Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Wednesday - April 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   04/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR LIPS Mar23         (casey john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 15.00    
TWILIGHT YEARS Apr02 Mar18 Feb10     (rideout anth)TROTMAN KEIMAR 116 8.00    
RED HOT TODDY Mar18 Feb25       (jones e)HO WESLEY 124 1.60 52% 0.90    
SMALL PAW Mar18 Feb25 Feb05     (jackson ang)RAMGEET R 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
CHIPPEWA'S CASTLE Mar17         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 3.50    
WATCHING SNOW FLY Mar23 Mar03 Feb12 Jan15   (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 116 12.00    
SPECTACULO Mar26 Feb03 Jan15     (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 116 3.00 20% 3.90    
 
CT-2   04/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMBINATION Mar24 Mar02 Jan27     (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 3.50 13% 6.50    
ROOKIE SALSA Mar19 Feb26 Feb05 Jan15   (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00 8% 11.50    
RRACE DAY WARRIOR Mar10 Mar02 Feb17     (boggs joan)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 12.00    
TRINGALE Feb26 Feb05       (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00    
GIGGING Apr01 Mar19 Feb26 Feb18 Feb03 (cash l)ACOSTA D 124 1.20 49% 1.00    
FU MAN SUE Mar24 Feb26 Feb05     (joy j)RAMGEET R 120 10.00    
 
CT-3   04/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNT THE SHELLS Mar25 Jan25       (cornwell james )RODRIGUEZ V 120 5.00    
MAJESTIC SEAS Feb24 Feb11       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.20 25% 3.10    
GOLDEN G Mar23 Feb26 Feb18 Jan26   (gillespie r)RAMGEET R 122 6.00 17% 4.70    
DISTANT THUNDER Mar30 Feb26 Feb11 Jan27   (bass w)WHITACRE B 122 4.50 24% 3.10    
GAMING JACK Mar03 Feb11 Feb03 Jan15   (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
EPIC WEST Mar31 Mar04 Feb10     (tsiamis art)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00 9% 9.80    
WILLIE THE WHALE Mar23 Mar03 Feb18 Jan26   (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 124 10.00    
I'D LIKE TO KNOW Mar30 Mar09 Feb17 Jan26   (butts mik)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00    
 
CT-4   04/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEY MIKE Mar27 Feb17 Jan16 Jan01   (cash l)ACOSTA D 120 3.50    
BULL MEECHUM Mar26 Mar18 Feb18     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60 38% 1.60    
FIBER STRONG Mar26 Feb26 Feb11     (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 4.50 20% 4.10    
REMYS SHOWTIME Mar26 Feb11       (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
FOREVER TAKES TIME         (barber donal)MARRERO CARLOS 124 15.00    
SUPER JORDAN Feb25 Feb10 Jan13     (carson laura)THORPE DARIUS 118 8.00    
MORGAN COUNTY Feb24         (greaves vernon)RODRIGUEZ V 124 10.00    
 
CT-5   04/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADMIRE (GB) Mar03 Jan15       (viands greg)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.50 23% 3.40    
SLEW THE TURN         (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 3.50 31% 2.30    
WONDER HOW Mar18 Feb05       (cornwe)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00    
CASTLE BOUND Mar02 Feb11 Jan12     (knoblauch-pere)RIOS-CONDE A 124 15.00 6% 16.70    
POPPY'S TWO STEP Mar30 Mar09 Feb18 Feb05   (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
SCR  BRIAN'S AVENUE Mar25 Feb11       (walter)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 2.50 11% 8.40    
SCR  CHESAPEAKE CHARLIE Mar19 Feb19 Feb03 Jan12   (schottroffe edward)CULLUM W 122 15.00    
CARTER'S RUN Mar25 Mar02 Feb05     (mangual manol)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00    
SCR  PECULIAR SENSATION Mar25 Feb04 Jan15     (lane j)BATISTA A 122 30.00    
10  SOUTHERN SAVIOUR         (schottroffe)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 4.00 10% 9.00    
 
CT-6   04/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE HEIRESS Mar04 Jan27       (cornwell ja)RAMGEET R 120 8.00 6% 15.70    
MOSLER'S TOUCH Mar17 Feb17 Jan12     (huet terr)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00 11% 8.20    
STYLISH PAINT Mar17 Feb24 Jan15     (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 15.00    
GRAM'S GAL Mar23 Mar04 Feb11     (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 120 30.00    
LOOKINGFORANEWSPOT Mar04 Feb17 Jan15     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
SCARLET TANAGER Mar19 Feb24 Feb04 Jan14   (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.00    
CUTEFACECHUBYWAIST Mar18 Feb11 Jan12     (kulp l)ACOSTA D 124 3.00 28% 2.50    
INCLUDE THE BEAST         (garrido)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 3.50    
CAPTAIN SAM Feb24         (patterson k)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 5.00    
 
CT-7   04/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HANNAHS RED RUBY Mar23         (sterling michael )LARROSA G 116 20.00    
MUSICAL CAT Mar10 Feb11       (cash l)ACOSTA D 122 3.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  NO MORE MISCHIEF Jan27         (englehart )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 10.00    
DEEMED ESSENTIAL Mar19 Feb26 Jan14     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  CARTEL QUEEN         (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 116 2.50    
TIMEISGOLDEN Mar18 Feb18 Jan14     (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 8.00 13% 6.60    
GOLDEN SWEETS Apr02 Jan27       (shanley timothy)PELTROCHE F 120 50.00    
STAND BY YOU Mar18         (beattie tod)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 3.50 16% 5.20    
BRANDYURAFINEGIRL Mar16 Jan14       (jones michae)BATISTA A 120 50.00    
10  THATS PRETTY NICE Mar19 Feb18       (englehart)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 8.00    
 
CT-8   04/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TELL ALEXIS Mar16 Feb17 Jan28     (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 12.00    
FAIRY FOLLY Mar04         (mckee d)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 20.00    
REGAL JORDAN Mar18 Feb11 Feb01 Jan11   (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
SEE THAT GIRL Mar23 Mar09       (viands r)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 5% 18.80    
SUZANNE'S SUGAR Mar03         (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 2.50 21% 3.90    
MARY BROWN Mar18 Mar09       (valvo zoe)ARAUJO DENIS 118 15.00    
NOBLE CITY Mar16 Feb23 Jan25     (brown a)SIMPSON JASON 116 8.00    
SPEEDING TICKET Mar23 Mar04 Feb17     (viands)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 15.00    
JESS FOR KICKS Mar23 Mar16 Feb28 Jan25   (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 5.00 7% 13.70    
10  EVA'S GIRL GRACE Mar23 Feb11       (johnson)NUNEZ ANAHI 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.