Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - April 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMI CAT LADY Apr02 Feb21 Jan22     (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
2  SUDDEN IMPULSE Apr01 Mar04 Feb11     (chi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 1.40 26% 2.80    
3  MIDMON Apr02 Mar06 Feb19 Jan28 Jan14 (clarke dyla)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
4  GAGLIANO Mar04 Feb21       (barrera )DAVIS A 124 6.00 ★    
5  SIMPLE SUGAR Mar06 Feb12       (chapman jame)SAMUEL L 126 4.00 17% 4.80    
6  LONDON GOLD Apr07 Mar27 Mar04 Feb12 Jan14 (persaud )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 12.00    
7  GAME THEORY Apr09 Mar26 Mar06 Feb25 Feb12 (jones eduardo)CARDENAS LUIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-2   04/22/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUNTY WINDERMERE Mar20 Feb12       (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
2  LOLLYGAG Mar06         (lauer michael)CANCEL ERIC 125 20.00    
3  SINFULLY SWEET         (casse mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 1.80 20% 3.90    
4  BIG BEAN CHRISTINE Mar25 Feb26 Feb12 Jan06   (gro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
5  MISS MALALA Apr03 Mar11 Feb12 Jan16   (ferraro jame)SAMUEL L 118 30.00    
6  VOLEUSE         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
7  CINDY'S CHOICE Feb19 Jan22       (levine bruce)LUZZI J 118 12.00 ★    
8  LISA'S VISION         (abreu r)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 12% 7.20    
9  U SHOULD B DANCING Mar06 Jan23       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 8% 12.10    
10  MISS FLINTSHIRE Mar11 Feb19       (ferraro )DAVIS A 125 30.00    
SCR  BAVARIAN CREME Mar11 Jan13       (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 125 2.00 38% 1.70    
 
AQU-3   04/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS BRAZIL         (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 119 1.00 43% 1.30    
2  OXANA Jan23         (hills timot)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.50 16% 5.10    
3  PIECE OF MY HEART Feb24         (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 ★    
4  ROSSA VELOCE Mar31 Mar04 Feb06 Jan08   (handal raymo)SAMUEL L 123 6.00 16% 5.40    
5  DEALING JUSTICE Mar04 Feb04       (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00 ★    
SCR  HALO CITY Mar31         (lynch nat)VARGAS A 121 20.00    
 
AQU-4   04/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  GRANDMA T         (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00 11% 7.70    
SCR  LORDHEARMYPRAYER Jan14         (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 8.00    
2  MILL STONE CREEK         (davis ed)DAVIS A 125 4.50 8% 11.30    
3  DUTCHESS OF N Y         (quick j)MENA E 125 15.00    
4  THATSJUSTLOVELY Feb27         (persaud rand)HARKIE K 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  WORK IT OUT Apr03         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00    
6  TWENTY TWO ELLE Apr15         (handal raymo)SAMUEL L 118 6.00    
7  EXACT CHANGE         (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.00 23% 3.40    
8  MY DELICIOUS Mar27 Mar04 Feb12 Jan09   (summers chad)CARDENAS LUIS 125 1.80 31% 2.20    
 
AQU-5   04/22/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAYMOND ROAD Feb12 Jan01       (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50    
2  BOCA KITTEN Feb20 Jan28       (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  TEMPERMENTAL Mar23 Feb20 Jan16     (englehart jere)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
4  OVER THE SAND Feb20 Jan16       (hennig m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00    
5  DOROTHY'S THE BOSS Mar25 Mar06 Jan13     (kimmel c)MENA E 125 5.00 26% 2.80    
6  LOST ANCHOR Mar19 Feb04 Jan14     (klesaris robert)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
7  HALF BIRTHDAY Mar25 Mar11 Feb19 Feb11 Jan14 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00    
8  PLAYMAGGIEFORME Mar11 Feb12 Jan08     (albertrani )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
9  OURLADYOFVICTORY         (brown)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 12.00    
10  UNBRIDLED'S REIGN Feb04 Jan14       (miceli michael)LUZZI J 118 12.00    
SCR  BACKED BY GOLD Mar19         (diprima greg)HARKIE K 125 12.00    
SCR  DINI'S DESTINY Feb19         (lucas bonnie)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
SCR  DRAW OFF Mar25         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50    
SCR  GRACEFULLY WILD Apr03         (barker e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  DOC DOC ROCK Mar06 Feb12       (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 ★    
SCR  GLITTERING PRIZE (FR) Mar25 Jan23       (bond harold )HARKIE K 118 5.00    
 
