Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - March 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OH MRS. MAISEL Jan14         (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 ★    
2  DOLCE SERA Jan13         (delauro )DAVIS A 120 30.00    
3  CULDEE Feb05 Jan06       (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
4  ROZ Jan08         (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00 11% 7.80    
5  POINT PLEASANT Feb02         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 ★    
6  KHULUQ Jan14         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.00 38% 1.60    
 
AQU-2   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  P J ADVANTAGE Mar04 Feb21 Jan27     (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 121 15.00 ★    
2  TALE OF MIST Mar04 Feb20 Feb10 Jan28 Jan01 (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 121 8.00    
3  RAGTIME BLUES Feb20 Feb01 Jan22     (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00 26% 2.90    
4  MR. PETE Feb20 Jan31       (diprima gre)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.50 15% 5.90    
SCR  STEAM ENGINE Jan27         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 0.80 30% 2.30    
6  MONTAUK DADDY Feb18         (klesaris)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00 9% 10.80    
 
AQU-3   03/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE MISS MINION Feb19         (klesaris)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.00 25% 3.10    
2  ELEGANT LAOBAN Feb24 Feb04 Jan06     (o'brien keith)CARDENAS LUIS 126 10.00 ★    
3  LIVE IN FIVE Feb24 Jan08       (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 126 0.60 52% 0.90    
4  EMERALD BANKER Feb24 Feb04 Jan06     (jerke)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 15.00    
5  KEEN DANCER Feb04 Jan14       (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 118 15.00 ★    
6  DARE TO BE GREAT Feb26 Feb11       (grusmark)DAVIS A 118 4.50 ★    
7  ALARRA Feb26 Feb04       (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 118 20.00    
 
AQU-4   03/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWILLAWAY Feb13 Jan02       (friedman mitc)CARDENAS LUIS 123 12.00    
2  RUVIES IN TIME Feb06 Jan08       (rodriguez)VARGAS A 123 1.60 25% 3.00    
3  BABA Feb25 Feb10 Jan16     (clarke dylan)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  HAPPY SOPHIA Feb27 Feb06       (persaud randi)LUZZI J 123 12.00 ★    
5  FIGHT ON LUCY Feb06         (kelly pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  BETSY BLUE Feb27         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.20 42% 1.40    
 
AQU-5   03/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KERIK Feb12 Feb04 Jan06     (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 121 10.00    
2  ALPINE QUEEN Feb04 Jan06       (giangiul)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00 ★    
3  CHAYSENBRYN Feb04         (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 2.50 43% 1.40    
4  AMITY ISLAND Feb18         (de horacio)CANCEL ERIC 123 1.80    
5  SWEET MISSION Feb18 Feb04 Jan06     (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 21% 3.80    
6  CALESCENT Feb18         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00 ★    
7  A RING THING Feb24 Feb04 Jan13     (vazquez )DAVIS A 123 12.00 12% 7.60    
 
AQU-6   03/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE JOURNEY Feb18         (jerkens jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 9% 10.20    
2  ESOR         (vazquez )DAVIS A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  OLIVER'S FORTUNE Feb06 Jan22       (d'alessandro ra)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 29% 2.50    
4  MAJESTIC TIGER Feb19 Jan09       (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00    
5  BIG CASTLE Feb18 Jan16       (de h)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.00    
6  EMPEROR'S CAUSE Feb05         (williams matthe)CANCEL ERIC 121 6.00 7% 13.50    
7  EL MAYOR Feb18 Feb05       (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00 26% 2.90    
 
AQU-7   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READY A. P.         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
2  BANK ON ANNA Jan22         (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  RIBOT'S VALENTINE Jan08         (handal raym)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.50 12% 7.30    
4  THE HONORABLE RUTH Jan14         (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 120 30.00 5% 18.30    
5  THINKING IT OVER Feb21 Jan22       (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50    
6  EASY PLAY Mar06 Feb20 Jan22 Jan08   (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 30.00    
7  LEELOO Jan22         (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 9% 9.60    
 
AQU-8   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUBSIDIZE Feb20 Jan08       (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00 ★    
2  ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE Feb20 Feb09 Jan08     (simmonds )CAMACHO JR 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  CAJUN COMMANDER Jan21         (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 10.00    
4  WICKED MAD         (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00    
5  PRISONER Feb05         (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.00 33% 2.10    
6  COLORMEPAZZI Feb20 Jan22 Jan08     (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00 23% 3.40    
7  JAKE ROCKS Feb06 Jan08       (rodriguez gus)CARDENAS LUIS 121 5.00 14% 6.20    
 
AQU-9   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAZAL EIGHTEEN Feb11 Jan23       (vaz)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 10.00 6% 16.70    
2  PRETTY CLEVER         (begg ben)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50 15% 5.50    
3  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Feb25 Jan16       (englehart chris)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00    
4  SNICKET Feb11 Jan23 Jan01     (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.00 20% 4.10    
5  BIG AL'S GAL Feb25 Jan27       (arriaga anton)FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00    
SCR  VIOLENTIAM Feb25 Feb11 Jan23     (grusmark)DAVIS A 121 20.00 6% 17.10    
7  BANKERS DAUGHTER         (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
8  FROSTED BOURBON Jan23 Jan02       (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 121 30.00    
9  CAPTIVATING CARA Feb25 Jan23       (fri)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 8.00    
 
AQU-10   03/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMEDEUS MUSIC         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
2  RAW COURAGE Feb05 Jan09       (tos)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 2.00 18% 4.60    
3  HE'S GOT IT Feb11 Jan09       (hennig m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 111 2.50 21% 3.70    
4  FAST N FEARIOUS         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 125 4.50 21% 3.70    
5  PEPPER KING Feb12         (davis ro)DAVIS A 118 15.00    
6  RED D G P         (ferraro w)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
7  ALARMING MISSION         (donk david)CARDENAS LUIS 118 10.00 6% 15.00    
8  JOE GONZALEZ Feb10         (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 6% 15.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.