Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - April 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBODYRIDESFORFREE Feb24 Jan27       (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 ★    
2  MONTAUK POINT Feb26 Jan29       (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 122 1.00 40% 1.50    
3  STRAPPED Feb26         (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.50 ★    
4  BURGEE Mar11 Feb12       (trombetta)VARGAS A 122 8.00 ★    
5  PRINCIPE D'ORO Jan15         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
AQU-2   04/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOTAL EFFORT Mar19 Feb18 Feb03     (potts wa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 25% 2.90    
2  COACH BAHE Mar11 Feb20 Feb11 Jan27 Jan09 (barrera )DAVIS A 121 12.00    
3  MISTER WINSTON Feb26 Feb03 Jan16     (arr)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 5.00 ★    
4  OCEAN DEEP Mar11 Feb20 Feb03     (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 8.00 ★    
5  MR. FIDGET Feb20 Feb11 Jan27     (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.50 14% 6.10    
6  JERUSALEM GATES Mar20 Feb11 Jan27     (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 1.40 32% 2.10    
 
AQU-3   04/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAFFINITY Mar11 Feb12       (falcone robert )DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
2  FREDDYMO FACTOR Mar11 Feb12       (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  VOICE OF SPRING Mar11 Feb13 Jan13     (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 ★    
4  MIA BEA STAR Mar25 Mar11 Feb24 Feb04 Jan23 (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 121 4.00    
5  I'M FINE Mar01 Jan23       (sharp joe)CANCEL ERIC 121 2.00 13% 6.50    
6  GIRL OF TOSCONOVA Mar11 Feb12       (baker cha)VARGAS A 121 3.00 20% 3.90    
 
AQU-4   04/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPAZIBLE DREAM         (sciacca )DAVIS A 125 8.00 ★    
2  MO NIGHEAN DONN         (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 125 5.00    
3  STEPPIN' HAWK Mar11 Feb11 Jan13     (hos)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 10.00 ★    
4  TRUE EMPRESS Feb19 Jan08       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 1.60 51% 1.00    
SCR  COUSIN KRISTI         (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50 ★    
6  LIBERTY FLAME         (quick j)MENA E 118 2.00 22% 3.50    
 
AQU-5   04/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMI CAT LADY Feb21 Jan22       (rodriguez gu)HARKIE K 124 5.00    
2  HANDLE THE TRUTH Jan23         (metivier richar)MENA E 124 15.00 ★    
3  APPRECIATE Mar06 Feb12 Jan22     (toscano )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 9% 10.20    
4  MIDMON Mar06 Feb19 Jan28 Jan14   (clarke d)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
5  IRRESISTIBLE GIRL         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.50 11% 8.00    
6  SABREEN Mar06 Feb19 Jan13     (asmussen st)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 1.80 37% 1.70    
7  BELLA DOMENICA         (rodriguez rud)CARDENAS LUIS 124 3.00    
8  QUEENTIGUA Feb21 Feb12 Jan22 Jan02   (pring)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 8.00 12% 7.40    
 
AQU-6   04/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET RULES Feb27 Jan16       (mott wil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 4.50    
SCR  LITTLE MENACE Mar20 Feb03 Jan23     (noda orlando)CANCEL ERIC 119 5.00 ★    
3  CAPTAIN BOMBASTIC Feb26         (asmussen st)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 2.50 16% 5.40    
4  SOUND MONEY Feb26 Jan08       (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.00 50% 1.00    
5  SIBELIUS Feb27 Jan08       (o'dwyer jeremia)MENA E 119 10.00 ★    
6  LIL COMMISSIONER Jan13         (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 9% 10.40    
 
AQU-7   04/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEPUTY FLAG Feb13 Jan09       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 ★    
2  MACHO BOY Mar20 Feb25 Feb03 Jan08   (chichakly amira)LUZZI J 123 10.00    
3  HIGH COMMAND Feb21 Feb05 Jan28     (grusmark)DAVIS A 121 8.00 ★    
4  TALE OF MIST Mar18 Mar04 Feb20 Feb10 Jan28 (persaud r)VARGAS A 121 4.00    
5  DREAM BIGGER Feb10 Jan27 Jan01     (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 26% 2.80    
6  SUMMER BOURBON Mar19 Feb21 Feb10 Jan22 Jan01 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00 47% 1.10    
7  NOT A TRICK         (dunham b)FLORES JR 121 10.00    
8  BANYAN BREEZE Mar04 Jan14       (potts way)CAMACHO JR 123 6.00 ★    
 
AQU-8   04/02/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPLICETHEMAINBRACE Mar07 Feb07       (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 118 8.00 7% 13.30    
2  UNTREATED Feb19         (pletcher to)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 1.40 32% 2.10    
3  FIRST CONSTITUTION (CHI) Jan22         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.00 37% 1.70    
4  SON OF AN EX Mar26 Mar04 Feb24 Jan27 Jan06 (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 118 10.00 ★    
5  FOREWARNED Feb19 Jan22       (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 5.00 ★    
 
AQU-9   04/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON THE HILL Feb21         (bond harold )HARKIE K 118 6.00    
2  VINCENT Mar13 Feb21       (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 12% 7.60    
3  TONALISTIC         (klesaris steve)CANCEL ERIC 125 12.00    
4  KINGSTOWN         (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00 ★    
5  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE Mar13 Feb10 Jan22     (ryerson j)VARGAS A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  RED JET         (goberdhan cha)CARDENAS LUIS 118 30.00    
7  RIA'S ANGEL Mar19 Feb12 Jan20     (martin carl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 19% 4.20    
8  DANCING WITH RICO Mar11 Jan28       (eng)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
9  MISCHIEF MOGUL         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.00 44% 1.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.