Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - March 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   03/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE PRESENT Mar16 Mar03 Feb04     (sandoval michael)HO WESLEY 120 15.00 ★    
2  KEEN MACHINE Mar05 Feb13 Jan20 Jan01   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.00 26% 2.80    
3  NANNY'S MISSION         (pennella rhea)SIMPSON JASON 122 12.00    
4  LA REINA SUSAN Mar06 Feb06 Jan23 Jan01   (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 120 10.00 12% 7.60    
5  MISS SEDUCTIVE Jan20 Jan01       (magee kier)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 1.80 25% 2.90    
6  MY BRIDGET VERDOT Mar04 Feb16 Jan25     (viands stac)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 5.00 ★    
 
CT-2   03/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARAH BELLUM Feb12         (geris samuel )SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00    
2  RHYTHM TREE Mar05 Feb12 Jan28     (cornwell jam)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 15.00    
3  TOTALLY PERFECT Mar13 Mar05 Jan07     (aguirre antho)ALVELO C 115 1.40 38% 1.60    
4  LOVE CALIFORNIA Mar10 Feb17       (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 6.00 ★    
SCR  MOONLIGHT MISS Mar09         (shanley tim)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 4.50    
6  MY DREAM GIRL Mar09 Feb12       (shanley timo)MORALES KELVIN 122 12.00 7% 13.80    
7  CHRISTINE'S COSMO Mar05 Feb17 Jan27 Jan14   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00 19% 4.20    
8  SUNDAY SWAGGER Mar13 Mar04 Feb21 Jan28   (contessa )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00 14% 6.00    
 
CT-3   03/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENEATH THE STARS Mar04 Feb19 Jan29     (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 3.50 ★    
2  STOWE ANGEL         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 41% 1.50    
3  LADY MACHO Mar05 Feb19 Feb04 Jan28 Jan15 (butts mik)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00 ★    
4  DECOUPAGE Mar05 Feb21       (gorham michae)ALVELO C 115 12.00    
5  COMPLETE SURPRISE Mar05         (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 120 4.00 ★    
6  MOMA TIGER Mar08         (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 120 1.40 37% 1.70    
 
CT-4   03/30/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERTH AMBOY Mar17 Mar04 Feb10 Jan14   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.40 38% 1.60    
2  LAMECH Mar17         (lane j)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00    
3  SMELLSLIKEMONEY Mar11 Feb19 Feb02 Jan12   (perez e)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 3.50 35% 1.80    
4  HENRY STANDINGBEAR Feb17 Feb10 Jan13     (roman-salon n)MARRERO R 122 20.00 ★    
5  STRONG SAFETY Mar04 Feb10       (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.00 ★    
SCR  WINDSOR CALLING Feb17         (roman-salon n)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   03/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL PERFECT Feb26 Feb05 Jan26     (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 124 10.00 ★    
2  IHEARTRAINACOMN Mar09 Feb24 Jan28 Jan13   (tobin l)CECIL Y 116 6.00    
3  NICKY D Feb26 Feb05 Jan26     (shanley tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.50 36% 1.80    
4  SILVER AND BLUES Mar09 Feb05 Jan26     (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 3.50 17% 5.00    
5  CASTLE'S TUFFY Feb26 Jan26       (espinos)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 3.00 6% 15.00    
SCR  CHARITABLE PRIZE Mar09 Feb26 Feb05 Jan12   (tobin l)LARROSA G 124 15.00    
7  BADS LIL LADY Mar09 Feb11       (davis russell)MARRERO R 122 20.00    
8  HAZY WINTER Mar09 Feb24 Jan28     (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 2.50 19% 4.40    
 
CT-6   03/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE IRON BANK Mar04         (shanley)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 15.00 8% 11.40    
2  LOAN ME YOUR EAR Mar04 Feb21 Feb01 Jan12   (jones michae)BATISTA A 120 12.00 ★    
3  SHAMCAT Mar04 Feb10       (lane j)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
4  SOUTHSIDE WARRIOR Mar04 Feb03       (hurley jack)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 3.00 33% 2.10    
5  POSITIVE PHIL Feb12         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 35% 1.90    
6  HOLIDAY BONUS Mar19 Mar02 Feb12 Jan17   (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 1.60 ★    
 
CT-7   03/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEQUILA FOG Mar04 Feb06 Jan22     (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.50 ★    
SCR  IMAGINE VICTORY Feb11 Jan02       (pickett g)CULLUM W 120 15.00 ★    
3  R AVERIE LYNN Feb24 Feb03       (gorham michae)ALVELO C 115 5.00 27% 2.70    
4  UNCAPTURED RUBY Mar05 Feb12       (malgarini m)RAMGEET R 120 15.00    
5  MARVELLA NASTY Feb11 Jan22 Jan02     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 31% 2.20    
6  DISTORTED SPLENDOR Mar10 Feb17 Jan28 Jan12   (stehr p)LIMA FELINO 113 20.00    
SCR  DINNER AT FIVE Mar11 Feb26 Feb05     (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 8.00    
8  VOLNAY Mar02 Feb05 Jan29     (perri gina)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 16% 5.20    
9  MISS WAVE Mar05 Feb19 Feb02 Jan12   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
 
CT-8   03/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POPPY'S TWO STEP Mar09 Feb18 Feb05     (sandoval mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 30.00    
2  DISTANT THUNDER Feb26 Feb11 Jan27     (bass w)WHITACRE B 122 4.00 8% 12.10    
3  BLACK STEEL Mar09 Feb26 Jan28     (mangual manolo)LARROSA G 124 12.00 7% 14.30    
4  MOSS BOSS Mar02 Feb05 Jan12     (joy j)BATISTA A 122 3.50    
5  JOSEF IS REAL Mar04 Feb11 Jan28     (figgins l)HO WESLEY 120 4.50 12% 7.30    
6  MEGA MILLIONS Mar09 Feb11       (huet terr)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
7  I'D LIKE TO KNOW Mar09 Feb17 Jan26     (butts m)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 12.00    
8  QUAD EIGHTS Mar03 Feb17 Feb10 Jan27   (jones michael)SIMPSON JASON 120 6.00 17% 4.80    
9  JUNGLE WARRIOR Mar11 Feb24 Jan29 Jan21   (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.