Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Saturday - April 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   04/09/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSITIVE SUM         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
SCR  SPEAKS FOR ITSELF         (brown c)RIDER TBA 125 6.00    
FULL COUNT FELICIA         (summers chad)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00    
APPROACH THE DAWN (IRE) Mar20 Feb12       (motion graham)CANCEL ERIC 125 10.00    
OSIRIA Feb06         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
SOLARIS VENTUM Feb25         (asmussen)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00    
MAC THE PEE H DEE Feb27         (duarte j)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 29% 2.50    
BRISKY FROLIC Feb13 Jan02       (pletcher todd )ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 39% 1.50    
SNOW LOVES A FIGHT Feb06         (noda orlando)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
UNION DOLLY         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
10  MOSTLY HARMLESS Feb18 Jan28 Jan13     (arenas marcelo)MENA E 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  WHISKEY LULLABY         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
12  CUPIDS GIRL Feb25 Jan28 Jan13     (ryerson jam)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  MADAME ROSE Mar11 Feb27 Jan23 Jan02   (jones eduardo)CARDENAS LUIS 125 30.00    
 
AQU-2   04/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONSHUN Mar19         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.20 30% 2.30    
TIMED OUT Feb25 Jan20       (rodriguez)VARGAS A 124 1.40 27% 2.80    
WORLD GONE WILD Mar09 Jan08       (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 126 8.00    
MIDTOWN ROSE Mar09 Feb18 Feb07 Jan05   (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 126 12.00    
SCR  LANFRANKOPHILE Mar19 Feb24 Feb03 Jan06   (lyn)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00 17% 5.00    
FIGHT ON LUCY Mar18 Feb06       (kelly pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00    
AWILLAWAY Mar18 Feb13 Jan02     (friedman mitc)CARDENAS LUIS 126 15.00    
 
AQU-3   04/09/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOWE STREET         (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50 9% 9.80    
SCR  DEVIL'S OUTLAW         (brown c)ORTIZ L 126 4.50    
PREDICTED         (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
EVERESTING Mar05 Feb06       (johnson clev)SAMUEL L 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
CORTON CHARLEMAGNE         (clement chr)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
FATHER RED         (stidham michae)PENNINGTON F 118 12.00    
TORPEDO RUN Mar20         (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
STJAMES Feb24 Jan13       (gyarmati leah)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00    
BAY STREET MONEY Feb06         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 126 6.00 11% 7.70    
COGNITIVE BIAS         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
10  IMPROPER Mar05 Feb03 Jan13     (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
11  AL'S ROCKET         (pletcher todd )ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 15% 5.50    
12  PRINCE OF FENTON Feb12 Jan22       (russell b)VARGAS A 118 30.00    
SCR  CURTEIS Feb20         (dunham b)FLORES JR 118 50.00    
SCR  HIGHER QUALITY         (brown c)RIDER TBA 126 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  WRITEITONTHEICE Mar20 Feb24 Jan16     (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
 
AQU-4   04/09/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM OF CHANGE (IRE) Jan02         (brown c)ORTIZ L 123 2.50    
1A  INVESTMENTSTRATEGY (GB) Jan15         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 20% 3.90    
MISS TAPIRADO         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 6.00    
EYLARA (IRE)         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00    
READY TO VENTURE (GB) Mar12         (stidham michael)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50    
GIGGLE FACTORY Feb12         (albertrani thom)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00    
GAME THEORY Mar26 Mar06 Feb25 Feb12 Jan20 (jones eduardo)CARDENAS LUIS 121 50.00    
SCR  HONEY MONEY Mar26 Feb25 Feb03 Jan20   (lucas bonni)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 1.80 9% 10.40    
TIMELESS JOURNEY         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 48% 1.10    
ENTWINE (IRE) Mar02 Jan13       (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 121 20.00    
 
AQU-5   04/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASY TO BLESS Mar26 Feb24 Feb04 Jan06   (ferraro )DAVIS A 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of ARBEKA by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  DEALING JUSTICE Mar04 Feb04       (handal raymon)FRANCO MANUEL 116 20.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of CLEVER RUN by SMART STRIKE)
ZAAJEL         (pletcher todd )ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of ASIYA by DAAHER)
SEARCH RESULTS         (brown c)ORTIZ L 123 1.00 25% 3.10    
  (by FLATTER out of CO COLA by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
KEPT WAITING Feb13 Feb06       (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of ORIENT MOON by MALIBU MOON)
GLASS CEILING Feb19 Jan23       (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 122 1.60 46% 1.20    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FIGHTER WING by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
AQU-6   04/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOODLUCKCHUCK Mar19 Mar06 Jan23     (bailes rob)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00    
KUMAR Mar05 Feb11 Jan02     (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50    
BOURBON BAY Mar27 Feb25 Feb06 Jan22   (arriaga ant)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00    
JOYCEE HAZ PIZZAZ Apr03 Mar26 Mar05 Feb20 Jan28 (chatterp)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 10.00 12% 7.50    
YANKEE DIVISION Mar06 Jan14       (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.80 48% 1.10    
ANYTHING PAZIBLE Mar26 Feb20 Feb10 Jan28 Jan14 (jones ed)DAVIS A 123 15.00    
AMERICAN RULE Mar25 Mar06 Feb11 Jan28   (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
LOST IN ROME Mar26 Mar06 Feb25 Jan28   (parker joseph)SILVERA RUBEN 121 8.00    
 
