Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Friday - April 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   04/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD VICTORY         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 126 0.60 58% 0.70    
RAISING SAND Feb27         (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 126 8.00    
CASH KID         (sacco gregory )LEZCANO JOSE 126 12.00    
BE ONBOARD Mar05 Jan08       (duarte jorge )FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 18% 4.50    
ONCE A GIANT Feb05 Jan20       (weaver g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 4.00    
CUGINE         (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 30.00    
 
AQU-2   04/08/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CONQUER THE WORLD Jan16         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00    
CIVIL WAR         (albertra)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 30.00    
SCR  SO HIGH (GB)         (chatterpaul n)CARDENAS LUIS 123 12.00    
SCR  GHOST GIANT         (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 19% 4.30    
KING KUMBALAY Mar04 Feb07 Jan09     (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 2.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  EASTER (FR)         (motion gra)CASTELLANO J 123 5.00    
SHAWDYSHAWDYSHAWDY         (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 123 15.00    
GUSSY MAC (IRE)         (saville n)VARGAS A 121 12.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  MICROPHONE (IRE) Feb27 Jan07       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60 24% 3.20    
SCR  LONESOME FUGITIVE (IRE) Jan05         (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00    
 
AQU-3   04/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALT CAY         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  SAFALOW'S MISSION Mar05         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.00 10% 8.80    
URAGANO Mar05         (breen kelly)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50    
HEREBY         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00    
BOX OF JOE Feb26 Jan22       (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 7% 13.50    
SCR  BUCKORTWO         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 7% 12.50    
SCR  BEACH BOY AL Mar05 Feb11 Jan09     (levine bruce)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 13% 6.50    
MEDIA SENSATION         (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
GOLQUIST         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
10  PATRICK THE GREAT         (abreu jo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
SCR  HEYMACKIT'SJACK Mar20 Feb04       (brion ker)VARGAS A 125 15.00    
 
AQU-4   04/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUEBELIEVE Mar20 Feb25       (arriaga )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 5.00 40% 1.50    
CONFORMIST Mar19 Feb13 Jan20     (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00    
BROCKMONINOFF Mar20 Feb03 Jan09     (barrow pa)VARGAS A 123 8.00    
SCR  HIM SHE KISSES Mar05         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.00    
CASALSA Feb06         (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 2.50 15% 5.90    
PROFUSION Feb26         (eng)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 3.00 17% 5.00    
EXXTOP Feb25 Feb03 Jan09     (thompson marcus )JUAREZ NIK 123 30.00 5% 17.70    
 
AQU-5   04/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE ENTERPRISE Feb27         (reynolds pa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.00 16% 5.40    
STRIKING SPEED Mar26 Mar06 Feb25 Jan23 Jan14 (jones eduard)HYLTON EVERTON 121 12.00    
SCR  BOLDISH Jan17         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 29% 2.50    
AUBURN HILLS Feb25 Jan09       (giangiul)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 4.00 22% 3.50    
CRYPTO CASH Mar25 Feb25 Jan28 Jan02   (quick j)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00 10% 9.20    
TWO THIRTY FIVE Mar20 Feb10 Jan14     (baker cha)VARGAS A 123 8.00    
MY FIRST GRAMMY Mar20 Mar04 Jan22     (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
 
AQU-6   04/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIBRETTO (IRE)         (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
RHOMBIQUE         (ribaudo robe)SAMUEL L 126 20.00    
SCR  SIEMPRE ELEGANTE Mar10 Jan22 Jan02     (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
DOLCE SERA Mar18 Jan13       (delauro )DAVIS A 118 50.00    
SCR  PRUNING         (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 126 6.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  FLACA Feb06         (atras rob)VARGAS A 118 12.00    
MORE AMMO         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.80 22% 3.50    
SCR  SCHOOL OF THOUGHT Feb27 Jan02       (potts wayne)RIDER TBA 126 10.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  EXPAND THE MAP (IRE)         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 0.80 22% 3.50    
10  MARTINI'S AMICA Mar08 Jan18       (vazquez ca)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
11  EMPRESS THEODORA         (albertrani )MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 2.00    
SCR  STAR OF INDIA Jan06         (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00    
 
AQU-7   04/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($82K) 3 ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNBRIDLED BOMBER Feb05 Jan01       (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00    
EAGLE IN LOVE Mar19 Feb03       (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 10% 8.60    
ELECTABILITY Mar05         (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 122 1.60 42% 1.40    
ONE MORE SCORE Mar28 Mar02 Feb06     (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
HAGLER Feb06 Jan01       (rodriguez)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
REBEL EMPIRE         (klesaris steve)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
GOOD SKATE Feb25 Jan27       (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50 25% 3.00    
LUNI SIMA Feb25         (walder peter)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00    
 
AQU-8   04/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADOLAMO Mar26 Mar13 Feb27 Feb20 Feb10 (jon)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
GRINGOTTS Mar26 Feb20 Jan27 Jan13   (goberdhan ch)HARKIE K 119 12.00    
A BIT O'IRISH SASS Feb27         (schosberg r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 5.00    
MASHNEE GIRL Feb18 Jan13       (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  PAY GRADE         (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
KHALI MAGIC Mar13 Feb18 Jan13     (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.00 22% 3.50    
IFIHADACHANCE Mar13 Feb18       (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50    
WAILIN JOSIE Feb27 Feb13 Jan08     (jerkens steve)CARDENAS LUIS 119 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.