Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Friday - March 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   03/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINNING DRIVE Feb21 Feb10 Jan01     (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 2.00    
KAREN'S COVE Feb20 Jan01       (goberdhan chand)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00 16% 5.30    
FLEET WARRIOR Feb21 Jan28       (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 2.50 19% 4.40    
BINKSTER Feb20 Feb06 Jan27 Jan01   (mir)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
HEALY'S HOPE Feb21 Feb10 Jan01     (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 121 6.00    
CAUSE OF ACTION Feb10 Jan28       (barrera )DAVIS A 121 10.00    
 
AQU-2   03/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CENTAVO Mar05         (chatterpaul )HARKIE K 121 12.00 8% 10.90    
BAR FOURTEEN Feb05         (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00 18% 4.40    
PRAYER BOOK Feb13 Feb06 Jan16     (chi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
REMEMBERMOM Feb21 Jan09       (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00    
QUICKFLASH Feb06         (potts wayne)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.50 21% 3.70    
ROYAL REALM Jan22 Jan16       (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 0.80 27% 2.80    
 
AQU-3   03/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCING WITH RICO Jan28         (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 111 20.00 5% 19.00    
MO DANCIN         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
SCR  JOE GONZALEZ Feb10         (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
SELL SOMETHING Feb12 Jan16       (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 118 30.00    
SCR  SALUTE TO AMERICA Feb05         (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 2.50    
WILD CARP DIEM Feb13 Jan20 Jan01     (ryerson james)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 48% 1.10    
SIR WILLIAM Feb27 Feb13 Jan22 Jan09   (ferraro w)MENA E 126 5.00 13% 6.40    
DEVIOUS BANKER Feb25 Feb11 Jan09     (grusmark kar)HERNANDEZ ANDY 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
RESERVATION Feb13         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 5.00    
10  UNCLE WATER FLOW         (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 12.00    
 
AQU-4   03/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Feb04 Jan06       (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 127 8.00 7% 12.70    
FREDDYMO FACTOR Feb12         (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 127 6.00 10% 8.70    
BELLA PRINCIPESSA Feb18 Jan23       (klesaris robe)FRANCO MANUEL 127 1.40 34% 2.00    
KINGDOM QUEEN Feb24 Jan06       (mc allen)DAVIS A 118 20.00    
SCR  KERIK Feb12 Feb04 Jan06     (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 125 10.00    
TO A T Feb18 Jan23       (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 3.50    
GIRL OF TOSCONOVA Feb12         (baker cha)VARGAS A 127 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
AQU-5   03/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAOCHI Jan22 Jan16       (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.50 21% 3.90    
HEY MAMA Jan23         (schosberg richa)MENA E 125 10.00 6% 14.90    
VIVAZANO Jan13 Jan02       (dunham b)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
STEPPIN' HAWK Feb11 Jan13       (hos)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 12.00    
MADAME ROSE Feb27 Jan23 Jan02     (jones eduardo)CARDENAS LUIS 125 30.00    
ONE TRACK MINE         (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00    
WINTER SIREN         (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
SCR  SISTER LUCK         (lee joseph)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 4.50 19% 4.20    
BAVARIAN CREME Jan13         (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.00 33% 2.10    
 
AQU-6   03/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCEAN DEEP Feb20 Feb03       (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 15.00    
PRINCE OF JOY Feb13 Feb03       (legall r)DAVIS A 123 12.00    
MAKE IT IN NY Feb18 Jan27       (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.00 8% 11.70    
DONEGAL BAY         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 1.60 69% 0.40    
COACH BAHE Feb20 Feb11 Jan27 Jan09   (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00    
BELLAMY DOLCE Feb20 Jan27       (simmonds )CAMACHO JR 121 30.00    
FAR AWAY LOOK Feb11 Feb03       (bro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 10.00    
PATTY O'MARC Feb18         (tri)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 30.00    
FOTIS Feb11         (jones eduardo)FUENTES ERICK 111 50.00    
 
AQU-7   03/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHALIMAR GARDENS Jan13         (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 123 0.40 45% 1.20    
INOUAINTALKINTOME Feb24 Feb04 Jan08     (ficarell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 30.00 5% 18.20    
VOICE OF SPRING Feb13 Jan13       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
SCR  SEAHORSE D'ORO Feb12 Jan23       (vazquez )DAVIS A 121 15.00    
ENTER SANDWOMAN Feb13 Jan23 Jan01     (jerkens jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00 16% 5.50    
MIA BEA STAR Feb24 Feb04 Jan23     (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 121 10.00    
RAFFINITY Feb12         (falcone robert )DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 9% 9.80    
 
AQU-8   03/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS RILEY Feb19         (clarke dyla)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
BLIND SIGHT Feb17         (summers chad)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.00 40% 1.50    
PLAYMAGGIEFORME Feb12 Jan08       (albertrani t)HERNANDEZ ANDY 113 20.00    
REELEY PSYCHED Feb19 Feb04 Jan06     (bro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
HALF BIRTHDAY Feb19 Feb11 Jan14     (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 9% 10.00    
GRACIE O'MALLEY Jan23         (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
SCR  KEEN DANCER Feb04 Jan14       (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 118 30.00    
HOLIDAY JAZZ         (begg bent)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.00    
MISS FLINTSHIRE Feb19         (ferraro j)VARGAS A 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SOARING MIST Feb19         (shivmang)DAVIS A 125 30.00    
11  MISS MALALA Feb12 Jan16       (ferraro jame)SAMUEL L 118 30.00    
12  BEAUTIFUL BANKS Jan28 Jan08       (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 111 15.00    
13  PALS ALLY Feb26 Feb04 Jan14     (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 22% 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.