AQU-7   04/09/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITY MAN         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 8% 12.30    
SCR  OCEANS MAP         (sacco grego)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 30.00    
VALUE PROPOSITION (GB) Jan08         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 11% 8.10    
THERAPIST         (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
RINALDI         (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 26% 2.90    
IT'S A GAMBLE         (breen j)LEZCANO JOSE 118 20.00    
PRICE TALK         (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
SANCTUARY CITY         (ferraro james)SILVERA RUBEN 118 10.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN DISTRICT Feb05 Jan09       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 0.50 32% 2.10    
 
AQU-8   04/09/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($750K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO DONEGAL Feb05         (pletcher todd )ROSARIO JOEL 123 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by UNCLE MO out of CALLINGMISSBROWN by PULPIT)
GOLDEN CODE Mar05 Feb05       (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 15.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of JB'S GOLDEN REGRET by BANKER'S GOLD)
EARLY VOTING Feb05         (brown c)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of AMOUR D'ETE by TIZNOW)
LONG TERM Mar05 Feb03 Jan02     (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURLIN out of SAVINGS ACCOUNT by BANKBOOK)
MORELLO (NZ) Mar05 Feb06       (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of STOP THE WEDDING by CONGRATS)
SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING Mar02 Feb04 Jan01     (joseph saff)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 15.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of TWINKLING by EFFERVESCING)
A. P.'S SECRET Mar05 Jan09       (joseph saffie)FRANCO MANUEL 123 20.00    
  (by CUPID out of AFLEET HONEY by UNCLE MO)
BARESE Feb12 Jan09       (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of RIGHT PREVAILS by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
AQU-9   04/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REINVESTMENT RISK Feb26         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 117 4.00    
  (by UPSTART out of RIDINGWITHTHEDEVIL by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
GREEN LIGHT GO Feb26 Jan13       (jerkens a)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LIGHT GREEN by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
BANK ON SHEA Feb12 Jan07       (david carlo)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 19% 4.30    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of MISS MOULTREE by UNCLE MO)
MIND CONTROL         (pletcher todd )ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.50 19% 4.20    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of FEEL THAT FIRE by LIGHTNIN N THUNDER)
FIRST CAPTAIN Feb27         (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
  (by CURLIN out of AMERICA (IRE) by ARAZI)
SCR  WAR TOCSIN Feb19 Feb05       (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 116 20.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BEING ANNA by ALDEBARAN)
DRAFTED Feb05         (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of KEEP THE PROFIT by DARN THAT ALARM)
SPEAKER'S CORNER Mar05 Jan29       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 1.60 40% 1.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of TYBURN BROOK by BERNARDINI)
 
AQU-10   04/09/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORNING MATCHA Mar08 Jan23       (reid e)PENNINGTON F 120 8.00 17% 4.80    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HOME ICE by IAM THE ICEMAN)
SCR  GREATITUDE Feb05         (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of COLONIAL EMPRESS by EMPIRE MAKER)
NOSTALGIC Mar03 Feb05       (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 7% 14.40    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of BEEN HERE BEFORE by TAPIT)
SHOTGUN HOTTIE Mar05 Feb06       (morey willi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of RE ENTRY by MALIBU MOON)
VENTI VALENTINE Mar05         (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.40 38% 1.60    
  (by FIRING LINE out of GLORY GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
CLASSY EDITION Mar05         (pletcher todd )ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 17% 4.70    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of NEWBIE by BERNARDINI)
DIVINE HUNTRESS Feb19 Jan19       (motion graham)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of THRILL SEEKER by HOUSEBUSTER)
CARAGATE Feb21         (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of CARAMEAWAY by LAWYER RON)
 
AQU-11   04/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROMANOTHAMUTHA Mar05 Jan13       (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 8% 11.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of PREVENTION by APTITUDE)
SCR  RUNNINSONOFAGUN Mar29 Mar05 Jan27     (toscano t)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GOLDEN ARTEMIS by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  DOCTOR JEFF         (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of WILD BEA by WILD RUSH)
JUGGLER Mar13 Feb24 Jan22     (vazquez c)PENNINGTON F 118 50.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of ALPHA KITTEN by TALE OF THE CAT)
DEAN'S LIST Mar05 Jan08       (pletcher todd )ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 19% 4.40    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of MILDLY OFFENSIVE by SHARP HUMOR)
HIGHLY RESPECTED Feb26         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 25% 3.10    
  (by DIALED IN out of REVERED by IN REALITY (GB))
OUTKISSED Mar11 Feb12       (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 118 30.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of LONG KISS GOODBYE by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCARAMOUCHE Mar08 Jan31       (preciado gu)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HAUNTING by KRIS S.)
WIT         (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 123 2.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of NUMERO D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10  LIFE IS GREAT Mar05 Feb06       (klesaris robert)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 18% 4.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of ZUCCA by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.