Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - April 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   04/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAY MAYS CASTLE Apr08 Mar03 Feb10 Jan13   (casey james)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 0.60 33% 2.10    
JUJU ON DA BEAT Apr08 Mar17       (pickett g)HO WESLEY 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD Apr06         (jackson ang)RAMGEET R 122 15.00    
TIMETOGETUP Apr08 Mar03       (casey a)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
MY SISTER PAM Mar24 Mar03 Feb11 Jan14   (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00    
SCR  KOM HERE GIRL Mar17 Feb11 Jan14     (craig l)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 15.00 7% 13.50    
OFFICER CALLY Mar17         (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 8% 12.20    
 
CT-2   04/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORY ROYALE Mar26 Mar11 Feb17     (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 124 15.00    
GOLDEN ACCOUNT Mar26 Mar04 Feb10 Jan02   (cash l)ACOSTA D 122 1.60 18% 4.50    
SUZYSELLSSEASHELLS Apr01 Mar10 Feb26 Feb10   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.40 42% 1.40    
WALKIT LIKE I TALK Mar26         (wright kendr)MORALES KELVIN 122 30.00    
MIDNIGHT FLING Apr02 Mar09 Feb12     (brown keit)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 10.00 7% 13.90    
CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Mar26 Feb04       (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 2.50    
 
CT-3   04/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLIDAY BONUS Mar30 Mar19 Mar02 Feb12 Jan17 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50    
THE IRON BANK Mar30 Mar04       (shanley timothy)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
SHAMCAT Mar30 Mar04 Feb10     (lane scott )MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00    
LOAN ME YOUR EAR Mar30 Mar04 Feb21 Feb01 Jan12 (jones michae)BATISTA A 122 15.00    
AUTS REVOLUTION Mar04         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.40 36% 1.80    
FRATHOUSE MUSIC Mar09 Feb12       (boggs joan)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 12.00 6% 14.50    
JUNGLE WARRIOR Mar30 Mar11 Feb24 Jan29 Jan21 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 1.60 35% 1.90    
 
CT-4   04/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IHEARTRAINACOMN Mar30 Mar09 Feb24 Jan28 Jan13 (tobin l)CECIL Y 118 20.00    
OFFICER SLEW Mar10 Feb10 Jan14     (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 118 1.60 23% 3.40    
HOOK THE CHAIN Mar24 Feb24 Jan28 Jan13   (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 118 6.00    
MEDAL GENIUS Apr06 Mar31 Mar10 Feb17 Feb02 (rangel rica)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 8.00 8% 11.30    
WARRIORINTHEHOUSE Mar31 Feb26 Feb02     (aylor l)RODRIGUEZ V 124 10.00 8% 10.90    
NOT FOR ME Apr06         (johnson)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 10.00    
TAPTAP Apr08         (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 1.80 34% 2.00    
LIL PERFECT Mar30 Feb26 Feb05 Jan26   (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
 
CT-5   04/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLY'S PERSUASION Mar26 Jan14       (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 15.00 17% 4.90    
SARATOGA BEAUTY Feb27 Jan27       (englehart)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.00    
MENDING Mar05 Feb12 Jan22     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00 56% 0.80    
PETTIGO GIRL Mar22 Mar04 Feb12 Jan27 Jan17 (contessa ga)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 5.00    
TRUMPET LILLY Apr09 Mar25 Mar12 Feb12 Feb03 (cash l)ACOSTA D 120 4.50    
SCR  DINNER AT FIVE Apr02 Mar11 Feb26 Feb05   (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 6.00    
MISS WAVE Apr07 Mar30 Mar05 Feb19 Feb02 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
DISCREETLY TOUGH Mar14 Mar07 Jan12     (grullon)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 20.00    
UNCAPTURED RUBY Mar30 Mar05 Feb12     (malgarini m)RAMGEET R 120 12.00    
 
CT-6   04/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAMELESS RISK Apr01 Mar11 Feb26     (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
SPUNMAN Mar26 Mar05 Jan26     (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.00 11% 8.30    
TOWERING CHANCE Mar24 Mar10 Feb10     (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SPANGLISH Mar24 Mar04       (meehan)ENRIQUEZ JR 117 6.00    
STRONG HEART Mar25 Mar05 Feb18     (johnson jen)RAMGEET R 120 15.00    
SCR  MINISTRY OF MAGIC Mar31 Mar05 Feb05     (rideout anthony)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00    
JUNGLE BEAST Mar26 Feb25       (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
CANDY INVASION Mar25 Mar05 Feb18     (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 5.00    
 
CT-7   04/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUMPTY GRUMPTY         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 12.00    
SCR  SETTLEMENT DATE Mar17         (larrosa r)LARROSA G 120 8.00    
LATE IN THE GAME Mar23 Mar02 Feb10 Jan15   (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
NOID         (meehan)ENRIQUEZ JR 113 5.00 39% 1.60    
C R'S MANDATE Mar04 Feb17       (schiano-d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 16% 5.30    
MY BOY CLYDE Mar25 Mar04       (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 4.50    
TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Mar25 Mar04 Jan26     (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00    
TALKING TEDDY Mar25 Mar02 Feb17     (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 116 15.00    
JACKSON MAN Mar25 Mar04 Feb05 Jan14   (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00    
10  CHARITABLY GIFTED Mar19 Feb17       (knoblauch-p)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 12.00    
 
CT-8   04/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I WANT MORE Apr08 Mar25       (corrales jo)RAMGEET R 124 4.50    
JUBA'S YANKEE ONE Mar18         (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 116 15.00    
TEMPESTA Mar26 Mar05 Feb12     (jones michae)BATISTA A 122 4.00 12% 7.70    
ASCENDED Mar26 Feb12       (walters dav)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 3.50 36% 1.80    
ROCKING TO HOME Mar26 Mar10       (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 118 12.00    
HURRICANE AMIGO Mar26 Mar05 Feb25 Feb04   (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 3.00 17% 5.00    
BOUGHT BY DIVA Mar10 Feb03       (viands r)PELTROCHE F 118 6.00    
HINK'S PALADIN Mar17         (johnston r)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 6.00 15% 5.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.