Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - March 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY DELICIOUS Feb12 Jan09       (sum)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 1.20 46% 1.20    
2  LOVE'S MISERY Feb04 Jan08       (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 2.00 ★    
3  LONDON GOLD Feb12 Jan14       (persaud randi)CARDENAS LUIS 118 12.00 7% 13.40    
4  MY LITTLE LULU Feb12         (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  ROMA CARPE         (johnson clev)HARKIE K 125 12.00    
6  BAD BRETH Jan14         (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 2.50 17% 4.90    
 
AQU-2   03/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICAR'S LEGEND Feb21 Feb10       (younghans william)LUZZI J 121 4.00    
1A  MANIFEST DESTINY Feb20 Jan27       (younghans willi)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00    
2  P J ADVANTAGE Feb21 Jan27       (ferraro james )CORREA JULIO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BANYAN BREEZE Jan14         (acquilano jam)NAVARRO KEVIN 123 1.80 57% 0.80    
4  LOHENGRIN TWO Feb10 Jan22 Jan01     (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 2.00 12% 7.10    
5  BIG MOUNTAIN Feb06         (forde jason)MENA E 123 15.00 ★    
6  TALE OF MIST Feb20 Feb10 Jan28 Jan01   (persaud )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 3.50 ★    
 
AQU-3   03/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALIBOGUE SOUND         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 4.00 ★    
2  STENCIL Feb04 Jan16       (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.40 49% 1.00    
3  INVESTMENT GRADE Feb24 Feb10       (jones eduardo )CORREA JULIO 121 12.00    
4  CHARLOTTE WEBLEY Feb24 Jan09 Jan02     (simmonds michae)FRET STEVEN 123 8.00 ★    
5  AWESOMENEWYEAR Jan28 Jan09       (richards marv)FUENTES ERICK 113 20.00 6% 14.40    
6  POLISHED GEM Feb10         (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 2.50    
7  MEBS WEB Feb10 Jan09       (avila c)MENA E 121 6.00 14% 6.30    
 
AQU-4   03/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EARLY EDITION Feb04 Jan01       (mcmullin stacy)ADORNO ABNER 123 6.00 ★    
2  THEGODDESSOFSNAKES Jan01         (summers cha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00    
3  CHLOE ROSE Feb04 Jan06       (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 ★    
4  TELLAPERFECTTALE Feb18 Jan23       (potts wa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 2.50 ★    
5  NORMAN QUEEN Feb04 Jan13       (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 1.80 49% 1.00    
6  CADEAU DE PAIX Jan23 Jan01       (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 15% 5.90    
 
AQU-5   03/04/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THREE JOKERS Feb05         (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.80 ★    
2  MY FIRST GRAMMY Jan22         (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00 ★    
3  JOHNNYPUMP Jan13         (vazquez j)VARGAS A 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  KING KUMBALAY Feb07 Jan09       (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00 31% 2.30    
5  WINTER POOL Jan09         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 0.60 42% 1.40    
6  SON OF AN EX Feb24 Jan27 Jan06     (persaud randi)LUZZI J 123 15.00    
 
AQU-6   03/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INCONTROVERTIBLE Feb04 Jan06       (allard edwa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 127 2.00 33% 2.00    
2  LUZ Jan27 Jan06       (arr)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 15.00    
3  LUCKY SITKA Feb11         (delauro edwa)SAMUEL L 125 30.00    
4  SUMMARY JUDGMENT Feb11 Jan16       (reynolds patr)FRANCO MANUEL 127 1.80 24% 3.20    
5  SUDDEN IMPULSE Feb11         (chichakly)CAMACHO JR 125 6.00 ★    
6  HOW LUCKY         (de h)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
7  GAGLIANO Feb21         (barrera )DAVIS A 125 10.00 ★    
 
AQU-7   03/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELOQUENT SPEAKER Jan02         (englehart chris)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.00 30% 2.30    
2  ROYAL MEGHAN Jan06         (abreu fernand)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 9% 10.20    
3  DEALING JUSTICE Feb04         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00    
4  TARA'S TALENT Feb04         (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 112 8.00 11% 8.40    
5  ROSSA VELOCE Feb06 Jan08       (handal raymo)SAMUEL L 121 4.50 13% 6.70    
6  SHESALITTLE EDGY Jan06         (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00 9% 9.60    
 
AQU-8   03/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOOLISH GHOST         (handal raymo)SAMUEL L 121 2.00 36% 1.70    
2  GANDY DANCING Feb19 Jan27       (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 20.00    
3  TRUE GOLD Feb19 Jan28       (ficarell)DAVIS A 123 15.00    
4  GOLANI BRIGADE Jan27         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 27% 2.80    
5  SICILIA MIKE Feb19 Jan27       (potts wayne)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.00 12% 7.70    
6  BAD GUY Feb19 Jan14       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 4.00 ★    
7  DEVIOUS MO Feb13 Jan22       (chichakly a)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 10.00    
8  O SHEA CAN U SEE Feb05 Jan02       (laxmeter )CAMACHO JR 121 10.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.