Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - January 31, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   01/31/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3 F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARTY POLICE Jan12         (villamar candela)MAWING A 121 8.00 5% 18.20    
2  ARIZONA BREW         (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 121 6.00    
3  WICKED WEAVE         (toye joe)ANDERSON MCKENNA 116 2.50 10% 9.50    
4  WORKIN NINETOFIVE Jan19         (sepich edwa)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 15.00 7% 13.60    
5  MALIBUENA Jan07         (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.50    
6  LIP'S OF WINE Jan12 Jan03       (mcdaniel l)ZUNINO L 121 15.00    
7  SWEET LADY LANA Jan19         (wong jonat)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 3.50 50% 1.00    
8  MUCH ABOUT ONE Jan07         (eikleberry )CONNING CRYSTAL 121 12.00    
9  SHEZA HOME HIT         (buechler s)RODRIGUEZ H 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PHANTOM MISTRESS Jan03         (wheeler tra)SCRIVER L 121 20.00    
 
TUP-2   01/31/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. PICKLES Jan07         (buffalo marvin)WADE LYNDIE 122 6.00 16% 5.40    
2  PROVOST Jan13         (mccartney jack)CORBETT W 122 5.00 15% 5.80    
3  FIRE WHEN READY         (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00 35% 1.80    
4  TIGER BY HIS TAIL         (schnell d)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00    
SCR  JACKS OUTLAW Jan14         (brinson clay)MAWING A 122 3.00 ★    
6  RIDEO Jan05         (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.80 ★    
 
TUP-3   01/31/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAME IT ON KITTY Jan17         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
2  ANGELO'S PRIDE Jan06         (pierce mich)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00    
3  BLUE BOY WHO Jan04         (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 124 6.00 ★    
4  PERFECT COME BACK Jan11         (kubinova eliska)MAWING A 124 5.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  DISPUTED Jan04         (chavez arturo)WADE LYNDIE 124 4.00    
6  UPPER ROOM         (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 13% 6.90    
7  JEN LORS LEGACY Jan18         (faulkner jeff)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
8  CRACK A COLD ONE Jan18         (woolley ben)SCRIVER L 124 15.00    
9  CHECK AND RAISE Jan06         (hodgson bar)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 10% 8.80    
 
TUP-4   01/31/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($27.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPUN LINE         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50    
2  BIG STRETCH         (schnell d)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00    
SCR  GOTTA BE LUCKY Jan16 Jan07       (saldana re)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00    
4  LA CASTIGLIONE         (gutierrez j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 21% 3.90    
5  PAIGE RUNNER Jan11         (story chad)LINDSAY CHAD 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
6  PIPER ROSE Jan06         (woolley bennie )WADE LYNDIE 122 10.00 7% 13.30    
7  SHOE GAME Jan04         (ortiz manuel)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 8.00 ★    
8  MIDNIGHT GARDEN Jan04         (wong jonathan)VERGARA P 122 5.00 14% 5.90    
 
TUP-5   01/31/2022 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALLMEJESSIEJAMES Jan13 Jan04       (silva l)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
2  IT'S ALEXUS Jan06         (rycroft riley)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
3  LILA'S LUCKY LADY Jan04         (birdwell tena)MAWING A 124 12.00 9% 10.40    
4  SILLY NOTION Jan13         (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 15.00 ★    
SCR  IF YOU WANT IT         (belvoir vann)WADE LYNDIE 124 4.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  TRUE FRIEND Jan11         (stader suzanne)DEONAUTH P 124 20.00    
7  MISS KITNESS         (si)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  TEQUILA MARY Jan06         (pierce micha)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 5.00    
SCR  WILLING TO BURN Jan12         (bratcher ryan)VERGARA P 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MONGOLIAN WINDOW Jan18 Jan06       (lavanway dayson)ZUNINO L 124 15.00    
SCR  MONGOLIAN EMPIRE Jan20 Jan04       (wi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 15.00    
 
TUP-6   01/31/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.96K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VODKA TWIST Jan17         (whitehouse wilt)CRUZ M 122 20.00    
2  LOLLY EXPRESS Jan05         (christian b)SCRIVER L 122 4.50 47% 1.10    
3  MISTER MCLEAN Jan05         (rarick wa)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00 7% 13.10    
4  ATTA BOY BILLY Jan18         (silva jr)VERGARA P 122 5.00    
5  MARDEN Jan14         (gomez aleja)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 12.00    
6  UNION BROTHER Jan20 Jan10       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 14% 6.00    
7  CAUSE AND EFFECT Jan14 Jan03       (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 122 15.00    
8  LOVER BOY BOB Jan10         (hudson je)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 6.00 6% 14.50    
SCR  ALL AMERICAN HERO Jan18         (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   01/31/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNLAND STAR Jan18 Jan03       (blea j)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 20.00    
2  TALKIN MALICE Jan18         (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 33% 2.10    
3  THEY'RE GRRREAT Jan19         (lucarelli fr)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00 16% 5.30    
4  FORT YORK Jan12         (abraham tim)SCRIVER L 122 20.00    
5  TWILIGHT RIDER Jan18         (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 122 4.00    
6  SWAGSATIONAL Jan18         (lawrence heath)MAWING A 122 10.00    
SCR  NIGHT'S WATCH         (allred je)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  IMPERATOR Jan18         (wong jonathan)CRUZ M 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
9  JEDI WARRIOR Jan18         (garcia c)NEGRON LUIS 122 12.00    
10  AUTISM SIBLINGS Jan10         (hodgson ba)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 5.00 7% 14.20    
SCR  ACHILLEUS Jan10         (metz jeffr)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 6.00    
SCR  SMILING MATT Jan18         (soto antoni)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00    
 
TUP-8   01/31/2022 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOB'S ALL IN Jan11         (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00    
2  EL BORRACHO Jan07         (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 12.00    
3  DIIACHI Jan10         (essex charles)CIVACI SAHIN 124 6.00    
4  THETRAILERGUY Jan11         (rarick wade)WADE LYNDIE 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
5  THEMANBEHINDTHEMAN Jan05         (vitali marcu)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 10.00    
6  OUR DANDY'S BOY         (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 124 12.00    
7  MONUMENTAL SEVEN         (campo )FLETCHER D 124 4.50 ★    
8  FLOWER BEACH         (esquibel mar)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 10.00 10% 9.40    
9  WE'RE JUST SAYIN Jan11         (gutierrez j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 10% 9.40    
SCR  PALMY SUNDAE Jan12         (gomez aleja)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 20.00    
SCR  BLANK IT Jan13 Jan04       (kereluk edward)WADE LYNDIE 124 5.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  MAD AT MONEY Jan19         (gangidino l)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.