Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - April 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FATHER WALSH Mar02 Jan18       (ness jamie)CASTELLANO J 118 2.00 20% 4.10    
1A  BUSTIN PIETRE Feb21 Jan27       (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.00 ★    
2  CATCH THE SMOKE Mar11 Jan16 Jan01     (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 3.00 ★    
3  JOKEMEISTER Feb23 Jan27 Jan12     (catalano m )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.50 ★    
4  VIBE SETTER Feb12 Jan28       (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 ★    
5  WINTER SON Mar13 Feb23       (chapman james )HOUGHTON D 118 1.80 52% 0.90    
 
AQU-2   04/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHENOMENAL WOMAN Mar19 Feb19 Feb04 Jan02   (diprima gre)WOLFSONT ANDREW 126 6.00 16% 5.30    
2  CREDIT SUSPENDED Feb19         (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 9% 9.70    
3  KEEN DANCER Mar18 Feb04 Jan14     (per)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
4  MY FIRST LOVE Feb26 Feb01       (servis tyler)PENNINGTON F 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
5  EMERALD BANKER Mar18 Feb24 Feb04 Jan06   (jerkens steven )MENA E 126 12.00    
6  FLIGHT FORWARD Mar19 Jan06       (lugovich)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 126 20.00    
7  ELEGANT LAOBAN Mar18 Feb24 Feb04 Jan06   (o'brien keith)CARDENAS LUIS 126 6.00 ★    
8  ICE KREEM SUNDAE Apr03 Feb26       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 2.50 17% 5.00    
 
AQU-3   04/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXALTED CHARM Mar20 Feb18 Jan28     (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 ★    
2  BREAKING STONES Mar20 Mar05 Feb19 Jan27   (bar)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 10.00 16% 5.40    
3  PRINCE OF JOY Mar11 Feb13 Feb03     (legall r)DAVIS A 127 20.00 ★    
4  EL MAYOR Mar18 Feb18 Feb05     (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 127 3.50 26% 2.80    
5  DONTBELATE Feb25 Feb03 Jan13     (donk dav)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 8.00    
6  ACCEPTABLE RISK         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 125 0.60 34% 2.00    
 
AQU-4   04/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL MOON FEVER Mar20 Feb13       (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 ★    
2  MIDASWELLRUN Feb27 Jan28       (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  UNO Mar25 Feb19       (delauro edwar)CARDENAS LUIS 123 8.00    
4  PERCEIVED Feb26 Feb04       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.00 29% 2.50    
5  PURPLE HEARTED Jan16         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00 ★    
6  GROUP HUG Mar20 Feb26 Feb04     (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
AQU-5   04/10/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISLANDMAN         (wil)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 15.00    
2  EVAN HARLAN         (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 118 0.80 46% 1.20    
3  NINTH OF APRIL Mar19 Jan07       (mc allen)DAVIS A 125 15.00    
4  HEAT'S ON ZAP Mar18         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00 ★    
5  RUN SMITTY RUN Mar19 Mar05       (barker e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 26% 2.90    
6  STARRYSTARRYKNIGHT Mar05         (kimmel john)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 4.00 ★    
7  MISSOURI         (romero jesus)CARDENAS LUIS 118 20.00 5% 18.80    
8  R BOY CHEEKUM Feb25 Feb05 Jan27 Jan06   (thompson marcus )JUAREZ NIK 118 50.00    
 
AQU-6   04/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALTASAR Mar13         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.50 5% 19.00    
2  VINNY TWO CENTS Mar05         (bar)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
3  INSPIRATION POINT Mar13 Feb16 Jan29     (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 125 3.00 37% 1.70    
4  RHUMJAR Mar20 Feb19       (hills a)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
5  LORD LICORICE Mar13         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 8% 12.10    
6  WEGOTTAGUY         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00 8% 12.10    
7  DOT'S DOLLAR Feb17         (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 20% 4.10    
8  SMART JOKER         (kimmel john)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
9  HIT BY A WAVE         (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 125 10.00    
 
AQU-7   04/10/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REIGNING CHICK Feb21 Jan23       (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00    
2  HOME FOR CHRISTMAS         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 125 2.00 ★    
SCR  JEN'S BATTLE Apr03 Jan27 Jan16 Jan01   (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 13% 6.90    
4  SWEET FRANNY LU         (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 125 2.50 54% 0.90    
5  POP THE BUBBLY         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 127 3.50 ★    
6  INFRINGEMENT Mar20 Mar06 Feb11     (persaud randi)CARDENAS LUIS 125 20.00    
7  WATERVILLE         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50    
SCR  THAT IS KEY Mar06 Jan23 Jan13     (englehart jeffrey)RIDER TBA 127 4.00 ★    
 
AQU-8   04/10/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXOTIC WEST Feb25 Jan16       (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 9% 9.60    
2  MAIDEN BEAUTY Mar06         (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 ★    
3  FROST POINT Feb18 Jan27       (mott william )FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50    
SCR  INTO VANISHING Apr09 Feb26 Jan21     (thomas jonathan)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.00 ★    
5  BATTLE BLING Mar06 Jan16       (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
6  ICE PRINCESS Feb18         (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 10% 8.50    
 
AQU-9   04/10/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
1A  LADY YELLEN Feb19         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 2.50    
2  MENILY Feb05         (handal raymo)SAMUEL L 118 15.00    
3  SALUKI Feb11 Jan02       (sch)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 126 20.00    
4  CAN'T FOOL ME Feb05         (de horac)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
5  ARISAEMA         (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
6  LIMANI Feb13         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 ★    
7  CAPE COD CAUSEWAY Jan06         (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 ★    
8  LINARITE Feb26 Jan23       (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 118 12.00    
9  OUR JESSICA Feb11 Jan13       (donk davi)VARGAS A 126 8.00    
10  KANNON FIRE         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
SCR  I'LL GO ALL IN         (vazquez jua)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 36% 1.70    
12  WAR IN PARADISE Jan08         (ferraro jame)LAPRIDA JEREMY 126 30.00    
SCR  VIVAZANO Mar11 Jan13 Jan02     (dunham b)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00    
SCR  DUCKPHAT Feb11         (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 5.00 ★    
SCR  FROSTY INVASION Feb26 Jan08       (schettino dominic)RIDER TBA 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.