AQU-6   04/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY GIRL LEXI Apr07 Mar26 Mar06 Feb27 Feb10 (ferra)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 15.00 ★    
2  LADY BY CHOICE Apr07 Jan13       (bar)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
3  CARTWHEEL Jan14         (kantarmaci m)HARKIE K 121 4.00 7% 14.30    
4  MEBS WEB Mar27 Mar13 Mar04 Feb10 Jan09 (avila c)MENA E 121 15.00 ★    
5  VIRADIA Feb20 Feb10       (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00    
6  BARISTA VIXEN Feb27 Feb10 Jan17     (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.60 52% 0.90    
7  GUNS BLAZING Apr07 Feb21 Jan16 Jan06   (klesaris)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 17% 4.80    
 
AQU-7   04/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOBOKEN JACK Jan27         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 15% 5.60    
2  BREAKING STONES Apr10 Mar20 Mar05 Feb19 Jan27 (barrera )DAVIS A 124 8.00 26% 2.80    
3  FOTIS Mar25 Mar11 Feb11     (jones eduardo)FUENTES ERICK 114 30.00    
4  COACH BAHE Apr02 Mar11 Feb20 Feb11 Jan27 (barrera oscar)CARDENAS LUIS 124 20.00    
5  LITTERBOX Feb19 Feb03 Jan09     (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 124 10.00    
6  FORESTWOOD LANE Apr03 Mar13 Feb21 Jan22 Jan02 (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 4.50 30% 2.30    
7  BIG CASTLE Mar18 Feb18 Jan16     (de h)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 1.00 ★    
8  HALPERT Feb19 Feb05 Jan02     (giangiuli)VARGAS A 124 6.00 ★    
 
AQU-8   04/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIPELINE         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 0.60 ★    
2  CARROTHERS Feb12 Jan08       (mott willia)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  UNCLE MOONLIGHT         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00    
4  JERRY THE NIPPER Mar27         (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 40% 1.50    
5  ROCCO STRONG Mar27 Feb26 Feb06 Jan16   (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 29% 2.50    
6  BASSO         (sacco d)LUZZI J 121 50.00    
7  GOOD CULTURE Mar20 Feb13 Jan16     (rodriguez gusta)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 ★    
 
AQU-9   04/22/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY MUCHO MAN Mar31 Feb12       (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
2  TRIPLE BROWN Feb21         (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
3  B C GLORY DAYS Feb27 Jan14       (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 126 2.00 34% 1.90    
4  TOGA DANCER         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
5  MAYTHISBETHEONE Mar19         (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
6  NAPOLEON COMPLEX Mar19 Feb18 Feb03 Jan22   (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 126 30.00    
7  ADDICTED TO YOU Jan22         (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00    
8  SILENT RUNNING Feb05         (bond j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 15% 5.60    
9  A LISTER Mar19 Feb12       (davis ro)DAVIS A 118 30.00    
10  JOHNSELECTRICRIDE Apr01 Feb12 Jan20     (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.00 20% 3.90    
11  MIGHTY MEISTER Mar13 Feb16       (rawles alcina)MENA E 126 10.00    
12  RESILIENT COURAGE Feb25 Jan16       (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MOON HUNTER         (hemingway mich)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
SCR  REGAL EMPIRE Mar31 Feb27 Feb21 Feb03   (ryerson jame)HARKIE K 118 20.00    
SCR  MEDIA SENSATION Apr08         (mor)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
SCR  RESERVATION Mar11 Feb13       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.