Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Monday - April 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   04/18/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER STICK STAIR Mar12 Feb28       (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 5.00 13% 6.70    
VINTAGE SPARKLE         (poole c)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 4.00 40% 1.50    
PERFECT PEACH         (logston christo)LEON A 120 12.00    
SHOW ME THE BEST Jan14         (acevedo i)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 3.00 15% 5.70    
AMERICAN BOUND Mar05 Jan14       (cuttino)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 3.50    
CANDYCREAM Mar11 Feb17       (torres a)JURADO EDDIE 120 20.00    
BETHY Mar24 Mar17 Feb17     (larue steve)DIAZ I 120 10.00    
TEAM GOLD DIGGER         (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 116 5.00 7% 13.90    
NO KITTEN Apr08 Jan14       (gomez alejandro)DIAZ R 120 12.00    
 
MNR-2   04/18/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIKI DO U LOVE ME         (sipp k)LEON A 123 15.00    
BIPARTISAN BROOKE         (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 116 1.60 30% 2.30    
ESTA CALIENTE         (depasqual)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STREETS OF FREEDOM         (markham l)DIAZ R 123 30.00    
LOCO POCO Mar23 Mar04 Feb10 Jan12   (husak)MONSERRATE A 123 8.00    
I TE AMO         (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
AFTER THE WIRE Mar24 Feb19       (chichakly a)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 1.40 40% 1.50    
NURSE KATIE         (logston christ)DIAZ I 123 8.00    
 
MNR-3   04/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BO RHAPSODY         (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 120 12.00    
ROARING OCEAN         (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 12.00    
PALMETTO BLUE         (ewell devan)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 12.00    
GOLDEN HUGHES Apr06 Mar03 Feb12     (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 1.60 45% 1.20    
JESSE JONES         (mardif i)CCAMAQUE M 120 3.00 9% 10.50    
JACKZILLA         (ewell sr)LEON A 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  RIDE ON COMANCHE Feb16 Jan26       (balo will)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.50    
 
MNR-4   04/18/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEELING IT Mar18 Mar09 Feb28     (howard william )MUSARRO JOE 123 5.00    
MIDLAND         (bright derrick)YARANGA Y 123 6.00 13% 6.50    
YENISEY         (knowles lucinda )CCAMAQUE M 123 30.00    
WINK AND A NOD         (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 123 4.50 18% 4.60    
KOBE FIFTY TWO         (poole c)LEON A 123 3.00 15% 5.50    
GEMO Apr01 Mar19 Mar04 Feb16 Jan26 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 2.50 23% 3.40    
SLEEPING GIANT         (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 123 4.00    
 
MNR-5   04/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KINGSTON TIME Jan31         (baird michael)LEON A 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
LADY VALENTINA Mar08 Feb19 Jan31     (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 120 2.50 20% 4.10    
ARCELOR Mar08         (sullivan elli)TUNON JORDANO 120 2.00 12% 7.50    
SOME WOULD SAY         (logston c)CORREA L 120 15.00    
BLUEGRASS CANDY         (logston christop)CCAMAQUE M 120 10.00    
TICKETY BOO Apr06 Mar23 Mar10 Feb19 Jan15 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 120 4.50    
OUR FLIRTATION         (mcdonald wi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 15.00    
 
MNR-6   04/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PERFETTO Mar31 Mar16 Feb28 Jan25   (poole c)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 5.00    
SCR  THE WAYNE FACTOR Mar19 Mar08 Feb15 Jan21 Jan01 (lopez e)DAVILA M 120 30.00    
SCR  GALLANT STAR Apr12 Mar24 Mar11 Feb14 Jan10 (husak)MONSERRATE A 120 15.00    
DYNAFORM Feb14 Jan14 Jan01     (lopez e)PAUCAR E 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PERCHER Apr08 Mar31 Mar11 Mar04 Jan28 (maldona)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00    
FORT RAMSEY Mar15         (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 10.00 9% 10.00    
GILES Apr11 Mar22 Mar10 Jan12   (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 2.00 34% 2.00    
BLUE SKY PAINTER Mar26 Feb26 Feb11 Jan13   (mitchell jer)MAYTA J 120 20.00    
SCR  TOE TAPPIN LUKE Mar24 Mar16 Jan08     (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 20.00    
10  SAINT GOAR Mar24 Mar08 Feb23 Jan26   (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
 
MNR-7   04/18/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHY GUY         (sauer b)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 10.00    
POWELL Feb26 Jan23 Jan08     (howard william )MUSARRO JOE 120 50.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CUTLER         (jackson r)DIAZ R 120 15.00 14% 6.00    
BAYTOWN BEAR         (mcentee paul)MAYTA J 120 8.00    
BYBEE Mar07 Jan30       (caramori edu)TAPARA BRANDON 120 2.00    
STORM BOARDER (CHI) Jan12         (patterson k)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 1.00 33% 2.00    
SHADOW TRACER         (jackson james )COLON H 120 6.00 29% 2.40    
 
MNR-8   04/18/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3 F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SO STORMY         (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 118 5.00 8% 12.30    
MOTHER'S PRIDE         (poole c)VEGA L 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SUPER FIRE Mar17 Feb17 Jan22     (ackerman kel)COLON H 118 1.80 45% 1.20    
WIN BLUE         (bernardini j)MAYTA J 118 8.00    
RUN KITTY Feb28 Jan25 Jan15     (mcgaffic )CORREA L 118 4.00    
MY BACK PAGES         (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 6.00 10% 9.10    
C C'S WORLD         (mcgaffic gr)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
VIMONT         (larue steve)DIAZ I 118 50.00    
AMERICAN HUNTER Feb28         (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.