Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - April 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   04/28/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAMPAGNE JAM Apr15 Mar17 Feb03 Jan13   (barber don)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00    
2  MINI BOLT Mar25 Feb18 Jan13     (roman-salon n)SIMPSON JASON 120 30.00    
3  CEDAR RUNS CASTLE Apr07 Mar25 Feb17     (patterson k)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 1.60 67% 0.50    
4  WEAVE IT QUIXOTE Apr07 Feb25 Jan13     (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 3.50    
5  MIKI Mar17 Feb25 Feb03 Jan13   (figgins ollie )RIOS-CONDE A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SALTY J J Apr08 Mar03 Jan14     (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.80 10% 8.70    
7  BLUE COLLAR BOY Mar17 Feb25 Feb10     (hess jacob )MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 12.00    
 
CT-2   04/28/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURAGEOUS GRACE Apr01 Mar19 Feb26 Feb05 Jan14 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 122 1.80 38% 1.60    
2  NAITAKA Feb22 Jan25 Jan08     (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00    
3  WILD CAPPUCINO Apr01 Feb26 Jan15     (davis russe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 15.00    
4  CALLINGHERCOLLINS Apr14 Mar09 Feb05     (runco j)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 4.50 15% 5.80    
5  TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY Apr01 Mar16 Mar06 Feb05   (keller chr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.00 16% 5.30    
6  TONALA Apr01 Mar02 Feb05 Jan15   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00    
 
CT-3   04/28/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWBOY AT HEART Apr01 Mar11 Feb11 Jan14   (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
2  DAN THE MAN CAN Apr01 Mar10 Feb24     (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
3  CAIRO CALLING Apr01 Mar10 Feb12 Jan26   (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 4.50 8% 11.30    
4  YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY Apr08 Mar11 Feb17 Jan28 Jan12 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.80 50% 1.00    
5  MACY'S BOY Apr01         (campbell jerry )PELTROCHE F 120 5.00    
6  PETE THE BEAST Apr01 Mar10 Jan14     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 12.00    
7  LOOKATLITTLEFERRIS         (curtis lar)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
 
CT-4   04/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEQUILA FOG Mar30 Mar04 Feb06 Jan22   (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 6.00    
2  COMPLETE SURPRISE Mar30 Mar05       (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 120 2.00 12% 7.30    
3  OFFLEE GRAYSFUL Apr16 Mar20 Mar13 Feb27 Feb11 (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
4  SHE'S DANCING Mar22 Feb12       (stites fli)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 3.00 28% 2.50    
5  TUNSTALL Feb11         (viands gregory)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
6  DARIA'S ANGEL Apr15 Mar26 Feb21 Feb10   (contessa )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
7  DECO STRONG Mar25         (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 120 4.50    
 
CT-5   04/28/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEREKA'S BLUFF Mar17 Mar05 Feb10 Feb02   (johnson r)HO WESLEY 120 8.00    
2  FIFTY GRAY SHADES         (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
3  POWER SONDE Apr09 Mar05 Feb24 Feb04   (bourne lori)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.50 9% 9.60    
4  LIME AFTER LIME Mar16 Feb24       (contrer)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 3.50 57% 0.80    
5  TRIPLE GALA Apr14 Mar26 Feb19 Feb02   (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 120 4.00 10% 9.00    
6  SOOEY'S PRINCESS Apr06 Mar16 Feb26 Jan13   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
7  TIZ EVAN'S HONEY Apr01         (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  REAL APPEAL (GER) Mar31 Mar10 Feb17 Feb02   (brown a)SIMPSON JASON 122 3.00    
 
CT-6   04/28/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAE SAI PRINCESS Apr02 Mar19 Feb25 Feb04 Jan25 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  TAKE ME HOME Apr06         (magee kier)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 2.00 67% 0.50    
3  UPSY DAISY DO Mar11 Feb25 Feb03     (aylor l)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
4  CAROLINA BAMBINA Mar26         (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 12.00    
5  MORTAL STORM Apr02 Feb25       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50    
6  LADY KAZA Apr06 Feb26 Feb05 Jan14   (joy j)RAMGEET R 124 4.50    
7  SHE FIGURES Apr14 Mar26 Mar10 Feb25 Feb02 (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 124 5.00 5% 17.30    
 
CT-7   04/28/2022 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($38.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NELLYSFORD Mar26 Mar11 Feb10 Jan28   (figgins o)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00    
2  GOOD KARMA (GB) Mar18 Feb24 Jan28     (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN null   27% 2.70    
3  SHERWOOD LADY Apr07 Mar26 Mar11 Feb24 Feb04 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 3.00    
4  COLLEGE KID Mar18 Feb17 Jan13     (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 15.00 7% 13.00    
5  ALPINE MOON Mar25 Feb04 Jan15     (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 12.00 44% 1.30    
6  GOT YOUR NUMBER Apr14         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 2.50    
7  COACH RUBE Apr07 Feb24 Feb17 Jan28 Jan13 (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 120 3.50 ★    
 
CT-8   04/28/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEALER'S GIRL Apr08 Feb25 Feb18 Feb04 Jan13 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 6.00 10% 8.80    
2  BARBSGRAY LION Apr07 Mar17 Feb24 Feb03 Jan14 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 122 10.00    
3  BELLA GIANNA Jan15         (butts mik)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 6% 15.90    
4  ROCKIN ANNA ROLLIN Apr07 Mar17 Feb24 Feb03   (patterson )ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
5  PRINCESS KILLMAIN Feb03         (straughn william )LARROSA G 120 50.00    
6  THREE BOPS Apr08 Mar11 Jan28     (craig lewis)RAMGEET R 122 4.50    
7  TRUE HEIRESS Apr13 Mar04 Jan27     (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 1.80 16% 5.20    
8  ZIG Apr06 Feb25 Feb05 Jan14   (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.