121 4.50    
FOX ON THE RUN Feb28 Jan26       (cowans d)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
MAS CHIKILIN Mar18         (andrade hu)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00 35% 1.90    
BIG TRIP Apr16 Apr04 Mar16 Mar05 Feb15 (su)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 14% 6.10    
CENTRIST Apr16 Mar31 Mar15 Feb23 Feb15 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 123 3.50 17% 5.00    
COLOMBARD Apr04 Mar24 Mar05 Feb15 Jan26 (calderon iva)MAYTA J 119 15.00    
 
TDN-3   04/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEPING SCORE Mar21 Mar09 Jan22     (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00 8% 12.30    
NOT JUST GEORGE Apr06 Mar21       (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 123 20.00    
LINO'S KID Apr06 Mar09 Feb18     (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
WEEKENDER Apr06 Mar21       (hamm timoth)MARTINEZ R 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
HOPPY GILMORE Apr06         (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
CRYPTO COPY         (gorham )PILARES P 119 12.00    
YOU'RE OUT Apr06 Feb18 Jan25 Jan11   (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
WORTHY OPPONENT         (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 4.00    
CHOCOLATE PHILLING Apr16 Mar09 Feb26 Jan19   (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 123 15.00    
 
TDN-4   04/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTER Apr19 Apr04 Mar07 Feb15 Jan31 (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 115 6.00    
1A  HEY SACH Apr19 Mar18 Mar07 Feb21 Jan04 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 119 6.00    
GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD Apr04 Mar18 Mar07 Feb18 Jan15 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 115 12.00 7% 13.30    
RELEASED         (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
AT THE BEACH         (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 119 20.00    
CHROMED IMPULSE Apr04 Mar18       (hamm timoth)MARTINEZ R 115 3.00 30% 2.40    
CENTSOFWANDER Mar23 Mar07 Feb23 Jan15   (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 13% 6.90    
JACK'S DREAM Mar24         (andrade hu)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 20.00    
SMALL FIELD         (huffman ken)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 8.00    
HAPPILEA Mar15 Feb19       (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 121 4.00    
 
TDN-5   04/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET BETTY JOYCE Apr16 Mar26 Mar01 Feb18   (suarez )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 20.00    
BOSSY LADY         (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.00 8% 12.10    
ARTIES CRYPTONITE Mar10 Feb18 Jan08     (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
CANDLELIGHT HOURS         (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 115 4.50 5% 19.00    
STARLIT SECRET Mar26         (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 2.50 40% 1.50    
CHRISTMAS Mar26         (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 6.00    
J J'S FANCY Jan21         (su)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 20.00    
SCR  LIONISTIC Apr12 Mar02 Jan24 Jan08   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50 26% 2.90    
 
TDN-6   04/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENETIAN DREAM Apr09 Mar23 Mar07     (bailey ricar)MAYTA J 121 10.00    
VERIFIED Apr09 Mar24 Mar10 Feb15 Jan23 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 8.00    
EL MARRO Mar07 Jan22       (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00    
BULLION Apr09 Mar23 Mar05 Feb21 Jan22 (calderon i)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 4.50 32% 2.20    
CAT'S CURIOSITY         (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
STARTDFROMDABOTTOM         (ennis john)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.50 9% 10.60    
GARRETT Apr09 Mar24       (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 119 3.00 38% 1.70    
DILETTANTE Apr09 Mar31 Feb18     (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 119 4.00    
 
TDN-7   04/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRIZABELLA         (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 19% 4.10    
1A  DANCIN' ROSIE         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
DIVA POWER Jan26         (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 15.00    
SCR  CRISTALINDA Apr16 Feb19       (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00    
RUNLIKEJACKIEO Apr02         (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 113 5.00    
3C  CATABOUT Apr06 Mar26       (faulkner rodney)FELICIANO R 119 5.00    
EDGE OF NIGHT Apr09         (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 10% 9.10    
ROCK STAR LADY Apr16 Mar14       (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 117 20.00    
OUT FOR FUN Feb18         (gorham )PILARES P 115 6.00    
LEXY ANNA Jan24         (yoder lor)CORREA L 119 8.00    
MOBIL LADY         (meyers shane)LEON SONNY 119 4.00 21% 3.90    
STAR RULES         (huffman ken)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 121 3.50 26% 2.90    
10  VICTOR STORY Mar14         (bayley ra)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 20.00    
 
TDN-8   04/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRISTALINDA Apr16 Feb19       (johnson l)LEON SONNY 123 6.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  OPULENT Mar10 Feb19       (johnson l)LEON SONNY 119 6.00    
CUT RATES Apr06 Mar05 Feb01 Jan14   (trevino steph)BARBARAN ERIK 121 4.50    
HERE COMES JIGS         (suarez javier)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 6% 16.50    
CAT'S RHYTHM Apr06 Mar31 Feb19     (bird danny)DIAZ I 123 4.00    
POWER BANKER Apr11 Mar31 Mar22 Mar07 Jan26 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 123 3.50 33% 2.00    
GRINS N' WINS Apr12 Mar31 Mar10 Feb19 Jan05 (cr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 15% 5.80    
CARMEN OHIO Jan01         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET EVY GRACE Mar19 Mar05 Jan26     (murillo-ro)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 12.00    
GIFT FROM MOM Apr06 Mar10 Feb26 Feb19 Feb01 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.