Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - February 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   02/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROOKHAVEN LASS         (perkinson c)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.60    
2  SOUTHERN VENTURE Jan22         (perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 122 2.50 38% 1.70    
3  AVABELL         (gutierrez j)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 8.00 ★    
4  BLUE GESSAMI Jan14         (bazurto ramo)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  YATAHEY         (tsosie terri)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 10.00 29% 2.50    
6  TOTHEMOONANDBACK Jan27 Jan12       (matt wendell)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-3   02/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRON AND THE BROW Feb01 Jan17       (lavanway da)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 8.00 ★    
2  WINNING MAGIC Feb07 Jan24 Jan10     (bullene michael)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
3  UNBRIDLED TIGER         (chambers mike)MAWING A 124 5.00    
4  KINSALE WARRIOR         (hop mike)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 10.00 8% 11.70    
5  TENGAS MASTERPIECE Feb07         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
6  EIGHT MAKAR Feb07 Jan18       (brinkerhoff)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.80 26% 2.90    
 
TUP-4   02/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERZEN Jan24 Jan04       (eikleberry kevin)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
2  ALPINE HYPNOSIS Jan11         (troiani niccolo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 14% 6.00    
3  COLORADO CANDY Jan04         (loftin lind)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 10.00    
4  CAPITAL CALL Feb02 Jan06       (rycroft tim)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
5  AMERICAN BUDDHA Jan03         (rarick wade)VERGARA P 124 6.00 11% 7.90    
6  SPEEDING STYLE Jan24 Jan07       (simpson sh)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00 6% 17.10    
7  ENOUGH NONSENSE Feb02 Jan07       (jimenez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 9% 9.60    
 
TUP-5   02/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHES GOT THE POWER Jan24 Jan07       (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 21% 3.70    
2  IROQUOIS HEART Jan18         (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 122 5.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  DON'T RUB IT Jan07         (kubinova eliska)MAWING A 122 12.00    
4  PRINCESS SOIREE Feb03 Jan24 Jan07     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00    
5  RATIONAL Jan21 Jan07       (metz jeffrey)CIVACI SAHIN 124 8.00    
6  SILLY NOTION Jan31 Jan13       (valdez-cabral m)VERGARA P 122 3.00 6% 16.80    
7  DODROPIN Jan25         (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
8  JAZZY EINSTEIN Feb08         (finch she)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 10.00 ★    
SCR  CHICKS DIG MUNNY Feb08 Jan13       (gale bryc)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-6   02/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLUB CHAMP Jan18         (kenney ryan)CARTER KYLE 124 10.00    
2  LOLLY EXPRESS Jan31 Jan05       (christian billy)MAWING A 124 8.00    
3  ASSETS INCLUDED         (birdwell )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 10.00 8% 10.80    
4  MAD AT MONEY Feb01 Jan19       (gangidino l)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00    
5  MAD LUTHER Jan25         (matt l)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 16% 5.20    
6  BOB'S ALL IN Jan31 Jan11       (as)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 6.00 18% 4.70    
7  SILENT MUSKETIER Jan10         (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
8  WE'RE JUST SAYIN Jan31 Jan11       (gutierrez j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 14% 6.20    
9  BLUE BOY WHO Jan31 Jan04       (garcia val)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 12.00    
 
TUP-7   02/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGAL CANDY Jan24 Jan12       (hedge ri)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 20.00    
2  MOONLIGHT BLUE Jan26 Jan11       (stader suzanne)DEONAUTH P 124 20.00    
3  RUN FOREVER Jan11         (ferguson cha)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00    
4  KODIAK KING Jan18         (ha)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 15.00    
5  FATS DOMINUS Jan12         (toye joe)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
6  MORE POWER TO HIM         (si)DA FAUSTO 124 2.00 10% 9.10    
7  ALBANY FRONT Feb08 Jan26       (gutierrez juan)CIVACI SAHIN 124 5.00 29% 2.40    
8  SUNLAND STAR Jan31 Jan18 Jan03     (blea j)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 15.00    
9  TEN CARAT ROCK Jan24         (gangidino lisa)VERGARA P 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
10  ANGELINO Jan24 Jan11       (crotts ji)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 7% 13.70    
 
TUP-8   02/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($27.3K) 3 F PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORKIN NINETOFIVE Jan31 Jan19       (sepich edwa)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 5.00 ★    
2  AUTISM PRISM Jan10         (wong jonathan)VERGARA P 121 2.50 30% 2.30    
3  LA CAPRICHOSA Feb08 Jan20       (silva jos)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00    
4  SOLA Jan20 Jan12       (kubinova eliska)MAWING A 121 5.00 12% 7.30    
5  FIRST PROMISE Jan28 Jan10       (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 121 6.00    
6  RUNNINGONTHETAFUEL         (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 8.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  BALI BRAVA Feb08 Jan19 Jan08     (si)DA FAUSTO 121 3.50 6% 15.20    
8  SECRET HAVEN         (rycroft tim)CARTER KYLE 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.