Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Monday - February 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-1   02/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.6K) 3 ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST RENEGADE Jan23         (chambers mike)MAWING A 121 3.00 18% 4.60    
TENGO SED Jan17         (silva l)CRUZ M 121 2.50    
SCR  AFTER THE CANDY Jan06         (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.50 45% 1.20    
PROFOUND ONE Jan06         (jimenez a)ZUNINO L 121 6.00 9% 9.60    
ELLIE THE NURSE Jan10         (silva rod)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 4.50    
SCR  ABRAAJ MIRAGE Jan28 Jan06       (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 5.00    
 
TUP-2   02/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 3 ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEL RAGAZZO Jan20         (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 121 8.00    
THIRSTY KISS Jan20         (martinez e)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
SPINNING RED Jan11         (sepich f)MAWING A 121 6.00    
THE BLACK STRAT Jan20         (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 10.00    
SCR  SHADYFIED Jan24 Jan09       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  D VON TAE Jan20         (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00 10% 9.00    
BLAME THE DEVIL Jan24 Jan12       (schnell don)SCRIVER L 121 5.00    
 
TUP-3   02/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELIJAH SCHNELL         (macdonald ja)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 15.00    
SCR  LUGIA         (silva l)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
COASTAL KING         (belvoir va)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00    
ZERO DOWN         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
THE THIRD RING Jan07         (chattong vi)SCRIVER L 124 12.00    
GONE SOMEWHERE Jan18         (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 5.00    
EIGHT MAKAR Jan18         (brinkerhoff)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 26% 2.90    
ROADSIDE Jan24 Jan07       (shipp mic)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 12.00 16% 5.10    
SILVER KID Jan18         (mcdaniel )VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
 
TUP-4   02/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TENGAS MASTERPIECE         (freeman edw)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50    
PATH TO PARADISE Jan07         (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 124 3.50    
M G M'S LUCKY         (hudson je)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 15.00    
WINNING MAGIC Jan24 Jan10       (bullene michael)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
SUPER INTENSE         (o'brien da)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 20.00    
WARFRONT FIGHTER Jan24         (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 124 4.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  SMOKIN ARROW Jan18         (wheeler tra)SCRIVER L 124 15.00    
SCR  WILL TO PAR         (homer jason)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00    
EZ RULER Jan18         (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 12.00    
 
TUP-5   02/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 3 F PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALICESHOUSEOFHEART         (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 6.00    
SCR  TEMPORARILY Jan17         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.50 26% 2.80    
WEDDING CHAPEL         (silva jose)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 10.00 10% 9.10    
JADED SECRETS Jan12         (crystal dus)SCRIVER L 121 20.00    
PRINCESS OF MALIBU Jan17         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 121 15.00    
WUMPMUG Jan17         (ba)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 20.00    
CURLIN BLESSING         (mcfarlane)VALENZUELA A 121 3.00 30% 2.30    
MACLEAN'S BELLA Jan05         (gutierrez j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 12% 7.20    
SMILING SALSA Jan17         (person kenn)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 5.00    
10  WHISTLING HOME         (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 8.00    
 
TUP-6   02/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUES RAPPER Jan28 Jan20 Jan05     (trejo amali)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00    
BALIUS Jan10         (lucarelli f)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00    
FULL VELOCITY Jan10         (buechler simon )LOPEZ KARLO 124 15.00    
GIVE A LITTLE Jan20         (perren ly)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00    
SCR  IRRESISTIBLY SEXY Jan18         (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
BACK ALLEY CAT Jan20 Jan10       (rycroft riley)CIVACI SAHIN 124 6.00 44% 1.30    
QUINTO SOL Jan05         (rycroft tim)VERGARA P 124 3.00    
CHARMING VINTAGE         (wong jon)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 124 5.00    
MANCUSO AT THE MIC Jan17 Jan03       (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 4.50    
 
TUP-7   02/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHINNY Jan05         (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50    
MISSED THE BOAT Jan19         (person kenneth )CRUZ M 124 5.00 7% 12.90    
BLUE AZUL Jan25 Jan11       (hernandez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.50 39% 1.60    
FAMILY BIZ Jan07         (br)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 10.00    
LOOSE DIAMOND Jan14         (story chad)ZUNINO L 122 5.00    
REGAL MAX Jan28 Jan05       (hedge ri)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 15.00    
SCR  TIZONA Jan03         (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  AVALON KING Jan03         (o'brien debbie)VERGARA P 122 6.00    
 
TUP-8   02/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMPIRE WICKET Jan24         (ha)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 20.00    
TOP ROCKET Jan24         (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 122 12.00    
MUSKYMAN Jan25 Jan10       (lavanway da)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 117 20.00    
BY MOONLIGHT Jan15 Jan08       (wong jon)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 122 3.00    
SHARK HARBOR Jan26         (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.50 5% 17.90    
EXPRESS PERMISSION Jan24 Jan05       (belloc umbe)SCRIVER L 122 4.00 52% 0.90    
INCLUDE HOO Jan24         (soto antonio)DEONAUTH P 122 20.00    
COLAVITO Jan24 Jan03       (van d)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 5% 17.60    
PREMIER LEAGUE Jan24         (madrigal elo)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 20.00    
10  TIGER'S SONG Jan03         (barra)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 122 5.00 13% 6.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.