Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Wednesday - February 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-1   02/02/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FABULOUS FLOYD Jan24         (o'brien d)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00    
HAVE A LIL PEPPER         (alvarez ser)SCRIVER L 122 4.00    
RED MAMBA         (gomez aleja)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 5.00 20% 3.90    
JUGGLES Jan11         (silva rodri)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00    
SAND WALKER Jan11         (ecoffey gil)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 3.50 48% 1.10    
STANLEY RYDER Jan24         (toye joe)CIVACI SAHIN 122 6.00    
BRETT Jan11         (magrady rona)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 10.00 10% 8.60    
TIME TO ZOOM Jan11         (bratcher ryan)VERGARA P 122 3.00    
 
TUP-2   02/02/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROUGE SUNSET Jan14         (nelson amy)GARCIA F 124 12.00    
LIMITED OFFER Jan14         (breashear bill)CORBETT W 124 4.00 22% 3.50    
COLONEL MIKE         (silva p)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 5.00    
HANDSOME ACCOUNT Jan08         (si)DA FAUSTO 124 2.00    
KING OF WISHES         (homer jason)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00    
TOM FOOLERY         (martinez o)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 15.00    
SQUARE ROOT         (pierce mich)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 52% 0.90    
REDDISH Jan17         (simpson sh)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00    
 
TUP-3   02/02/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
M FAST Jan19         (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00    
DAFFODIL SWEET         (troiani niccolo)WADE LYNDIE 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
RED NOON RISING Jan06         (toye joe)MAWING A 122 6.00    
DEVON'S CHOICE         (si)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00 5% 18.70    
SENORADIABLO         (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
LADY COMMISSIONER Jan17         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 8% 12.10    
SEMI SWEET         (ortiz manuel)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 5.00    
 
TUP-4   02/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($29.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CZECHMIGHT Jan03         (jimenez a)ZUNINO L 122 12.00    
MCENTIRE         (ferguson chad)LINDSAY CHAD 122 8.00    
SCR  FULL DRAW Jan13         (silva jos)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 6.00    
TIZHOTNDUSTY Jan19         (kruljac e)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50    
TOP OF THE GAME Jan19         (hernandez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 5.00 32% 2.10    
THE BEAT Jan13         (saldana reed)CRUZ M 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
STACKIN SILVER Jan10         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00    
CLAVICHORD Jan13         (buechler simon )LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
 
TUP-5   02/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIFE IN PARADISE Jan21         (rollins s)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00    
LEMON DROP LADY Jan06         (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
EASY DOES IT         (gangidino l)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
TEXAS WENDY         (gomez aleja)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 10.00    
SEVEN POINTS Jan14         (chambers mi)SCRIVER L 124 6.00 6% 14.60    
XYLOPHONE Jan14         (buechler simon )LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 15% 5.80    
BONES AND ROSES Jan14         (loftin lind)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 3.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  UNUSUAL DANCER Jan14         (dillenbeck bruc)CRUZ M 124 10.00 13% 6.60    
 
TUP-6   02/02/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.02K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET HONOR Jan17         (villamar )VALENZUELA A 122 20.00    
SCR  TOP HAT HIGH JINKS Jan20         (johnston kim)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 12.00    
SCR  BELLA'S BACK         (wong jonath)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 1.60 66% 0.50    
BOOGIE TWO SHOES Jan25 Jan03       (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124 20.00    
BULLICIOUS Jan14         (scott larry )SERRANO KEIVAN 122 20.00    
SUPAH SISTA Jan20         (si)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00    
OLD TOY         (williams de)SCRIVER L 122 6.00    
OUT OF THE SKY Jan17         (esquibel mar)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 20.00    
RAIDERETTE Jan19         (moore joh)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 10.00    
10  LAUGHAROO         (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  STREET FLYER Jan14         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 8.00    
 
TUP-7   02/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ZOMBIE ALAN Jan13         (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 124 15.00    
MR VIEW Jan21 Jan13       (si)DA FAUSTO 124 2.00    
PURELY GIVEN         (ferguson lauri)CIVACI SAHIN 124 20.00    
SCR  ARDENLEE STAR Jan18 Jan04       (van debbie)ZUNINO L 124 20.00    
AWESOME IMAGE Jan13         (ferguson chad)CORBETT W 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
KING LEBRON         (crotts ji)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
COUNTRY ROAD         (fulmer dre)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 10.00    
FRANKLYENERGIZED Jan11         (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 8.00 10% 9.00    
INQUISITEUR Jan18         (blea tony)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 20.00    
10  FREIBURG Jan11         (pierce michael )WADE LYNDIE 124 3.50 66% 0.50    
11  BULLET TIMES Jan21 Jan11       (blea j)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
12  REIGN ON (GB)         (christian b)SCRIVER L 124 20.00    
 
TUP-8   02/02/2022 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($26.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARICOPA COUNTY Jan06         (grissom ro)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00    
ROOKIE YEAR         (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 22% 3.60    
COMPLICATE Jan06         (brinson clay)CORBETT W 122 3.50    
CAPITAL CALL Jan06         (rycroft tim)CARTER KYLE 122 12.00    
CLUB MESQUITE Jan12         (mccartney)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  SHOTGUN EXPRESS (IRE) Jan01         (mathis andy)VERGARA P 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
ENOUGH NONSENSE Jan07         (jimenez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00    
TERRACOTTA SOLDIER         (story chad)GARCIA F 122 8.00    
YHA YHA Jan17         (score robert)LINDSAY CHAD 122 20.00    
SCR  AUDACE Jan19 Jan04       (homer jaso)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 20% 3.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.