Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - February 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   02/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($29.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHASING FAME Feb03         (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 3.50 44% 1.30    
2  CAIRO KING Jan25 Jan04       (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 4.50 19% 4.20    
3  COASTAL JAZZ         (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
4  ABI GEZUNT Jan21 Jan03       (martinez e)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 2.50 ★    
5  MR PAYTIENCE Jan29 Jan01       (hone bart)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.00 8% 11.60    
6  HOTFOOT (GB) Jan05         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   02/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($27.3K) 3 ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY NOW Jan28 Jan17       (kenney dan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00    
2  MY NOAH         (schnell d)VALENZUELA A 121 3.50 44% 1.30    
3  EXECUTIVE ACTION Jan28         (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 121 10.00 ★    
4  THE MET Jan28 Jan06       (hone bart)ZUNINO L 121 2.00 ★    
5  NOT THAT SERIOUS Jan28 Jan06       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.50 27% 2.80    
6  DRINKING AGAIN Jan28         (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 121 6.00 5% 17.90    
 
TUP-5   02/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($35.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZAMARA         (hone bart)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 ★    
2  DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER Jan19         (ke)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 8.00    
3  MY CRAFTY GAL Jan14         (leon priscilla)MAWING A 122 4.00 ★    
4  FIVE PICS PLEASE Jan09         (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  TIP TOP GAL Jan02         (miller qu)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 3.50 ★    
6  HARKING Jan09         (moreno edgar)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
TUP-6   02/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.02K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVED BY ZERO Feb01 Jan20 Jan12     (hodgson barry)CIVACI SAHIN 122 20.00    
2  FAMOUS ROCK STAR Feb08 Jan13       (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
3  FLOWER BEACH Jan31         (esquibel )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 8.00 9% 10.40    
4  SIX NINETY ONE Feb01 Jan12       (as)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 10.00 ★    
SCR  MOSTLY CLOUDY         (carrete jesu)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00    
SCR  TWO PUNCH CAT Jan29         (metz jeffr)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 6.00    
7  TIZ MANNY Jan20 Jan11       (kubinova eliska)MAWING A 122 12.00    
SCR  THIRTYMINUTEMASS Jan24 Jan11       (mckinney k)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 15.00    
9  MARQUE IT UP Feb03 Jan26 Jan11     (lavanway day)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 8.00 8% 11.10    
10  THIRSTY JUNIOR Feb01 Jan18       (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 124 2.50 14% 6.00    
 
TUP-7   02/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWAGSATIONAL Jan31 Jan18       (belvoir vann)MAWING A 122 3.50 18% 4.60    
2  TWILIGHT RIDER Jan31 Jan18       (person kenneth)CIVACI SAHIN 122 5.00    
3  HELLO HANDSOME Jan18 Jan03       (breashear bill)CORBETT W 122 8.00    
4  FISHEL Jan24         (moreno jose)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00 11% 7.80    
5  STORMING WARRIOR         (wong jonathan)ZUNINO L 122 1.60 23% 3.30    
6  SMILING MATT Jan18         (soto anton)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 20.00    
7  TALKIN MALICE Jan31 Jan18       (kubin)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
8  JUST LIKE FRED Feb03         (chambers mi)SCRIVER L 122 12.00    
9  EMPIRE WICKET Feb07 Jan24       (ha)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  INCLUDE HOO Feb07 Jan24       (soto antonio)DEONAUTH P 122 15.00    
 
TUP-8   02/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($27.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROOKIE YEAR Feb02         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00    
2  NOLONGERAHOBBY         (saldana re)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00    
3  GIVE EM HECK BECK Feb04 Jan21 Jan03     (hone bart)ZUNINO L 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
4  BALTIMORE BEECHO Feb04 Jan05       (lucarell)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 122 12.00    
5  HIT THE SEAM Jan27 Jan13       (wo)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00 ★    
6  TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY Jan27 Jan13       (rycroft tim)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 ★    
7  SNAZZY DRESSER Feb03         (saldana re)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
8  SWAMP SOUFFLE Feb04 Jan19 Jan11     (silva jr)CRUZ M 122 8.00 13% 7.00    
9  CANDY WOMPUS Feb01 Jan18       (diodoro roberti)VERGARA P 124 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.