Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Tuesday - February 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-1   02/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINE ME Jan21 Jan03       (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
WITH THATBEINGSAID Jan21         (nelson amy)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00    
ANATOLIA         (lucarelli f)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00    
TIME FOR GOLD Jan03         (lucarell)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
BIG STRETCH Jan31         (schnell d)VALENZUELA A 122 3.50    
 
TUP-2   02/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULLBRIDLEDPHANTOM         (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
DON'TTEASETHETIGER Jan19         (ferguson c)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00    
MAJESTIC CAFE Jan26 Jan17       (hodgson barry)CIVACI SAHIN 122 5.00    
CAPTAIN RED Jan19         (si)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00    
MAGIC MOSCO Jan11 Jan01       (valdez-cabral m)VERGARA P 122 4.50 13% 7.00    
MY COWBOY Jan25         (brown jared)CORBETT W 122 8.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  MIKE OPERATOR Feb01 Jan09       (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50    
 
TUP-3   02/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARRIE'S SUCCESS Jan28         (jimenez a)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
OUT OF THE SKY Feb02 Jan17       (esquibel mark)CIVACI SAHIN 124 6.00 11% 8.40    
TICK TOCK Jan28 Jan20       (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 25% 2.90    
SOJOURNER TRUTH Feb03         (gangidino lisa)VERGARA P 124 12.00    
SCR  MCGOLDIE Jan20         (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  MISS KITNESS Jan31         (kubinova eliska)MAWING A 124 8.00    
LILA'S LUCKY LADY Jan31 Jan04       (bi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 6.00    
 
TUP-4   02/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3 ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURFER BLAKE Feb01 Jan10       (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 15.00    
GURKHA RIFLES Jan10         (baze robert)CRUZ M 121 15.00    
BLAME THE DEVIL Feb07 Jan24 Jan12     (schnell don)SCRIVER L 121 1.60 17% 4.80    
AWEZEE Feb01 Jan10       (metz jeffre)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 12.00    
JOKER MATT Feb01         (metz jeffr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 10.00    
LUVTHEONEURWITH Feb01 Jan14       (si)DA FAUSTO 121 5.00 7% 12.70    
HASTA LA VISTA Feb01 Jan10       (person a)ZUNINO L 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
PRETTY LOUD Feb01 Jan24 Jan10     (silva p)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 2.00 50% 1.00    
 
TUP-5   02/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.96K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
L D' RADO GOLDRUSH Jan18         (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 3.00    
CROOKED FINGER RAY Jan05         (pierce mich)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 42% 1.40    
NEVADAN Jan20 Jan12       (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 23% 3.40    
GOLDENEYED Jan27 Jan13       (brown jared)CORBETT W 124 6.00    
THE METAL MAN Jan18 Jan05       (van debb)CIVACI SAHIN 124 5.00    
SQUARED STRAIGHT Feb01 Jan12       (silva jos)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 7% 14.00    
RAOFTHESUN Jan05         (kenney ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 10.00    
TIME TO ZOOM Feb02 Jan11       (metz jeffrey)VERGARA P 124 8.00    
 
TUP-6   02/15/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUGS PAL Jan26         (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 12.00    
CRYIN' CHUCK         (soto antonio)DEONAUTH P 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
EXILED         (ke)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 5.00    
INDIAN GAMBLER Jan26 Jan14       (silva jose )WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
ARUGULA         (nelson amy)CIVACI SAHIN 122 8.00    
STARZAN Jan18         (baze rober)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00    
HARRYKEEPTHECHANGE Jan26         (brown jared)CORBETT W 122 4.50 16% 5.10    
MR. FIREBALL Feb03 Jan07       (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 3.00 32% 2.20    
COLAVITO Feb07 Jan24 Jan03     (silva juan )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00    
 
TUP-7   02/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAKE THE GREAT Jan25         (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 122 12.00    
MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) Jan25 Jan06       (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 18% 4.50    
VODKA TWIST Jan31 Jan17       (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 122 15.00    
BACK ALLEY CAT Feb07 Jan20 Jan10     (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 49% 1.00    
SINGLE BARREL         (hodgson barry)CIVACI SAHIN 122 6.00    
HAVEULOSTYOURMIND Jan25 Jan10       (williams)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 122 10.00    
SHOTGUN RIDER Jan28 Jan17 Jan03     (bullene mic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 9% 10.60    
ROUSING RUBBLE Feb03 Jan24 Jan03     (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 5.00    
AUTISM SIBLINGS Jan31 Jan10       (wong jonat)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 6.00    
 
TUP-8   02/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AWESOME LADY Jan08         (evans jus)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 117 3.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  O SHUGAH MINT Jan25 Jan06       (gleason m)ZUNINO L 125 4.00 11% 8.00    
JEWEL OF DENIAL         (hedge rick)LOPEZ KARLO 125 12.00    
CRAZY GOOD         (silva jose )HERNANDEZ HARRY 125 5.00 13% 6.70    
ASEAAWINNER Jan25 Jan10       (homer jason)MAWING A 125 6.00    
ROCKSIE HARTBRAKER         (mccartney jack)OSUNA JESUS 125 12.00    
KEEPONROCKINMEBABY Jan26         (grissom roberta)CORBETT W 125 6.00    
SKY HIGH VERONIKA         (rollins s)VALENZUELA A 125 10.00    
PORTUGUESEPRINCESS Jan28         (valdez-cabral m)VERGARA P 125 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.