Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - April 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   04/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALACE KING         (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
DIVINING DANCER Apr10 Mar23 Feb25 Feb10   (covello a)CECIL Y 122 2.50    
SHAKIN IT BIG TIME         (locklear ja)RAMGEET R 122 6.00    
MERCURY TEN Mar18 Feb11 Jan16     (shuman mark)HO WESLEY 122 4.50 13% 6.60    
SMOOZER Mar22 Feb24 Jan30     (allen fe)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 5.00    
ZERO TO ONEHUNDRED Feb25 Feb11       (lyster st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 56% 0.80    
 
CT-2   04/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REVEIRS MINUTE Apr09 Mar16 Feb10     (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
LOVETHEONEYOUGOT Mar16 Feb24 Jan28 Jan14   (casey a)LARROSA G 118 1.80    
MISS MORGANTOWN Apr14 Mar24 Feb26 Feb05 Jan14 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 5.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  Q'S SONG Mar24 Feb26 Feb11     (mckee d)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.50    
TINA'S SONG Apr01 Mar09 Feb04 Jan13   (aylor willi)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 6.00 22% 3.60    
DIXIE SUNRISE Apr07 Feb04       (lewis r)LIMA FELINO 115 15.00    
CHARITABLE MISS Apr09 Mar09 Feb19 Feb04 Jan13 (aylor w)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 15.00    
 
CT-3   04/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURVE APPEAL Mar17         (rofe jean)THORPE DARIUS 118 8.00 10% 9.00    
CARNIVAL LUCKY Mar09 Feb17       (walters dav)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 1.80 53% 0.90    
HAZY WINTER Apr09 Mar30 Mar09 Feb24 Jan28 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 2.50    
NOT FOR ME Apr16 Apr06       (johnson r)HO WESLEY 122 15.00    
SCR  CASTLE'S TUFFY Mar30 Feb26 Jan26     (espinosa vict)SIMPSON JASON 124 4.50    
WEAVINYOUINTHEDUST         (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 3.50 11% 7.70    
BADS LIL LADY Apr09 Mar30 Mar09 Feb11   (davis russ)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 20.00    
 
CT-4   04/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT SHIFT Mar11 Feb24 Feb11 Jan23   (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 6.00    
SUNMAN Apr09 Mar25 Mar11 Feb12 Jan28 (pickett g)HO WESLEY 120 20.00 7% 12.70    
ODIE Mar24 Feb15 Jan25     (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 120 2.50 35% 1.80    
JAYJAYDEE Apr14 Mar25 Mar04 Jan28   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80    
POSITIVE PHIL Apr09 Mar30 Feb12     (cuttino mari)MARRERO CARLOS 120 2.00 34% 2.00    
TWEET THIS Mar26 Jan15       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00    
 
CT-5   04/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAEVE O'FLAHERTY Feb12         (hamlin kathleen)LIMA FELINO 115 15.00    
GOLDEN GLOW Apr09 Mar10 Feb18 Jan27   (schiano-d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  SHESAHUMBLEHUSTLER Apr09 Mar09 Feb17     (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 116 10.00    
DEVILISH TRUTH Mar03 Feb19 Jan09     (lyster st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 21% 3.80    
CHANNEL SCENT Mar23 Mar05       (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 12.00    
EL MILAGRA Apr07 Mar10 Feb13 Feb06 Jan21 (allen ferri)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
MISS SEDUCTIVE Apr10 Mar30 Jan20 Jan01   (magee kier)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
CT-6   04/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPETUOUS Mar23 Feb18 Feb03 Jan12   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 13% 6.90    
TO THE FRONT Apr01 Mar13 Feb18 Feb03 Jan15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.20 56% 0.80    
FLUENT IN SARCASM Mar31 Mar03 Feb18 Feb02 Jan15 (shanley mark)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
ZAINO BOYZ Feb18 Feb02 Jan12     (davis billy)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 3.00 6% 16.50    
RULING Apr01         (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00 5% 18.30    
BARNSTORM Feb25 Feb02       (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00    
HAN SENSE Mar11 Feb03       (straughn wi)RAMGEET R 120 15.00    
 
CT-7   04/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY US Apr08 Mar09       (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 5.00    
THE SKY IS FALLING         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  ARROWWOOD Apr07 Mar04       (runco j)NUNEZ ANAHI 119 20.00    
THE BETTER ONE Apr09         (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 8.00    
SOMEDAY IS TODAY Mar25 Mar04 Feb04     (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
MADY ROSE Apr02 Mar05       (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00    
GWYNEDD Mar04 Jan27       (perkins be)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
MOONLIT SHADOW Apr02 Mar16 Mar05 Jan28   (grams c)PELTROCHE F 124 6.00 6% 16.00    
 
CT-8   04/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRONZE DIVA Mar24 Feb11 Jan26     (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 122 1.60 36% 1.80    
MOJO MATTERS Apr01 Mar11 Jan28 Jan14   (davis russe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 8.00 24% 3.10    
LIL MISS FIBER Apr01 Mar23 Mar11 Feb10 Jan28 (ramos agosto )LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
SINGING HARMONY Apr06 Mar11 Feb10 Jan28   (knoblauch-p)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
TIZ THE REASON Apr01 Feb26 Feb11     (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.00    
SCR  BAYOU BOUGIE Mar23 Feb10       (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00 8% 12.30    
LA RUFINA Mar23 Feb05 Jan14     (calvert)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 15.00    
MISS GRANDSTANDER Apr01 Mar11       (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.50    
REAWAKENED Mar31 Mar18 Jan14     (meister w)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
10  THISLILLIMEOFMINE Apr01 Mar11 Jan28 Jan12   (joy j)RIOS-CONDE A 124 10.00    
11  GRAM'S GAL Apr13 Mar23 Mar04 Feb11   (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 122 10.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT FLING Apr16 Apr02 Mar09 Feb12   (brown keit)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.